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The dataset generation failed because of a cast error
Error code:   DatasetGenerationCastError
Exception:    DatasetGenerationCastError
Message:      An error occurred while generating the dataset

All the data files must have the same columns, but at some point there are 4 new columns ({'date_utc', 'token_index', 'price', 'outcome'}) and 16 missing columns ({'category', 'created_at', 'has_provenance', 'outcomes', 'slug', 'volume_usd', 'question', 'resolved_by', 'resolved_at', 'tags', 'end_date', 'winning_outcome', 'id', 'token_ids', 'liquidity_usd', 'final_prices'}).

This happened while the csv dataset builder was generating data using

gzip://prices_daily.csv::hf://datasets/calld-io/polymarket-resolution-archive-teaser@ee9072861d5380caa0413a8d675fed8abb54ca32/prices_daily.csv.gz, ['hf://datasets/calld-io/polymarket-resolution-archive-teaser@ee9072861d5380caa0413a8d675fed8abb54ca32/markets.csv', 'hf://datasets/calld-io/polymarket-resolution-archive-teaser@ee9072861d5380caa0413a8d675fed8abb54ca32/prices_daily.csv.gz', 'hf://datasets/calld-io/polymarket-resolution-archive-teaser@ee9072861d5380caa0413a8d675fed8abb54ca32/provenance.csv']

Please either edit the data files to have matching columns, or separate them into different configurations (see docs at https://hf.co/docs/hub/datasets-manual-configuration#multiple-configurations)
Traceback:    Traceback (most recent call last):
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.14/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1837, in _prepare_split_single
                  writer.write_table(table)
                  ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~^^^^^^^
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.14/site-packages/datasets/arrow_writer.py", line 765, in write_table
                  self._write_table(pa_table, writer_batch_size=writer_batch_size)
                  ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.14/site-packages/datasets/arrow_writer.py", line 773, in _write_table
                  pa_table = table_cast(pa_table, self._schema)
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.14/site-packages/datasets/table.py", line 2369, in table_cast
                  return cast_table_to_schema(table, schema)
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.14/site-packages/datasets/table.py", line 2297, in cast_table_to_schema
                  raise CastError(
                  ...<3 lines>...
                  )
              datasets.table.CastError: Couldn't cast
              condition_id: string
              token_index: int64
              outcome: string
              date_utc: string
              price: double
              -- schema metadata --
              pandas: '{"index_columns": [{"kind": "range", "name": null, "start": 0, "' + 865
              to
              {'id': Value('int64'), 'condition_id': Value('string'), 'slug': Value('string'), 'question': Value('string'), 'category': Value('string'), 'tags': Value('string'), 'outcomes': Value('string'), 'winning_outcome': Value('string'), 'final_prices': Value('string'), 'volume_usd': Value('float64'), 'liquidity_usd': Value('int64'), 'created_at': Value('string'), 'end_date': Value('string'), 'resolved_at': Value('string'), 'resolved_by': Value('string'), 'token_ids': Value('string'), 'has_provenance': Value('bool')}
              because column names don't match
              
              During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
              
              Traceback (most recent call last):
                File "/src/services/worker/src/worker/job_runners/config/parquet_and_info.py", line 1369, in compute_config_parquet_and_info_response
                  parquet_operations, partial, estimated_dataset_info = stream_convert_to_parquet(
                                                                        ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~^
                      builder, max_dataset_size_bytes=max_dataset_size_bytes
                      ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                  )
                  ^
                File "/src/services/worker/src/worker/job_runners/config/parquet_and_info.py", line 948, in stream_convert_to_parquet
                  builder._prepare_split(split_generator=splits_generators[split], file_format="parquet")
                  ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.14/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1683, in _prepare_split
                  for job_id, done, content in self._prepare_split_single(
                                               ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~^
                      gen_kwargs=gen_kwargs, job_id=job_id, **_prepare_split_args
                      ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
                  ):
                  ^
                File "/usr/local/lib/python3.14/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1839, in _prepare_split_single
                  raise DatasetGenerationCastError.from_cast_error(
                  ...<4 lines>...
                  )
              datasets.exceptions.DatasetGenerationCastError: An error occurred while generating the dataset
              
              All the data files must have the same columns, but at some point there are 4 new columns ({'date_utc', 'token_index', 'price', 'outcome'}) and 16 missing columns ({'category', 'created_at', 'has_provenance', 'outcomes', 'slug', 'volume_usd', 'question', 'resolved_by', 'resolved_at', 'tags', 'end_date', 'winning_outcome', 'id', 'token_ids', 'liquidity_usd', 'final_prices'}).
              
