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investing
IRA withdrawal tax questions
Hello, I understand it’s not a good idea to take money out of IRA. But sometimes shit happens and you need cash. My question is regarding tax. If I chose to pay 35% tax upon withdrawal of the fund, will I still owe more at the end of the year? Thank you
0.71
t3_uaz3dc
1,650,819,577
investing
Why does Vanguard seem to be the only brokerage that doesn't offer pledged asset loans?
Both ETrade and Charles Schwab will let you take out loans against your holdings at super low rates. This is convenient for short term expenses: you don't have to sell stuff and pay capital gains, and your holdings can continue to grow. For some reason Vanguard doesn't offer this at all, the closest they can get is a ...
0.44
t3_uay0jr
1,650,816,429
investing
SMG: Value or Value Trap?
Ticker: SMG Scott's Miracle Grow [https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=SMG&ty=c&ta=1&p=d](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=SMG&ty=c&ta=1&p=d) \-P/E Ratio: of 11.72 (Historically SSMG has been above 15) \-Debt to Equity Ratio of 3.90 \-They don't seem to have a lot of cash on hand [https://www.m...
0.84
t3_uaxck4
1,650,814,548
investing
shorting the market crash
So everybody and their mother knows the market is about to blow. But holding cash doesn't seem right with high inflation actively devaluing our savings. So I want to actively short the crash to strike a profit. What needs to be done. Spy puts? Or should I try a leveraged bear ETF like SQQ? Or maybe even short stocks di...
0.26
t3_uat6l2
1,650,801,375
investing
Is the Mutual Fund NAV the average SE between all collected companies?
Considering that the NAV is calculated as ( total value of all the cash and securities (assets) - liabilities)/ Shares outstanding, which is the same as Net-assets or SE / shares outstanding. I can't seem to find any confirmation for this and am genuinly curious if that is what it is.
0.76
t3_uaroyg
1,650,795,352
investing
Clarity on CD Interest Payments
Good morning, CD terms are giving me a headache. I could use some help understanding how interest is paid out. Here are the details of one investment I am looking at, a 2 year CD: [Pay Frequency](https://scs.fidelity.com/webxpress/help/topics/help_definition_p.shtml#paymentfrequency)MONTHLY [Coupon](https://scs.fide...
0.77
t3_uarm2u
1,650,795,016
investing
Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - April 24, 2022
Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant info...
0.79
t3_uaqng5
1,650,790,868
investing
Where is Vanguard stock held?
I've heard that The Vanguard Group, Inc has an interesting structure, as described by Investopedia: > The company is owned by its funds. The company’s different funds are then owned by the shareholders. Thus, the shareholders are the true owners of Vanguard. I'm curious how this works and more importantly - how is ...
0.45
t3_ualmiy
1,650,770,383
investing
Where can I find historical earnings beats/misses?
Hello everyone, I was wondering if there was anywhere I can view earnings beats and misses as a statistic. After NFLX last week I'd like to be able to check before committing to earnings plays. I understand I can view earnings individually but I'm mostly looking for consistent earnings beats and misses in an easy to u...
0.8
t3_uaku98
1,650,767,581
investing
combatting potential bad yr of investment growth
I recently got into investing..decided to use a robo advisor through Schwab to start me off in Dec. 2021. I do understand the portfolio set up for me....but it's not looking too great. I have a 401K and maxed out HSA. Already doing the right things there. I have 8 months in emergency savings. So, anyways, how are y...
0.59
t3_uakqg6
1,650,767,206
investing
Wash Sale Question TD Ameritrade
I am kinda new to wash sales. I bought an ETF for $14 a share; the DRIP over the course of a few months brought the price per share down to $13.71 (the ETF DRIPs at NAV which is lower than the share price). I ended up selling all my shares at a share price of $13.85 (for a profit). So while it was below the initial ...
0.74
t3_uak97o
1,650,765,543
investing
Can anyone help me understand Blackstone's offer for ACC and it's implications for me?
tl;dr, ACC is being bought out and I own quite a few shares--what implications does this have for me and what should I do right now? As per this article ([https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/19/blackstone-to-buy-american-campus-communities-in-12point8-billion-deal.html](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/19/blackstone-to-buy-ameri...
0.69
t3_uahp8q
1,650,756,845
investing
Increasing interest rates, P2P resurgence?
Over the past few years debt has been really cheap. As everyone knows, rates are going up with the fed saying a 50 basis point increase is possible to tame inflation, with more increases to come. With traditional lending becoming more and more expensive, I'd like to know everyone's opinion on P2P lending and if you thi...
0.65
t3_uagew2
1,650,752,788
investing
My thoughts on current macroeconomic state
So the Federal Reserve is going to hike rates to cool the economy and inflation. Inflation itself will tamp down demand, and so will the rate hikes. Housing prices are already inflated, add in some rate hikes, the demand for housing should drop some, or at least not go up anymore. Unemployment numbers suggests a stro...
0.82
t3_uaec5v
1,650,746,467
investing
About exercising voting rights and points to vote for, any thoughts?
I'm starting to get voting forms for different companies I've invested into and some points are... off. Any thoughts on below? So, for example, our favourite dead horse we like to kick - $FB - voting letter proposes to vote **Against** Shareholder proposal regarding: report on lobbying human rights impact child s...
0.54
t3_ua9hd4
1,650,732,221
investing
How to $%#£ trade one stock for another on fidelity?!
Newbie question: I have an account in fidelity.com. It’s the weekend. I want to input an order for market open, to sell all I have of one stock, and use the proceeds to buy as many shares as possible of another stock. This has to be the 3rd most common trading desire in the world, but I cannot for the life of me fi...
