Add canonical Provenance & method block (Wikipedia + AS/COA), aligning with the other validated cases
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README.md
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**The reading:** a single blended "market + polls" average would have shown Cepeda comfortably ahead and hidden that the market gave the *eventual first-round winner* (Espriella) a far higher chance than his vote-share suggested. The divergence **was** the signal.
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## Español
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**The reading:** a single blended "market + polls" average would have shown Cepeda comfortably ahead and hidden that the market gave the *eventual first-round winner* (Espriella) a far higher chance than his vote-share suggested. The divergence **was** the signal.
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**Pollsters covered:** Invamer, AtlasIntel, CNC, Guarumo, GAD3, CELAG, and others.
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**Provenance & method:** poll figures compiled deterministically from the public Wikipedia aggregation (*"2026 Colombian presidential election"*) and the [AS/COA poll tracker](https://www.as-coa.org/articles/poll-tracker-colombias-2026-presidential-election), covering the first round (10 candidates) and the runoff (de la Espriella vs Cepeda, 21 June 2026); each figure traces to a named pollster. Market odds from the public Polymarket market. Nothing imputed or smoothed; missing values left blank. Underlying poll numbers are facts released by the named pollsters; the Wikipedia aggregation is CC BY-SA. Please attribute **AFOS Analytics** and the **original pollsters**.
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## Español
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