              This happened while the csv dataset builder was generating data using
              
              gzip://prices_daily.csv::hf://datasets/calld-io/polymarket-resolution-archive-teaser@ee9072861d5380caa0413a8d675fed8abb54ca32/prices_daily.csv.gz, ['hf://datasets/calld-io/polymarket-resolution-archive-teaser@ee9072861d5380caa0413a8d675fed8abb54ca32/markets.csv', 'hf://datasets/calld-io/polymarket-resolution-archive-teaser@ee9072861d5380caa0413a8d675fed8abb54ca32/prices_daily.csv.gz', 'hf://datasets/calld-io/polymarket-resolution-archive-teaser@ee9072861d5380caa0413a8d675fed8abb54ca32/provenance.csv']
              
              Please either edit the data files to have matching columns, or separate them into different configurations (see docs at https://hf.co/docs/hub/datasets-manual-configuration#multiple-configurations)

Need help to make the dataset viewer work? Make sure to review how to configure the dataset viewer, and open a discussion for direct support.

id
int64
condition_id
string
slug
string
question
string
category
string
tags
string
outcomes
string
winning_outcome
string
final_prices
string
volume_usd
float64
liquidity_usd
int64
created_at
string
end_date
string
resolved_at
string
resolved_by
string
token_ids
string
has_provenance
bool
253,591
0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
uncategorized
all|potusbanner|trump|politics|us-presidential-election|joe-biden|nikki-haley|2024-us-presidential-election|elections|gavin-newsom|2024-election|us-presidential-election-2024|robert-fpt-kennedy-jrpt|ron-desantis|kamala-harris|vivek-ramaswamy|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|chris-christie|aoc|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sand...
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
1,531,479,284.504353
0
2024-01-04T17:33:51.332Z
2024-11-05T12:00:00.000Z
2024-11-06T15:17:41.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
21742633143463906290569050155826241533067272736897614950488156847949938836455|48331043336612883890938759509493159234755048973500640148014422747788308965732
false
253,597
0xc6485bb7ea46d7bb89beb9c91e7572ecfc72a6273789496f78bc5e989e4d1638
will-kamala-harris-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
uncategorized
all|potusbanner|trump|politics|us-presidential-election|joe-biden|nikki-haley|2024-us-presidential-election|elections|gavin-newsom|2024-election|us-presidential-election-2024|robert-fpt-kennedy-jrpt|ron-desantis|kamala-harris|vivek-ramaswamy|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|chris-christie|aoc|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sand...
Yes|No
No
0|1
1,037,039,118.18879
0
2024-01-04T17:40:17.792Z
2024-11-04T12:00:00.000Z
2024-11-06T18:03:54.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
69236923620077691027083946871148646972011131466059644796654161903044970987404|87584955359245246404952128082451897287778571240979823316620093987046202296181
false
511,754
0xc3d4155148681756bfe67bb41d8d0882a8a122e7d3762b3591bf6598c9bd198b
will-donald-trump-be-inaugurated
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
uncategorized
january-6|jan-6|politics
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
400,409,526.886835
0
2024-11-01T20:59:58.040Z
2025-01-20T12:00:00.000Z
2025-01-20T22:51:36.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
45714870634090908403813747458214625542376052548606303175331201110938821302832|81903344213938200361285862519406650037576398044514748634670292917494365866240
false
507,892
0x763cc84a3cde36b9ce12a8afe6d3e1e3e46e50692e8ec47636c7803c1033cfab
will-the-sacramento-kings-win-the-2025-nba-finals
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?
uncategorized
nba|basketball|sports|nba-playoffs|nba-finals
Yes|No
No
0|1
378,011,506.511399
0
2024-09-24T15:33:30.214Z
2025-06-23T12:00:00.000Z
2025-04-17T08:51:19.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
41257670817876317355997233596113195194194608207987371129645019730826567930842|6337766885333966690546293438662675059330486971861645192801950206137287554438
false
2,169,995
0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868
microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-may-31-2026
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
uncategorized
economy|business|2025-predictions|crypto|microstrategy|stocks
Yes|No
No
0|1
375,813,104.555752
0
2026-05-05T23:45:21.015Z
2026-07-01T04:00:00.000Z
2026-06-04T00:34:19.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
25714007960293389110960044475283546872601238755063051359394740854408462452120|3192689304828767159232889612891719105504357313659012189260030438494464480574
false
512,340
0x9872fe47fbf6284e5399c0f41d6d2c8fb310d2f4d2d50635ab3b36f6a0a7f5b0
will-nicolae-ciuca-win-the-2024-romanian-presidential-election
Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
uncategorized