0.47
t3_ua9fm5
1,650,732,077
investing
Best place to hold part of an emergency fund?
My wife and I are pretty diversified. We have solid 401k’s that we continue to contribute to, we have a personal investment fund with some stocks and lots of ETF’s that we drip into every month, we have a small savings (primarily for vacations and bills), and an additional emergency fund of about $70,000. With inflat...
0.88
t3_ua8jth
1,650,729,611
investing
If you can't stomach S&P going to 2800, you should sell now
Although it would be brutal, it wouldn't be the first time S&P has full retraced a massive move over a long period of time I'm just putting out this PSA, because I can tell reading the hopium and copium here a lot of ya'll aren't prepared or hedged for that downside Also, consider and prepare for the economic imp...
0.4
t3_ua7x1k
1,650,727,831
investing
Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - April 23, 2022
Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant info...
0.78
t3_ua19uj
1,650,704,468
investing
What is the next tech company that you believe will have negative growth or lose subscribers (like Facebook and Netflix)?
When Facebook and Netflix both posted the first time they lost subscribers for a quarter their stock dropped by 20-30% respectively. Maybe this will end up being a domino effect and more tech companies will follow suit. For example Amazon might’ve been a good bet. But unfortunately they’ve diversified to other areas ...
0.85
t3_ua044f
1,650,699,494
investing
Dow Tumbles Nearly 1,000 Points as Stocks Extend Selloff
ERROR: type should be string, got "https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-markets-dow-update-04-22-2022-11650613003?mod=hp_lead_pos1\n\nWorries about slowing corporate earnings and the Federal Reserve’s plans to rapidly raise interest rates dragged the Dow industrials to their worst day since 2020.\n\nInvestors this week parsed first-quarter financial results from a range of firms in search of clues about the health of the economy, the consumer outlook and companies’ ability to cope with inflation. Of the companies that have reported so far, about 80% have beat analyst expectations, according to FactSet, which has helped provide some stability to the U.S. stock market.\n\n“Usually when the economy’s slowing down, or there is a perception it’ll slow down, there are obvious sectors to hide in. Those traditional sectors aren’t as safe from an earnings basis as they are historically because they still are going to have negative impacts from inflation,” said Tavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average posted its worst one-day percentage change since October 2020, losing 981.36 points, or 2.8%, to close at 33811.40. The S&P 500 dropped 121.88 points, or 2.8%, to 4271.78, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 335.36 points, or 2.5%, to finish at 12839.29. \n\nThe recent rise in government-bond yields showed signs of steadying, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note ending Friday at 2.905%, down two of the past three trading days. Yields staged a climb earlier Friday before reversing course. Bond yields rise when prices decline.\n\nHealthcare stocks are often considered defensive, with money managers betting that consumers will pay medical bills before making discretionary purchases. The S&P 500’s healthcare sector fell 3.6%, its worst day since June 2020.\n\nConcerns about inflation and the pace of monetary tightening by the Fed also remained at the forefront of investors’ minds this week. On Thursday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell gave investors a clear signal that the central bank is ready to tighten monetary policy more quickly and indicated that it was likely to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at its meeting in May.\n\nA rate increase next month, following the Fed’s quarter percentage point increase in March, would mark the first time since 2006 that the central bank increased its policy rate at back-to-back meetings.\n\nMr. Powell’s comments injected fresh volatility into a stock market that has been whipsawed this year by the war in Ukraine, soaring inflation and rising Covid-19 cases in China.\n\n“The market is finally internalizing and factoring in the reality that the Fed really means what it says and it’s not going to back down,” said Tim Courtney, chief investment officer of Exencial Wealth Advisors. “Somebody had a saying, and it’s pretty\n good: ‘You don’t fight the Fed when the Fed is fighting inflation.’”\n\nIn commodities, Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil, fell $1.68 a barrel, or 1.6%, to $106.65. It fell 4.5% this week.\n\n---\n\nJust want to add, there's been some negative correlation between oil and the rest of the market, but today everything was bloody red."
0.95
t3_u9x6bn
1,650,687,667
investing
Ex employer keeps moving 401k without notifying me
I have about 180k in a 401k from an ex employer. I don't really trust him. He has moved it three times in the past three years without telling me, leaving me to track it down. It's now with Millennium Trust, and I think I need to move it out. I can use Fidelity, Schwab, or a TSP, or maybe open an account at Millenn...
0.74
t3_u9x35b
1,650,687,351
investing
At what spread above treasury rates do Short Box Spreads typically get filled?
If I wanted to short a box spread as a cheap source of margin loan, how much should I price the rate of the box above treasury yields? Also a few questions: 1) Does the maturity effect this e.g. Does a 3 year box have a higher/lower spread than a 1 month box? 2) How does the spread effect the time it takes to get fi...
0.83
t3_u9wxod
1,650,686,827
investing
Understanding the return wording
A construction revenue sharing investment I'm looking at suggests "3x return on the initial investment amount" For example, would that mean for a $10,000 investment I make an additional $30,000 and get back my $10,000 leaving me with $40,000 or that I make $20,000 and get back my initial $10,000 and walk off with a to...
0.33
t3_u9tdyh
1,650,675,187
investing
Investing in stocks as an International Student in the UK
I am a Colombian student studying in the UK and I want to buy stocks with some spare money I have in my UK bank account. I do not know almost anything about taxes in the UK so I do not know if I have to pay taxes for any profits I get. Does anyone know what resources could help me with this issue?
0.33
t3_u9t9cs
1,650,674,769
investing
How do you read 10-K filings to make the analysis more efficient?
