market_id stringlengths 6 38 | event_id stringlengths 4 33 | question stringlengths 14 206 | description stringlengths 1 2.04k | categories listlengths 1 3 | z_score float64 -4.78 96.8 | news listlengths 1 100 | attributions listlengths 1 100 | history listlengths 16 16 | target dict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KXMAYORNYCNOMD-25-AC | KXMAYORNYCNOMD-25 | Will Andrew Cuomo be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025? | Andrew Cuomo | [
"Politics"
] | 2.42 | [
{
"title": "'You're going to have to answer these questions'",
"description": "Mayor Eric Adams is throwing jabs in the already-crowded field for the Democratic primary — but is focusing on a candidate who hasn't even entered the race: Andrew Cuomo.",
"url": "https://nypost.com/2025/01/06/us-news/nyc-ma... | [
{
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{
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{
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510048 | 13477 | Will Trump do better with Asians than in 2020? | This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.
According to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 34% of the Asian vote. You can see CNN's... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 13.8271 | [
{
"title": "RFK Jr., Trump's would-be health czar, says he will \"clear out\" entire departments at the FDA",
"description": "President-elect Donald Trump has repeatedly said he would put RFK Jr. in charge of federal health agencies",
"url": "https://www.salon.com/2024/11/06/rfk-jr-would-be-health-czar-... | [
{
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{
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251254 | 901930 | Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | Javier Gerardo Milei is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market includes a... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 6 | [
{
"title": "Argentina government: IMF had wanted \"100%\" peso devaluation",
"description": "Argentina's government said on Thursday that major creditor the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had originally wanted a \"100%\" devaluation of the country's embattled peso currency, before the two sides agreed to... | [
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{
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{
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{
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501038 | 10407 | Will the NDA win less than 300 seats? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls less than 300 seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market wil... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 5.05 | [
{
"title": "Donald Trump Stung by Double Polling Blow",
"description": "Two polls have suggested the former president will lose November's presidential election to Joe Biden.",
"url": "https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-joe-biden-polling-presidential-election-latest-1896865",
"published_at": "202... | [
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{... | {
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503175 | 11385 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 3.4989 | [
{
"title": "Delta Air Lines is still melting down. It could last all week",
"description": "The problems prompted the Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg to announce the Department of Transportation would be starting an investigation to make sure Delta is following the law and treating passengers fairly... | [
{
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505009 | 12005 | Will RFK Jr. win 2-3% of the popular vote? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. receives between 2% (inclusive) and 3% (exclusive) of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 1.7 | [
{
"title": "Olivia Nuzzi surfaces at star-studded LA event honoring ‘trailblazing women’ in first sighting since RFK Jr. sexting saga",
"description": "Scandal-plagued New York magazine reporter Olivia Nuzzi was spotted out for the first time -- rubbing shoulders with celebs at an event honoring \"trailblaz... | [
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{
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{
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... | {
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503000 | 11316 | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic Presidential Nominee? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of t... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 4.4 | [
{
"title": "Top Democrat Raskin privately encouraged Biden to reconsider reelection campaign",
"description": "Rep. Jamie Raskin, the top Democrat on the House Oversight Committee, penned a deeply personal letter to President Joe Biden earlier this month privately encouraging the president that there is “no... | [
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{
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{
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253354 | 903015 | Pudgy Penguins airdrop before March? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pudgy Penguins launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Th... | [
"Crypto"
] | 6.5 | [
{
"title": "Crypto VC funding climbs for first time in 2 years after bitcoin rally",
"description": "It marks the first time that venture VC investments in crypto startups have risen since the March quarter of 2022.",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/15/crypto-vc-funding-climbs-for-first-time-in-2-y... | [
{
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KXIPO-25-DATABRICKS | KXIPO-25 | Who will IPO in 2025? | Databricks | [
"Companies"
] | 10.8743 | [
{
"title": "Rigetti Stock Falls 7% on Weak Earnings, While New 36-Qubit System Points to 2025 Growth",
"description": "Rigetti Computing (RGTI), a pure-play quantum company, shares closed Friday’s session down more than 7%, falling to $16.65. The drop came after ...",
"url": "https://markets.businessins... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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... | {
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505466 | 12129 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and nominates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for a Cabinet position by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election.