eu|europe
Yes|No
No
0|1
326,507,670.562732
0
2024-11-07T23:53:29.207Z
2024-12-08T12:00:00.000Z
2025-05-01T09:18:53.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
53033438245279373213426094525005043480366615306824323472317521871682514379120|59618000103872045883924272587382664437569966578424869104128564655378953160740
false
1,640,919
0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246
us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
uncategorized
trump|geopolitics|iran|military-strikes|middle-east
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
269,049,107.083746
0
2026-03-18T16:29:07.712Z
2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z
2026-04-09T00:28:21.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
2916184120206223749839849644877707470354946028257066951797428049170871002238|76533108781962275310651165149634079251899733930834190485860627580128626747247
false
546,814
0x655e5ca101c466b6293aa15e06173b78b293221803d56e35551f708cd82eb352
will-zelenskyy-wear-a-suit-before-july
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
uncategorized
celebrities
Yes|No
No
0|1
242,231,180.272023
0
2025-05-22T22:19:20.138Z
2025-06-30T12:00:00.000Z
2025-07-09T00:30:39.000Z
0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74
103864131794756285503734468197278890131080300305704085735435172616220564121629|34379581789895528560281218239759280237277305372978794324822777438824410172683
false
253,642
0x55c551896c10a74861f2fd88b4f928694310114704cc74b29b9760d1156cade6
will-any-other-republican-politician-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
uncategorized
all|potusbanner|trump|politics|us-presidential-election|joe-biden|nikki-haley|2024-us-presidential-election|elections|gavin-newsom|2024-election|us-presidential-election-2024|robert-fpt-kennedy-jrpt|ron-desantis|kamala-harris|vivek-ramaswamy|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|chris-christie|aoc|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sand...
Yes|No
No
0|1
241,655,099.850067
0
2024-01-06T19:52:35.394Z
2024-11-05T00:00:00.000Z
2024-11-06T19:45:36.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
87935798830831555521299232238121934560977823768906296045917813721531790174443|57677804490585887398706024193987529955099603362215749525873675088072565146041
false
601,697
0x17815081230e3b9c78b098162c33b1ffa68c4ec29c123d3d14989599e0c2e113
fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-january-2026-meeting
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
uncategorized
fomc|fed-rates|economy|politics|economic-policy|jerome-powell|fed|finance
Yes|No
No
0|1
235,065,166.637259
0
2025-09-17T16:22:35.837Z
2026-01-28T00:00:00.000Z
2026-01-28T22:53:04.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
11862165566757345985240476164489718219056735011698825377388402888080786399275|71478852790279095447182996049071040792010759617668969799049179229104800573786
false
601,700
0x7c6c69d91b21cbbea08a13d0ad51c0e96a956045aaadc77bce507c6b0475b66e
fed-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-january-2026-meeting
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
uncategorized
fomc|fed-rates|economy|politics|economic-policy|jerome-powell|fed|finance
Yes|No
No
0|1
216,455,743.153891
0
2025-09-17T16:22:39.874Z
2026-01-28T00:00:00.000Z
2026-01-28T23:04:04.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
16419649354067298412736919830777830730026677464626899811394461690794060330642|42139849929574046088630785796780813725435914859433767469767950066058132350666
false
2,270,330
0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423
us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-15-2026-734-856-129
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
uncategorized
iran|trump|trump-iran|ceasefire|geopolitics|diplomacy-ceasefire|agreement|10-point|politics|peace-deal
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
177,370,818.438925
0
2026-05-15T18:55:13.319Z
2026-06-15T00:00:00.000Z
2026-06-18T00:32:19.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
5904694069529905826680225678119990013628860098514322777023141327768111791078|59855952379545476461266875939089074481171378466995213858930892770855011813551
false
558,938
0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f
will-argentina-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-245
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
174,315,688.255734
0
2025-07-02T16:54:43.302Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-20T01:24:43.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
18812649149814341758733697580460697418474693998558159483117100240528657629879|115428153746996892211798999366308897078723117634059783423375188043903703749062
true
1,706,788
0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7
us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
uncategorized