Most analysts I talk to, like reading financial reports of public companies and claim to understand the numbers quite well. But not everyone likes to read long stories behind those numbers hidden in 10-K reports. Reading long lines of unstructured text data is just cumbersome. Questions: 1. How do you read 10-K fi...
0.86
t3_u9l06p
1,650,651,305
investing
Do Stock Prices affect Cashflows?
With all the noise being made around Netflix stock crashing, I had a question. Do Stock Prices of a company affect Cashflows? The way I understand it, they shouldn't have much to do with each other. I understand that a stock crash might happen due to factors that also reduce Cashflow, but I'm talking about a Direct Rel...
0.78
t3_u9pm3o
1,650,663,942
investing
KRBN, thoughts? Global trend towards carbon tax, carbon "markets" for trading carbon credits.
ERROR: type should be string, got "https://cleantechnica.com/2022/04/20/denmark-announces-aggressive-carbon-tax/\n\nKRBN rallied by 5% two days ago after months of no movement. It's an ETF I've been following closely. Does anyone have opinions of this? Seems to be picking up some steam of finance discussion forums due to new policies that are being rolled out regarding carbon emissions taxes.\n\nAlso seems to be a trend that the entire western world, and even China, are moving forward. A \"carbon tax\" where \"credits\" are traded and can be bought and sold by individual investors on a carbon \"market\""
0.85
t3_u9nqyn
1,650,658,819
investing
What copper company do you think has the potential that I should invest in?
I just noticed that Gold and silver cost 400 and 5 times more than copper, respectively. The reasons can be largely explained by both material scarcity and by enduring public opinion. But, The good thing about copper is that the cheaper a commodity is, the more volatile its price can be. Gold isn’t going to double in v...
0.82
t3_u9nqf5
1,650,658,783
investing
The FED plans to shrink the balance sheet - support for the stock market gone?
𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙁𝙀𝘿 𝙥𝙡𝙖𝙣𝙨 𝙩𝙤 𝙨𝙝𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙠 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙗𝙖𝙡𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙚 𝙨𝙝𝙚𝙚𝙩 - 𝙨𝙪𝙥𝙥𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙛𝙤𝙧 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙘𝙠 𝙢𝙖𝙧𝙠𝙚𝙩 𝙜𝙤𝙣𝙚? The Federal Reserve (US central bank) wants to reduce their bond holdings by shrinking the balance sheet around $95 billion a month. In other words, they want to sell a ...
0.58
t3_u9k1eh
1,650,648,631
investing
Is Margin Trading wise for your average investor?
I have an investment account and a Roth IRA. I don't want to trade with leverage for any sort of crazy options play or anything, just your standard Long time frame, buy-and-hold, equity investments. Would it be wise to invest with leverage? Do you think that if I do trade with leverage I should invest lower risk than I...
0.52
t3_u9jjkv
1,650,647,261
investing
if everything is priced in, then why......?
then why did Hang Seng index fall over 40% right after the handover to China in JUNE 1997 even though the arrangements started around a decade ago and everyone knew the timing of the handover? shouldn't it be effectively priced in? what do you think about it?
0.33
t3_u9ik9g
1,650,644,672
investing
Is there any investment that's safe right now?
With bonds getting slaughtered, and stocks continuing their slow bleed, is there anything safe right now? I always thought that common sense stated that bonds were supposed to be the "safer" and less volatile investment, but it doesn't seem be the case any more.
0.89
t3_u9gnv1
1,650,639,604
investing
What is the best way to handle taxes on vesting shares?
I will be having shares vesting and I’ve heard the taxes we need to pay out of pocket and there’s basically no way around it. Is there a way I could move shares vested into a 401k and be taxed on them later? I thought you only had to pay taxes on anything you personally take out. Any help would be appreciated. Edit:...
0.64
t3_u9fbtk
1,650,635,917
investing
Investing in foreign company - common stock vs depository receipt?
When investing in a company based outside of your home country there may be an option to choose between Common Stock and Depository Receipt. What are the pros/cons to each of these? Ex In USA - brokerages show BASF has: BASFY (Depository Receipt) BFFAF (Common Stock) They both have a similar dividend but show diff...
0.5
t3_u9dk61
1,650,630,722
investing
How do you invest with your values?
I've been investing in ETFs since 2017, mostly in S&P500, and recently realised how many companies that includes which I'd rather not support (weapons, oil and gas, etc). Even the 'ESG' or 'Green Energy' ETFs still have ExxonMobil and others... Honestly looking into it I saw it's all marketing bs. Betterment/Acorns...
0.44
t3_u9diqq
1,650,630,596
investing
Did you invest in TSLA? Let's see how TSLA has grown into a listed company with a market value of $1 trillion? Judging from its acquisition case.
**Have you invested in Tesla stock? Today its market value has exceeded $1 trillion. How did Tesla grow into a $1 trillion public company? Let's look at its acquisitions.** Tesla was founded in 2003, with a revenue of $53.823 billion in 2021 and a market value of $1.08 trillion. Tesla is still a relatively young compa...
0.42
t3_u9d6sq
1,650,629,507
investing
Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - April 22, 2022
Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant info...
0.79
t3_u9a65v
1,650,618,068
investing
Investing on Acorns — what are the consequence of changing to a more aggressive portfolio at a loss?
I started investing a few dollars at a time under a moderately aggressive portfolio in January. All in all, I’ve lost money, but I’m actually wanting to change to a more aggressive portfolio since I’m young and have pennies to burn. I know that switching portfolios can have adverse tax consequences — is this somethin...
