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AFOS-Analytics1
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colombia-2026-electoral-divergence

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prediction-markets

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colombia-2026-electoral-divergence

898 kB

4 contributors

History: 21 commits

AFOS-Analytics1's picture

AFOS-Analytics1

Add canonical Provenance & method block (Wikipedia + AS/COA), aligning with the other validated cases

d9ed4e9 verified about 10 hours ago

data
Add structural-context.csv (World Bank WGI governance + WDI economy & education); document in DATA_DICTIONARY 4 days ago
news
Add structured press coverage layer (news/colombia-2026-press-coverage.csv): 22 dated headlines from 15 outlets across the cycle (polls, first round, runoff, result, reactions), ES/EN/PT. Makes the third axis (market x polls x press) a data layer. 5 days ago
polls
Sync runoff (2nd round) polls + divergence (AtlasIntel/Guarumo/CNC; Polymarket 88.5/12.5) - result pending 21 Jun 12 days ago
.gitattributes

43 Bytes
Add branded OG banner (1200x630, Git LFS) at README top 16 days ago
.gitignore

31 Bytes
Colombia 2026 electoral divergence — polls (29 first-round/10 candidates) + Polymarket odds + divergence + docs 17 days ago
CITATION.cff

978 Bytes
Standardize brand name to AFOS · 14 days ago
DATA_DICTIONARY.md

4.89 kB
Add structural-context.csv (World Bank WGI governance + WDI economy & education); document in DATA_DICTIONARY 4 days ago
LICENSE

1.77 kB
Colombia 2026 electoral divergence — polls (29 first-round/10 candidates) + Polymarket odds + divergence + docs 17 days ago
LICENSE-APACHE-2.0

10.8 kB
License: dual CC BY 4.0 (data) + Apache 2.0 (code), matching repo + Brazil card 15 days ago
LICENSE-CC-BY-4.0

1.77 kB
License: dual CC BY 4.0 (data) + Apache 2.0 (code), matching repo + Brazil card 15 days ago
README.md

13.6 kB
Add canonical Provenance & method block (Wikipedia + AS/COA), aligning with the other validated cases about 10 hours ago
banner.png

130 kB
xet

OG banner: add country flag (SVG) + fix em-dash/× (UTF-8) 16 days ago
build-colombia-market-divergence.mjs

4.29 kB
EVAL fixes: CITATION matchup (was Peru's), drop phantom candidate from dict, normalize pollster names, market-name guard 16 days ago
odds-snapshot.png

131 kB
xet

Add odds trajectory + snapshot charts (market vs polls, total bet volume preserved) 14 days ago
odds-trajectory.png

211 kB
xet

Add odds trajectory + snapshot charts (market vs polls, total bet volume preserved) 14 days ago
parse-colombia-wiki.mjs

10.8 kB
parse-colombia-wiki.mjs: all-equal guard só no 1º turno (runoff pode empatar) + pollster normalization in-parser. Output verified identical (170). 16 days ago