A Cabinet po... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 13.4898 | [
{
"title": "Donald Trump's Trump Media posts earnings as DJT stock halts on Election Day. Here are the details.",
"description": "Trump Media & Technology Group's main asset is the social media app Truth Social. Here's how it's performing.",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-media-djt-el... | [
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{
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{
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{
"news_... | [
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{
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{
... | {
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253727 | 903216 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution sou... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 2.5393 | [
{
"title": "Happy warriors Harris and Walz propose an antidote to Trump’s American carnage",
"description": "Kamala Harris and Tim Walz want to make America joyful again.",
"url": "https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/07/politics/harris-walz-happy-warriors-analysis/index.html",
"published_at": "2024-08-0... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
"news_... | [
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{
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{
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... | {
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KXLCPIMAXYOY-25-P3.99 | KXLCPIMAXYOY-25 | Inflation surge in Dec 10, 2025? | At least 4% | [
"Economics"
] | 7.5829 | [
{
"title": "Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins says uncertainties point to slower cuts in 2025",
"description": "Collins, in prepared remarks for an event Thursday in Boston, said the economy was in a “good place,” but noted that progress on cooling inflation will likely be slower this y... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
"news_idx... | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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... | {
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513547 | 14609 | Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dogecoin (DOGE) reaches a price of $0.69000 or greater according to Binance by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade... | [
"Crypto"
] | -2 | [
{
"title": "Bitcoin will hit $185,000 in 2025, says leading crypto firm",
"description": "Galaxy Research has forecasted that Ether will trade above $5,500 and Dogecoin will hit $1 next year",
"url": "https://qz.com/bitcoin-185-000-2025-galaxy-research-doge-ether-etfs-1851730275",
"published_at": "2... | [
{
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},
{
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] | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
"t": 1734760804,
"p": 0.165
},
{
... | {
"t": 1735624804,
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KXHALFTRIL-26 | KXHALFTRIL | When will there be a half-trillionaire? | Before 2026 | [
"Economics"
] | 2.5963 | [
{
"title": "Elon First Half Trillionaire With $200 Billion XAI Valuation",
"description": "xAI will raise $10 billion in a $200 billion valuation funding round according CNBC co-anchor David Faber. The fundraise follows a $5 billion debt raise. A",
"url": "https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2025/09/elon-firs... | [
{
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}
] | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
... | {
"t": 1758427200,
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} |
513547 | 14609 | Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dogecoin (DOGE) reaches a price of $0.69000 or greater according to Binance by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/trade... | [
"Crypto"
] | 2.1 | [
{
"title": "Bitcoin will hit $185,000 in 2025, says leading crypto firm",
"description": "Galaxy Research has forecasted that Ether will trade above $5,500 and Dogecoin will hit $1 next year",
"url": "https://qz.com/bitcoin-185-000-2025-galaxy-research-doge-ether-etfs-1851730275",
"published_at": "2... | [
{
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}
] | [
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{
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{
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{
"t": 1734933603,
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},
{
... | {
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514372 | 14992 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 2, 2024, 00:00 and December 31, 2024, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $85,000.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binanc... | [
"Crypto"
] | 2.5293 | [
{
"title": "What's Going On With Shares Of Bitcoin Miner CleanSpark Tuesday?",
"description": "CleanSpark Inc (NASDAQ:CLSK) shares are creeping higher in Tuesday’s after-hours session after the Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) miner announced the closing of its convertible notes offering and provided an",
"url": "... | [
{
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"score": 0
}
] | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
... | {
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504586 | 11878 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's December 2024 meeting the upper boun... | [
"Politics"
] | 14.5 | [
{
"title": "Why Trump and Federal Reserve could clash in coming years",
"description": "President-elect Donald Trump campaigned on the promise that his policies would reduce high borrowing costs and lighten the financial burden on American households. But what if interest rates remain elevated, well above t... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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] | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
... | {
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253676 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of cre... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 1.5 | [
{
"title": "Who is Usha Vance? Yale law graduate and wife of vice presidential nominee JD Vance",
"description": "WASHINGTON (AP) — Usha Chilukuri Vance, Yale law graduate and trial lawyer, was thrust into the spotlight this week after her husband, JD Vance, was chosen as Donald Trump’s running mate in the ... | [
{
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}
] | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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... | {
"t": 1721192401,
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} |
254563 | 903452 | Puffer airdrop by June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Puffer Finance launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The pr... | [
"Crypto"
] | 5 | [
{
"title": "Letitia James Issues New Warning",
"description": "The New York attorney general warned other cryptocurrency companies to \"play by the same rules\" following a recent $2 billion settlement.",