0.61
t3_u947xo
1,650,595,177
investing
Fed’s Powell Seals Expectations of Half-Point Rate Rise in May
ERROR: type should be string, got "https://www.wsj.com/articles/feds-powell-could-seal-expectations-of-half-point-rate-rise-in-may-11650533444?mod=hp_lead_pos1\n\nFederal Reserve officials have broadly signaled a desire to raise interest rates to levels that don’t provide stimulus\n\nFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the central bank was likely to raise interest rates by a half percentage point at its meeting next month and indicated similar rate rises could be warranted after that to lower inflation.\n\nA rate increase in May, following the Fed’s decision to lift rates from near zero by a quarter percentage point last month, would mark the first time since 2006 that the central bank increased its policy rate at back-to-back meetings. A half-point increase would be the first such move since 2000.\n\nThe Fed has indicated it will also formally announce plans at the May 3-4 meeting to begin shrinking its $9 trillion asset portfolio in June, a double-barreled effort to remove stimulus to curb price pressures that are at a four-decade high.\n\n“It is appropriate in my view to be moving a little more quickly” than the Fed has in the recent past, Mr. Powell said Thursday. “I also think there’s something in the idea of front-end loading” those moves.\n\nInvestors in interest-rate futures markets have in recent weeks bet on increases of a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, at each of the Fed’s next two meetings. “Markets are processing what we’re seeing. They’re reacting appropriately, generally,” Mr. Powell said, though he said he wasn’t endorsing any particular market pricing. Still, he concluded, “Fifty basis points will be on the table for the May meeting.”\n\nMr. Powell warned of growing supply-and-demand imbalances in the U.S. labor market that some economists worry could fuel a wage-price spiral that drives inflation higher as workers bid up wages.\n\nIn July 2019, as the unemployment rate was falling to a half-century low of 3.5% but inflation drifted below the Fed’s 2% target, Mr. Powell dismissed concerns that the labor market might be overheating. “To call something hot, you need to see some heat,” he said.\n\nToday, wage growth is running at its highest levels in years and the labor market has tightened rapidly, with the unemployment rate tumbling to 3.6% in March from 5.9% last June. “It’s too hot. It’s unsustainably hot,” Mr. Powell said. “It’s our job to get it to a better place where supply and demand are closer together.”\n\nMr. Powell said the Fed is focused above all else on bringing down inflation. “Economies don’t work without price stability,” he said.\n\nThe Fed is trying to engineer a so-called soft landing in which it slows growth enough to bring down inflation, but not so aggressively that the economy slips into a recession. “I don’t think you’ll hear anyone at the Fed say that that’s straightforward or easy. It’s going to be very challenging,” Mr. Powell said."
0.97
t3_u92olg
1,650,590,295
investing
I do not understand how dividend long term investing works.
I understand some companies either give a yearly or quarterly dividends. But I don't see how it can increase so much. Example: Company A gives a 2% dividend, and annually the dividend increases by 3-4% ish. Over a span of 40 years wouldn't the dividend payout be extremely high? Also, how does dividend reinvesting work?...
0.7
t3_u9218a
1,650,588,297
investing
Fertilizer Market- Very Bullish Weekly Prints Coming In $MOS $NTR $CF - *Mini Post* please add if you have more insights 🙏
Fertilizer Market- Very Bullish Weekly Prints Coming In $MOS $NTR $CF - *Mine Post* This market is extremely bullish reaching all time record breaking highs! And with earnings around the corner for fertilizer producers are going to be bullish imo. If you look back at charts of 2007-08 these companies are much more va...
0.59
t3_u90p7k
1,650,584,159
investing
What investment advice would you give to an immortal being?
First of all, as a declaimer I must make this very clear. I have NOT split my soul into 7 pieces. There is NOT a portrait of me in the attic that keeps getting older and older. I have NOT kidnaped a princess with magical hair. And I have NOT been bitten by a vampire. This is just a question in general and I am not aski...
0.39
t3_u8zlkn
1,650,580,918
investing
Once in a lifetime opportunity
With the recent sell off in a lot of stocks, we are going to be faced with a once in a lifetime opportunity to accumulate some of the world’s most cutting edge companies. Now is the time to be building your watch lists of companies that you have strong conviction in over the next 5 years +. Don’t fret over the short te...
0.2
t3_u8zj9i
1,650,580,739
investing
Is Meta platforms Inc (FB) a value pick or value trap?
Despite earnings going from $23.5 Billion in June 2020 to $39 Billion in December 2021, the stock price has dropped by 18% in that time period and has halved since September. I understand there are concerns around a slight decrease in users and the uncertainty of the metaverse, but it feels like this is an overcorrecti...
0.87
t3_u8w2wa
1,650,570,979
investing
Why aren't Fed rate hikes priced in already?
The Fed has been saying since November that they would hike rates 6 times during 2022, sometimes 0.25 and sometimes 0.50. By now, this is old news. The message hasn't changed. Yet, every single time anything is said about this, the general market seems to have a fresh panic sell-off, with growth stocks (e.g. the segmen...
0.92
t3_u8upa6
1,650,567,164
investing
Any explanation for PLUG’s plummet today?
I’m trying to figure it out but as much research and news as I can find is leaving me stumped. These guys have been on the up for years with smart financials, the emergence of green energy, their expansion into new markets (Renault) and building bigger deals with current customers (Wal-Mart) so what gives?! What the he...
0.71
t3_u8tp73
1,650,564,402
investing
So, this Twitter thing. The stock's barely moving, but Musk says he's got the bucks. What's up?