geopolitics|politics|trump|middle-east|iran|diplomacy-ceasefire
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
173,696,184.177469
0
2026-03-24T17:52:05.724Z
2026-04-07T00:00:00.000Z
2026-04-11T00:28:39.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
82855088893985825781350466813737280564000275725006328179621744619327480699369|55194745453074297560900438908357749978780021444937743754846798173575377021411
false
654,415
0x25aa90b3cd98305e849189b4e8b770fc77fe89bccb7cf9656468414e01145d38
will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-march-2026-meeting
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
uncategorized
parent-for-derivative|fomc|economy|fed-rates|economic-policy|politics|jerome-powell|fed
Yes|No
No
0|1
172,972,056.633325
0
2025-10-28T20:58:06.700Z
2026-03-18T00:00:00.000Z
2026-03-18T21:19:03.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
54073086346734626735797775941991553522163760164405051969883391401961188364109|111080671036126109659854287535401661966194360665829017654832975124868412594547
true
253,727
0x265366ede72d73e137b2b9095a6cdc9be6149290caa295738a95e3d881ad0865
will-kamala-harris-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2024-presidential-election
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
uncategorized
all|us-presidential-election|trump|politics|election|presidential-election-2024|popular-vote|elections|joe-biden|nikki-haley|presidential-election|gavin-newsom|vivek-ramaswamy|kamala-harris|2024-presidential-election|ron-desantis|voting|chris-christie|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sanders|aoc|k...
Yes|No
No
0|1
163,779,786.645492
0
2024-01-09T18:29:49.185Z
2024-11-05T12:00:00.000Z
2024-11-12T10:03:19.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
21271000291843361249209065706097167029083067325856089903026951915683588703117|43898019188443109254544011644141095748327433947336326565220861409147408981284
false
570,360
0x6903b766f5fda3d5b02f4472a6b4154419e78b7fd126c0b29ce17bb8e20b20cc
fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-december-2025-meeting
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
uncategorized
fomc|politics|fed-rates|economic-policy|economy|jerome-powell|fed
Yes|No
No
0|1
161,574,382.129451
0
2025-07-31T19:28:08.091Z
2025-12-10T00:00:00.000Z
2025-12-10T22:17:52.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
74018646712472971445258547247048869505144598783748525202442089895996249694683|21489772516410038586556744342392982044189999368638682594741395650226594484811
false
558,968
0x7412d284c8f63791fec807f9b1f61c6fe61163621775a3dc8686cd2575272abe
will-egypt-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
158,580,818.671179
0
2025-07-02T16:55:00.390Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-07T21:30:01.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
30499731947464516579580181356221397335865912996104577000510883912653418218808|65652065262666433168143828460188123377751865571317729312655170081534213236077
true
680,392
0x43ec78527bd98a0588dd9455685b2cc82f5743140cb3a154603dc03c02b57de5
will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31
US government shutdown Saturday?
uncategorized
parent-for-derivative|gov-shutdown|politics|congress
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
157,296,576.448084
0
2025-11-13T14:57:42.410Z
2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z
2026-02-04T00:35:28.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
52607315900507156846622820770453728082833251091510131025984187712529448877245|108988271800978168213949343685406694292284061166193819357568013088568150075789
false
507,894
0x37963e2b3194455fe768cd470571640c758c049b7cda6967449a43a8bd5c835f
will-the-toronto-raptors-win-the-2025-nba-finals
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
uncategorized
nba|basketball|sports|nba-playoffs|nba-finals
Yes|No
No
0|1
154,220,299.964432
0
2024-09-24T15:34:33.830Z
2025-06-23T12:00:00.000Z
2025-04-02T06:13:03.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
8615283304849028269259042680787343769500144068672958710059180099366119214927|23538341502367016460214883076280471618080465904528266058055509584419858222978
false
253,609
0x230144e34a84dfd0ebdc6de7fde37780e28154f6f84dd8880c7f0e58d302d448
will-michelle-obama-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
uncategorized
all|potusbanner|trump|politics|us-presidential-election|joe-biden|nikki-haley|2024-us-presidential-election|elections|gavin-newsom|2024-election|us-presidential-election-2024|robert-fpt-kennedy-jrpt|ron-desantis|kamala-harris|vivek-ramaswamy|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|chris-christie|aoc|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sand...
Yes|No
No
0|1
153,382,275.618594
0
2024-01-05T20:53:17.668Z
2024-11-05T00:00:00.000Z
2024-11-06T19:00:15.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