"url": "https://www.newsweek.com/letitia-james-issues-new-warning-cryptocurrency-companies-1904857"... | [
{
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] | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
... | {
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} |
502571 | 11143 | Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive, definitive evidence emerges that Donald Trump was involved in the deployment of a new token by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution for this market will be based on a consensus of credible sources. | [
"Politics",
"Crypto"
] | 9.1056 | [
{
"title": "Trump plans to launch his sons' crypto business on Monday, 50 days before Election Day",
"description": "Former President Donald Trump plans to deliver remarks next Monday about cryptocurrency and the launch of the company World Liberty Financial, a crypto platform controlled by the Republican n... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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] | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
... | {
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} |
252838 | 5853 | [Single Market] Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dean Phillips wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the ... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 22.95 | [
{
"title": "New York Times editorial board urges Biden to drop out of presidential race",
"description": "President Joe Biden has left many Democrats concerned that he is not their best chance to defeat Donald Trump in the 2024 election.",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/28/new-york-times-editorial... | [
{
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] | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
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... | {
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} |
502234 | 11001 | Trump conviction declared a mistrial? | On June 7 it was reported a person posted the comment “My cousin is a juror and says Trump is getting convicted” a day before the conviction, leading to speculation the conviction could be declared a mistrial (see https://x.com/LeadingReport/status/1799190574353756499).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump h... | [
"Politics"
] | 4.5 | [
{
"title": "FBI Director Christopher Wray testifies about Trump rally assassination attempt",
"description": "FBI Director Christopher Wray has revealed new details Wednesday about the investigation into Trump rally shooter Thomas Matthew Crooks.",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/live-news/new-video-sho... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
"news_idx... | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{... | {
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253443 | 903080 | Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a price greater than $68,789 according to Binance between December 14, 2023, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance... | [
"Crypto"
] | 7.2661 | [
{
"title": "Bitcoin rips through $54,000 for the first time since December 2021",
"description": "The price of bitcoin shot above the $54,000 level on Monday after waking up from a week of tepid trading.",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/26/bitcoin-resumes-its-rally-ripping-through-54000-for-the-fi... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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... | {
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KXRTMICKEY17-75 | KXRTMICKEY17 | Mickey 17 Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 75 | [
"Entertainment"
] | -1.6461 | [
{
"title": "'Mickey 17' Bombs With $19M+ Opening: Here's Why",
"description": "Mickey 17 at a cost of $118M bombed with a $19M opening at the U.S./Canada box office.",
"url": "https://deadline.com/2025/03/box-office-mickey-17-1236313830/",
"published_at": "2025-03-09T16:54:00",
"source": "Deadli... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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}
] | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
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... | {
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251254 | 901930 | Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | Javier Gerardo Milei is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market includes a... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 6.0704 | [
{
"title": "Argentine priests defend Pope Francis over 'shameful' Milei attacks",
"description": "Priests from poor districts in Buenos Aires held a mass on Tuesday to defend Argentine Pope Francis after radical right-wing presidential candidate Javier Milei denounced him as an \"imbecile\" and \"representa... | [
{
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}
] | [
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{
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},
{
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},
{
... | {
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} |
254769 | 903564 | Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president of the United States Donald J. Trump becomes the subject of a gag order by any Federal or State court in the US between February 26, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a "... | [
"Politics"
] | 17.5 | [
{
"title": "NYC judge delays Trump's hush money trial, says 'significant questions of fact' must be resolved",
"description": "The judge told the parties to come to court on March 25, when the trial was slated to begin, to address a dispute related to old records tied to Michael Cohen's case.",
"url": "... | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
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"p": 0.375
},
{
... | {
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} |
247745 | 5828 | [Single Market] Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if former US vice president Michael Richard Pence wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any re... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 3 | [
{
"title": "Vivek Ramaswamy Drops Out of Race, Endorses Trump",
"description": "Biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy suspended his bid for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination on Monday and endorsed former President Donald Trump after a disappointing...",
"url": "https://www.newser.com/story/3451... | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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] | [
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{
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{
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{... | {
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GTA6-25OCT31 | GTA6 | WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2025? | Before November 2025 | [