It's seemed unwise in the past 5 years to bet against Musk. He seems ready to takeover Twitter, which has been the most underperforming mega platform with the least amount of tweaks to its strategy towards growth. Musk has (annoyingly so) become a conservative media darling, thus garnering some to complain that he's ki...
0.39
t3_u8ta2c
1,650,563,263
investing
US performance in the future
If the US stock market continues to outperform international stock markets at the rate that it has recently, then wouldn't the US will be 99% of the world’s market cap eventually (in the next 10-20 years)? Is this even possible? If not possible, would that suggest that the rational choice would be to invest more in a T...
0.78
t3_u8q6q0
1,650,554,906
investing
Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - April 21, 2022
Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant info...
0.67
t3_u8j6po
1,650,531,669
investing
Sustainable energy and tech?
Hi all. Very new to investments. But I’d like to go bigger. I’ve done chump change to see how my gut-feelings pan out. Has anyone worked in Lumen stock? I’m seeing an enormous downtrend, but they advertise as being the next big thing. Pretty typical, but I’m new. Has anyone had good luck with sustainable energy and...
0.64
t3_u8fpa1
1,650,517,025
investing
Am I being silly by having many index funds?
Something about my investing habits, i tend to not like to put all my eggs into one basket, to an extreme in many ways. So I think I might be off on investment strategy, or maybe others do this and i'm not crazy, i'm just wondering. But I like to invest in multiple index funds, energy, medical, S&P 500, total mark...
0.72
t3_u8bicd
1,650,503,297
investing
Why do we measure the market by the S&P? Why not the Russel? Or the Dow? And, what happens to the rest of other markets when the S&P performs poorly?
With all the talk of the S&P being overvalued or that its too high or that its going to correct... I'm starting to wonder: why is there so much more focus on the S&P? I see a dozen charts a week showing how the S&P performed since some arbitrary date in time. Why don't we give that same focus to the Dow? ...
0.5
t3_u8b64c
1,650,502,264
investing
Google Earnings Report Discussion Thoughts?
GOOGL is expecting to announce their earnings for Q1 2022 on April 26, 2022. Last time during the Q4 2021 ER, GOOGL shot up from the $2500 support level to as high as $2960. It was not as huge as previous ERs but it announced a 20-to-1 stock split which played a huge part. The $2500 support level is very strong as it ...
0.79
t3_u8atco
1,650,501,161
investing
What was it like being invested through the great recession?
What did the markets do, what did you do? Did stop losses even matter, did the prices plummet after hours? Did it change how you invest? I only have two anecdotes. I know a guy who lost his daughter's college/future fund. It was around 100k. He was devastated and said he'd never invest again. Then my father, who was in...
0.9
t3_u88ij2
1,650,494,319
investing
Is this the beginning for Netflix to feel the side effects due to lack of portfolio diversification?
Netflix is the streaming leader, but being a leader in a domain eventually you reach a point of saturation especially with competitors on your heals. They are attempting to become the entertainment goto while they have the concentration of eyeballs on their platform. They could steer customers to other entertainment co...
0.65
t3_u86ynn
1,650,489,979
investing
Tesla's Q1 results; 3.3B net income, 19% operating margin, 33% auto gross margin. Reduced debt from 1.4B to 88 MILLION.
[Link to the Q1 financials.](https://tesla-cdn.thron.com/static/IOSHZZ_TSLA_Q1_2022_Update_G9MOZE.pdf?xseo=&response-content-disposition=inline%3Bfilename%3D%22TSLA-Q1-2022-Update.pdf%22) P/E is now ~130 and EPS for Q1 was 2.86. Forward P/E is ~90. Tesla is an absolute financial monster and by retiring the debt t...
0.96
t3_u86h5b
1,650,488,613
investing
Stock Market is a Casino, but Can't Cash your Chips - Only Sell your Seat?
I read this description of the stock market somewhere, I'm wondering if you guys think it's accurate. If not, why not? Imagine there's a casino, and you're sitting at a table with $500 worth of chips in front of you. However, you can't take out your chips, exchange them for cash and walk away. Instead, you can only se...
0.17
t3_u86538
1,650,487,722
investing
How valuable is Tax Loss Harvesting for a fresh grad?
I just graduated college and have been looking to consolidate my investments into a robo advisor. I’ll be living in Colorado earning about 81k gross and I have around 50k saved up (I also have no student debt which I am absurdly grateful for!) When I look around between different choices, the feature of Tax Loss Harves...
0.43
t3_u85usl
1,650,486,955
investing
Evaluating Pension buyback vs investing
Hey everyone, I am a teacher and have the option of buying pensionable service as an investment. Here are the facts: -32 years old -plan to retire in 25 years (age 56, 2047) -1 year of pension service is 8917 dollars(its partially subsidized) -I'm not in great health, so let's assume I will die 5 years before the ...
0.6
t3_u854ck
1,650,484,911
investing
Anyone use a Private Mailbox for their investment accounts?
Like if you don't have a solid address in the US or you are an expat or you spend most of your time out of the US and come back to visit friends, have you used one of those Private Mailbox services? They seem great in terms of holding and forwarding mail as needed, but it's the address I really need.
0.5
t3_u83zh8
1,650,481,813
investing
Understanding the “Buy, borrow, die” strategy.
Diving into this subject a bit lately. I think I get the basic idea as outlined here: https://www.peoplestaxpage.org/buy-borrow-die-1 But I am curious about a couple of things… hypothetically of course… How much (in appreciating assets) does one actually need to pull this off? Is a stock portfolio worth 1M getting sa...
0.48
t3_u82zjd
1,650,479,075
investing
Invested in a private company that recently sold.
I had the opportunity to invest in a private company I was working for right at the end of 2019. The company has been around for a couple of decades but recent leadership made some bad decisions so they opened up funding again in 2019. I bought $25K in restricted stock and took a $25K pay cut in order to get some commo...
0.88
t3_u80pz4
1,650,472,918
investing
Streaming reset. When does it hit bottom? Netflix, Disney, paramont.,
Seems like we are in a very volatile situation with the Netflix reset. Will the contagion from Netflix bring the other streaming services down more? It seems to me that Disney may be at rock-bottom. But then again it keeps going lower. Any thoughts regarding a good time to look at buying some streaming services? I d...
0.93
t3_u7zf3i
1,650,469,397
investing
Wealth Management & Tax Loss Harvesting Benefits for ~30Y/O?
I got married a year ago, and with the joint income between my wife and I we've realized that we have more and more to invest. Because of this, we've started meeting with a financial advisor (through Fidelity) for a little over a year now. A topic that occasionally comes up with "wealth management". We're considering p...
0.73
t3_u7zccr
1,650,469,194
investing
Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - April 20, 2022
Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant info...
0.74
t3_u7s5yb
1,650,445,269
investing
Ways to automatically detect changes in companies' fundamental ratios' directions?
Just finished a self-study course, which included stock valuation and companies' fundamentals. One specific thing was, to try to see trends of increases or decreases over time, in a company's fundamentals (P/B, P/E, profit, etc.); and to take note of reversals in those trends as possible indicators of action to take. ...
0.4
t3_u7k7sv
1,650,415,924
investing
Utilities Stocks and Inflation
I’ve read in a number of places online that utilities stocks don’t do very well during periods of high inflation. The reasoning is that the increases in energy costs for these companies can’t be instantly passed down to consumers by instantly raising prices by a large amount because many of these companies are regulate...
0.78
t3_u7fy4d
1,650,403,536
investing
Netflix Q1 EPS $3.53 vs. $2.89 Est.; Q1 Revs. $7.87B vs. $7.93B Est. Stock is down -20% AH
* Shares of Netflix cratered more than 23% on Tuesday after the company reported a loss of 200,000 subscribers during the first quarter. * It’s the first time the streamer has reported a subscriber loss in more than a decade. * Netflix blamed increased competition, password sharing as well as inflation and the ongoin...
0.97
t3_u7f3jz
1,650,401,217
investing
McDonald's As Inflation Hedge
I am trying to hedge against inflation and thought McDonald's stock might be a good idea. My reasoning behind this is: 1. In essence, they are a real estate company and generate much of their profits through leases to franchises 2. As a worldwide company, international revenue will protect against possible devaluation ...
0.81
t3_u7dnu9
1,650,397,403
investing
Investing in Crypto ETF Funds
I understand the theory behind crypto currency, but not to the degree that I've done any research on it. But now that some foreign governments are using it, the US is dropping hints and even WalMart is trying to get their own version going.... I'm paying a little more attention to various articles on the subject. A ...
0.38
t3_u7dl81
1,650,397,207
investing
Prudent to invest in a single investor/developer?
Hi there, I'm turning to this community for some advice for a friend of mine (this is actually a friend, not the whole "asking for a friend" thing). He was approached by a developer/investor that's also a good friend of his and asked if he wanted to invest in some land deals this developer had on the horizon. He is ...
0.43
t3_u7deyv
1,650,396,747
investing
Can someone explain this bullshit to me? Result of PFOF?
I was about to sell an option on RH and saw the price at $1.10 but then was prompted to reset my password. By the time I reset my password, the option price had tanked to $.62 and I thought, ok maybe I was just seeing old data as RH has it's bugs. Decided to try and sell the options anyway at $.65 with the bid/ask .55/...
0.33
t3_u7axyh
1,650,390,321
investing
Nvidia SEC filings - Item 1 and 7 - word frequency count analysis - 2011 – 2022
Just though I would share some interesting word frequency count for Nvidia for years 2011 - 2022. Interesting transition from "products" to "AI" and now to "software". Here’s a link to the post: [Nvidia - Word Frequency Count](https://www.reddit.com/r/codingeconomist/comments/u287hp/nvidia_financial_report_word_freq...
0.87
t3_u7auyt
1,650,390,113
investing
Do dividends actually create any additional value?
You often hear that the best investment advice is to put your money into a fund, not to touch it, and to re-invest the dividends. But if the price of a stock goes down by the value of the distribution, what is the value of a dividend at all? For example, if I buy Company A for $90 and it goes up to $100. Then they i...
0.76
t3_u79hdk
1,650,386,493
investing
In an economic recession, what can you invest in?
Prior to further speaking on my point, mods and everyone, please note that I attempted to thoroughly look for the answer to my question on here but I’ve had no success in finding that. If there is, please guide me there. I’m sure most people have the understanding that we are already in the process of an economic rec...
0.44
t3_u7871l
1,650,383,110
investing
Fannie Mae forecasts U.S. economy to fall into modest recession next year
"Our updated forecast includes an expectation of a modest recession in the latter half of 2023 as we see a contraction in economic activity as the most likely path to meet the Federal Reserve’s inflation objective given the current rate of wage growth and inflation." https://www.fanniemae.com/research-and-insights/fo...
0.96
t3_u74jsr
1,650,373,066
investing
Can you please check my long term investment plan and answer a few questions?
Hi, I have finally started investing in stocks and would like if you guys can check my long term assumptions and answer a few questions I have. I am 30yo and my NW is £85k. I have got £75k invested in V3AM. I plan contribute £1k/month until I will have enough money to retire. My questions are: 1. what is ...
0.45
t3_u74e42
1,650,372,580
investing
Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - April 19, 2022
Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant info...