"Entertainment"
] | -1.0687 | [
{
"title": "GTA 6’s Newest Trailer Marks A Surprising Change For The Series",
"description": "'Grand Theft Auto 6's' newest trailer gives us a deeper look at Jason and Lucia's relationship, and its a refreshingly sincere twist for the series.",
"url": "https://www.inverse.com/gaming/gta-6-new-trailer-ja... | [
{
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},
{
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{
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{
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] | [
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{
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{
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{
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KXMEASLES-2531-10000 | KXMEASLES-2531 | Will there be more than 10000 measles cases in 2025? | Above 10000 | [
"Health"
] | 2.8167 | [
{
"title": "Understanding Measles: Protection, Vaccines, and Common Concerns",
"description": "U. S. measles cases are on the upswing, raising a storm of questions for the public regarding safety measures. Our best defense, say health gurus, is",
"url": "https://mashviral.com/understanding-measles-prote... | [
{
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},
{
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},
{
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{
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] | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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... | {
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KXIPO-25-DATABRICKS | KXIPO-25 | Who will IPO in 2025? | Databricks | [
"Companies"
] | 5.7813 | [
{
"title": "EON Resources outlines $40M-$50M funding plan to retire debt and targets sharp production ramp by year-end 2025",
"description": "EON Resources Inc. (EONR) Q2 2025 Earnings Call unveils funding progress, debt reduction, and production ramp plans, targeting cash flow positivity by Q4...",
"ur... | [
{
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"score": 0
}
] | [
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},... | {
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504491 | 11827 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's November 2024 meeting the upper boun... | [
"Politics"
] | 1 | [
{
"title": "Stock Market Today: 5-Day Win Streak on First Fed Rate Cut Since 2019",
"description": "\"While we acknowledge risks of larger cuts at subsequent meetings, we think the Fed will start off with a 25bp cut next week,\" Bank of America said.",
"url": "https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/st... | [
{
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},
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
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] | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
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},
{
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},
{
"t": 1725426001,
"p": 0.315
},
{
... | {
"t": 1726290002,
"p": 0.425
} |
253569 | 903172 | Will 2024 be better than 2023? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ipsos Consumer Tracker's "Me Personally" measure on the "It was a (comparatively) really good year" chart for 2024 (ex: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-say-2023-was-good-year-and-think-2024-will-be-even-better) indicates that 2024 was a better year than 2023. Otherwise, th... | [
"Politics"
] | 10 | [
{
"title": "DeSantis: Lack of GOP enthusiasm ‘a huge warning sign’ for party",
"description": "Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) warned Tuesday that he saw a “lack of enthusiasm” among GOP voters in the Iowa caucuses last week, and that declining appeal among moderates is “a huge warning sign” for the Republica... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
"news_idx... | [
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{
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{
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},
{
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{
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},
{
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},
{
"t": 1705212003,
"p": 0.75
},
{
"t":... | {
"t": 1706076003,
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} |
500105 | 10018 | Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election? | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Nevada US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate sh... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 14.5 | [
{
"title": "Pete Buttigieg Thinks the Trump Fever Could Break",
"description": "The Democrat talks about the election vibe shift and what a Kamala Harris win would mean for both parties.",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/27/magazine/pete-buttigieg-interview-election-democrats.html",
"publish... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
"news_idx... | [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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},
{
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},
{
"... | {
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} |
KXMEASLES-2531-10000 | KXMEASLES-2531 | Will there be more than 10000 measles cases in 2025? | Above 10000 | [
"Health"
] | 2.1067 | [
{
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501038 | 10407 | Will the NDA win less than 300 seats? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls less than 300 seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market wil... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 4.5 | [
{
"title": "Meta approved ads in India that called for violence and spread election conspiracy theories",
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"url": "... | [
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240385 | 5853 | [Single Market] Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of th... | [
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"Election"
] | 3.3 | [
{
"title": "Beyoncé Allows Kamala Harris To Use Her Song On Campaign Trail",
"description": "Though the 32-time Grammy winner has not formally endorsed Harris, she’s backed Democrats like Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton in the past.",
"url": "https://www.huffpost.com/entry/beyonce-kamala-harris-freedom... | [
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507792 | 12795 | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Israel and Hezbollah both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two parties that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or ne... | [
"Politics"
] | 4.9463 | [
{
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505895 | 12250 | PA-10 election: Stelson (D) vs. Perry (R) | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Stelson" if Democrat Janelle Stelson wins the congressional election in Pennsylvania's 10th district.