0.91
t3_u70nv8
1,650,358,869
investing
Etoro CopyTrade for New Investor?
I want to get into a small amount of low to medium risk investing, and have little to no experience. I don't want to spend a whole lot of time on managing it, however I'm happy to spend a couple hours a week if need be. Would a properly researched and setup Etoro CopyTrade/Copy Portfolio be a good option for long term?...
0.38
t3_u6yrgl
1,650,350,776
investing
Why I bonds could be bad for an emergency fund
I've been considering migrating my emergency fund into I bonds by purchasing the 10k every year, and after each year has cleared, withdrawing 10k from my current emergency fund (high yield savings). Here are my thoughts: First some math on the difference - for each 10k in I bonds instead of a high yield savings accoun...
0.2
t3_u6su48
1,650,330,755
investing
Buying after a major companies failure.
I’m 30 and only invest in mutual funds, but I’ve always wanted to invest $500-$2000 in companies that take a higher hit from a PR issue or failure. For example I render when Boeing was sub $100 and thinking this is it. This is going to be a money maker. I didn’t do it. Does anyone have any data on something like this ...
0.83
t3_u6sgb7
1,650,329,625
investing
Question about bonds and rising rates
I am down about 10% on my Vanguard BND fund in the last 12 months. I thought that bonds basically meant that you loan your money and get a very small premium at the end of the term. Will these funds recover eventually if I keep holding, assuming the interest rates stabilize?
0.82
t3_u6qe5p
1,650,323,688
investing
Which index fund(s) do you hold?
So after almost 15 years investing in individual stocks (and doing quite well, mind you) I’ve recently switched to an ‘all-in index fund” approach. I’ve found that trying to pick individual stocks to beat the market takes up far too much of my time… especially as I continue to age. I don’t trust my ability to beat th...
0.88
t3_u6q0tz
1,650,322,694
investing
Jim Cramer's, 04/14 Mad Money Stock Recommendations
These are Jim Cramers recommendations from his 04/14 Mad Money Show |Company|Ticker Symbol|Recommendation|Stock Price| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |1-800-Flowers (FLWS)|FLWS|buy|$13.40| |AT&T (T)|T|sell|$19.54| |American Express (AXP)|AXP|buy|$181.16| |Bank of America (BAC)|BAC|buy|$37.57| |Carmax (KMX)|KMX|negative|$91.79| |C...
0.52
t3_u6poyz
1,650,321,779
investing
Any thoughts on stomp capital?
I was looking to pick up some real estate investing without the management work. Stomp capital looks interesting, they essentially get zoned as a STR and build up resort properties. They don't really have any history, though I don't see anything negative about the founder, who's been in the business for a while.
0.3
t3_u6plyb
1,650,321,544
investing
Vanguard retirement ETFs for person with little pension.
I'm currently an expat and have kind of neglected my retirement since leaving the comfort and safety of company and state retirement plans. I'm now looking to ensure the security of my future by regularly investing (mainly for retirement, but once that's seeded possibly for a mortgage to). Having set up a brokerage acc...
0.67
t3_u6o19s
1,650,317,298
investing
Value with momentum investing 20.81% cagr
Has anyone researched this strategy which is back-tested by a phd? specifically the portion titled "Value (and then Momentum) Investing Portfolio Results". The Cagr is staggering at 20.81% between 1974-2014. [https://alphaarchitect.com/2015/03/the-best-way-to-combine-value-and-momentum-investing-strategies/](https://a...
0.72
t3_u6nf1j
1,650,315,600
investing
new US Gov I-bond interest rates for April 2022 - 9.62%
don't know if this was already noted somewhere but this is a nice inflation hedge: looks like US Gov I-Bond interest rates will jump from a healthy 7.12% to a very nice 9.62% this month, for at least the next 6 months. https://keilfp.com/blogpodcast/i-bond-rate-november-2021-to-april-2022/
0.96
t3_u6milx
1,650,313,248
investing
Hot Economy, Rising Inflation: The Fed Has Never Successfully Fixed a Problem Like This
ERROR: type should be string, got "https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-jobs-fed-recession-economy-11650294297?mod=hp_lead_pos9\n\nThe Federal Reserve is setting out to do something it has never accomplished before: reduce inflation a lot without significantly raising unemployment.\n\nCentral bank officials think it is possible with calibrated interest rate increases that slow booming demand just enough to take steam out of an overheated economy. But even one of the Fed’s closest allies, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, sees the risk of failure. “It will require skill and also good luck,” the former Fed chair said in public comments in Washington last week.\n\nDuring the past 80 years, the Fed has never lowered inflation as much as it is setting out to do now—by four percentage points—without causing recession. In this case, the central bank will need a number of factors out of its control to break its way.\n\nStill, Fed officials can find reason for both optimism and caution from history. In seven different episodes during the past 80 years, inflation has fallen as much as the Fed bank wants it to drop now, with varying outcomes. The episodes suggest that the desired scenario is theoretically possible though the risk of failure is high, especially because the bank is chasing inflation that already exists, rather than addressing the problem before it arises as it did in some earlier episodes.\n\n“No one expects that bringing about a soft landing will be straightforward in the current context—very little is straightforward in the current context,” Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said last month. The central bank, he added, faces a “challenging task.”\n\nDuring the early 1980s, the U.S. experienced a classic hard-landing as economists dub it—falling into a deep recession with double-digit unemployment after the Fed pushed its benchmark interest rate to nearly 20% to tame stubbornly high inflation that had been rising for more than a decade.\n\nThe U.S. had less severe, but bumpy landings during the 1950s, characterized by short-lived inflation spikes and recessions. During that period, the unemployment rate rarely got very high even when economic output contracted.