This market will resolve to "Perry" if Republican Scott Perry wins the congressional election in Pennsylva... | [
"Politics"
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{
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246667 | 5853 | [Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the n... | [
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{
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504586 | 11878 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's December 2024 meeting the upper boun... | [
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] | 6.1041 | [
{
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501872 | 10804 | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between May 28 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a "military action" wi... | [
"Politics"
] | 5 | [
{
"title": "\"America First\" foreign policy: JD Vance wants to abandon Ukraine but bomb Mexico and Iran",
"description": "Trump's running mate said that U.S. military intervention in Mexico is needed to stop illicit drug smuggling",
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{... | {
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KXLCPIMAXYOY-25-P3.99 | KXLCPIMAXYOY-25 | Inflation surge in Dec 10, 2025? | At least 4% | [
"Economics"
] | 6.25 | [
{
"title": "'Every sector': Nancy Mace admits tariff inflation 'risk' as Fox News lists affected items",
"description": "Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) admitted that President Donald Trump's tariffs posed a \"risk\" of higher prices to U.S. consumers as Fox News host Jon Scott told her that \"virtually every sector... | [
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{
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509226 | 13272 | Will Trump win 4 swing states? | This market considers the following states as "swing states": Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins exactly 4 swing states in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution sou... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 11.75 | [
{
"title": "Cambria County, PA, ballot problems caused by faulty paper",
"description": "The ballots were printed improperly by William Penn Printing and could not be scanned properly by election machines, Cambria County Commissioner Keith Rager told The Post.",
"url": "https://nypost.com/2024/11/05/us-... | [
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KXELECTIONMOVNJGOV-25NOV04-P0 | KXELECTIONMOVNJGOV-25NOV04 | Will Mikie Sherrill win by 0 to 1.99 percentage points in New Jersey? | 0 to 1.99% | [
"Elections"
] | 1.38 | [
{
"title": "Jack Ciattarelli says he will sue Mikie Sherrill over her statements that he 'killed tens of thousands' with opioid misinformation",
"description": "Sherrill, the Democratic nominee for New Jersey governor, and her Republican opponent, Ciattarelli, attacked each other during their second and fin... | [
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{
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... | {
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503228 | 11385 | Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee bef... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 1.3249 | [
{
"title": "Mark Kelly could help Kamala Harris win the White House",
"description": "The vice president's perceived vulnerability is the border crisis. The senator from Arizona can help.",
"url": "https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/07/29/opinion/kamala-harris-vice-president-pick-mark-kelly/",
"publis... | [
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505009 | 12005 | Will RFK Jr. win 2-3% of the popular vote? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. receives between 2% (inclusive) and 3% (exclusive) of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all States and D.C. have certified their... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 1 | [
{
"title": "Olivia Nuzzi-RFK Jr. Story Sends Shock Waves Through New York Magazine",
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"url": "https://markets.businessinsider.com/olivia-nuzzi-rfk-jr-reaction-vox-medi... | [
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{
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{
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{
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... | {
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