\n\nThe 1970s delivered aborted landings, when inflation fell and then lurched higher, beset by outside shocks such as OPEC oil embargoes and policy missteps including a central bank that hesitated to raise interest rates aggressively.\n\nThe U.S. has had soft landings, too, most recently in 1994. Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan sharply raised rates to 6% in February 1995 from 3% one year earlier, and the unemployment rate kept going down. Unlike 1994, however, the Fed today is trying to reduce inflation that is already too high rather than prevent it from rising, as Mr. Greenspan did back then.\n\nIn the scenario Fed officials mapped out, their benchmark interest rate will rise to around 2.75% by the end of next year, just above estimates of a rate that neither spurs nor slows growth.\n\nThey project inflation will drop to slightly above 2% by 2024, a rare four-percentage-point decline in less than three years. They see economic output growing at a rate between 2% and 3% while unemployment holds below 4%.\n\nJohn Taylor, an economist at Stanford University who is the author of an influential policy-setting rule of thumb called the “Taylor rule,” says his formula calls for the Fed to set interest rates at 5% right now. Because the Fed is unlikely to lift rates so dramatically in one year, he said officials instead ought to raise rates to 3% by December and signal more increases after that unless inflation comes down.\n\n“This is not the only time in history that they’ve been behind, but they are strikingly behind,” said Mr. Taylor. “They need to catch up and do it in a systematic and understandable way.”\n\nThe Fed’s success will depend on several factors outside its control. Those include whether global energy supplies recover from the shock of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, reducing energy prices; whether sidelined U.S. workers rejoin the labor force, easing the labor shortage and wage pressures; whether Chinese plants reopen in the face of more Covid-19 lockdowns, clearing supply bottlenecks; and whether Covid itself recedes for good in the U.S., ending related pandemic-related economic disruptions.\n\nThe Fed’s job will be easier if these supply constraints ease. If they don’t, the central bank will need to push rates higher to squeeze demand, with a risk of more damage to the economy."
0.89
t3_u6m6bj
1,650,312,356
investing
What are your thoughts on CLM and its 17% dividend?
I already have some stock in CLM for 3-4 years now. it has been giving a monthly dividend of 25% for my cost. It has dropped by about 20% in the past two weeks or so. it's sitting at 17% DIV. I was wondering if I should AVG up or not. Have you done any DD on it?
0.81
t3_u6levk
1,650,310,399
investing
Best approach to Bond ETFs / Funds, currently? (Lost 12% so far & trying to understand what I need to know in the future)
I'm hoping to get some 1) understanding (education) about bonds and maybe even 2)advice (action?) about best next steps with a bond ETF that's not doing well. I just started investing a year ago, so I've been investing slowly, mainly to solidify my own education and understand the best investment approach for myself m...
0.63
t3_u6ldec
1,650,310,287
investing
What happens to secondary US Bonds in the event of a foreign debt crisis?
The WSJ is reporting increased concerns of a debt crisis in developing countries resulting from increased US Treasury rates and inflation. ​ As someone who has a sizable stake in $TMF (20+ year Treasury 3x Leveraged ETF), what effect would a debt crisis in other countries have on the US secondary bond mark...
0.88
t3_u6f648
1,650,294,010
investing
Which investment themes will grow the most over the next 5-7 years?
Which 4 of the following stock/ETF investment themes do you believe will increase most in value/price over the next 5-7 years: Electric, Autonomous Vehicles & LIDAR; Electric Battery Technology; Genomics, Personalized Medicine & Longevity; 5G; Fintech; Renewable Energy; Semiconductors; Lithium, Nickel and Bat...
0.79
t3_u6jisv
1,650,305,437
investing
Am I in an echo chamber or are index funds really the best?
I'm nearing 30 and have recently started looking doing more with my savings than just a HYSA. I found r/personalfinance and r/Bogleheads about 6 months ago and have been following their advice pretty closely (setting up a Roth IRA and investing in a 3-fund portfolio). However, I am wondering if, as a relatively younger...
0.91
t3_u6k3de
1,650,306,906
investing
Can someone in plain English explain the change in OTC that Vanguard sent me?
Full email: “An update on over-the-counter securities Dear Vanguard Client, Beginning April 28, 2022, Vanguard will no longer accept purchases and transfers in of most over-the-counter (OTC) securities. T...
0.9
t3_u6eido
1,650,292,238
investing
Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - April 18, 2022
Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant info...
0.76
t3_u68nc5
1,650,272,469
investing
Questions about stock options when a company is being bought out.
The company I work for is being bought. I have 750 vested options out of 1,000. My strike price is roughly 65% of the current price and roughly 55% of the price they stocks will be purchased for when the deal closes. My questions are; What happens to the other 250 options that haven't vested? If I don't exerci...
0.76
t3_u65sta
1,650,260,452
investing
Looking for advice about ETF investing
Greetings investors, I've just started investing in ETFs in the last few and was hoping I could get your thoughts on my (small) portfolio so far. To start with, I want to identify long term holdings and I'm not sure how many ETFs I should invest in for this. Also, if yall have any advice on things like portfolio redun...
0.56
t3_u65jut
1,650,259,455
investing
Help structuring LLC with investing/trading in mind
Hello fellow aspiring entrepreneurs, I have a few questions about how to structure my business. I originally pursued the idea of investing as an LLC so I could form a investment fund, and shield my gains. However, upon research, I discovered that simply holding investments in the LLC doesn’t qualify me for any spe...
0.45
t3_u64nu5
1,650,256,109