97508453625137094121006941885029334584603955750917059456402541591996493525667|101835693390914207034008670272805414453671321042882880939287726647351186404691
false
558,963
0x37a6de1b21803e5f3fb1965116218215d79963af4f7e51659696366267a63a03
will-morocco-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-464
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
152,254,451.325782
0
2025-07-02T16:54:57.522Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-10T01:10:56.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
69910730841487615802736046038473620030754616421912831175284551372639933569112|64291832879722161879651094688874074984529456778901604558632306686248535158725
true
558,934
0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892
will-spain-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-963
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
152,168,021.589799
0
2025-07-02T16:54:40.860Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-20T01:14:28.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
4394372887385518214471608448209527405727552777602031099972143344338178308080|112680630004798425069810935278212000865453267506345451433803052322987302357330
true
538,932
0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9
will-zohran-mamdani-win-the-2025-nyc-mayoral-election
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
uncategorized
nyc|nyc-mayor|macro-election-2|world-elections|mayor|politics|us-presidential-election|mayoral-elections|nov-4-elections
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
143,254,859.334333
0
2025-04-22T15:32:27.448Z
2025-11-04T12:00:00.000Z
2025-11-05T05:44:47.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
33945469250963963541781051637999677727672635213493648594066577298999471399137|105832362350788616148612362642992403996714020918558917275151746177525518770551
false
558,943
0xcdb1f0400949238a63d3e88243d2ada08cd9c2a71985ced9f0cfd5e66354cf90
will-usa-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-467
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
142,460,221.865571
0
2025-07-02T16:54:46.301Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-07T05:08:19.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
94603648636330087039501304492699481091005420017442244191603206509188088089447|45270201343463663182019040935560267543606888663369415494551943549463253748361
true
253,595
0x7da35195ac3c7bf167f88ab0c27067a99020e36de67d39968b71d9debcdd925e
will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
uncategorized
all|potusbanner|trump|politics|us-presidential-election|joe-biden|nikki-haley|2024-us-presidential-election|elections|gavin-newsom|2024-election|us-presidential-election-2024|robert-fpt-kennedy-jrpt|ron-desantis|kamala-harris|vivek-ramaswamy|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|chris-christie|aoc|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sand...
Yes|No
No
0|1
141,605,110.748029
0
2024-01-04T17:39:07.759Z
2024-11-04T12:00:00.000Z
2024-11-06T18:09:00.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
75551890681049796405776295654438099776333571510662809052054780589218524237663|56404905393055211239795086916790918063008904529043139446524120756836481670648
false
1,795,527
0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b35
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-may-31-2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
uncategorized
geopolitics|ukraine-peace-deal|trump-zelenskyy|trump|putin|ukraine
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
141,250,712.680703
0
2026-03-30T19:26:34.733Z
2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z
2026-05-09T19:52:26.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
79574854225464477884287524461980167393583915155475895540399834902850789709576|50296805114160040515244790354604025333522925214556059510952704423495419940434
false
503,301
0xb018023b67a978fa9a4d43a13f6f0a8e29b1516c36b4721b3983eafdc86b3bf9
will-the-panthers-win-super-bowl-2025
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?
uncategorized
sports|superbowl
Yes|No
No
0|1
139,314,923.974714
0
2024-07-09T14:59:57.650Z
2025-02-09T12:00:00.000Z
2024-12-16T00:49:34.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
66714239224313823221640294891961335457341276313024833480429172445133070011668|89467374135934739834722715801896983274727814886329505374811124523387276806796
false
558,945
0x5ccfe1b69a582d2985db08a8481a0d74c314b1fce9b4711ae2efb2c6467fe6aa
will-mexico-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-529
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
137,807,960.891784
0
2025-07-02T16:54:47.399Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-06T06:13:55.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
22587775301869146748237913050505932485648958481571808324285560650057390882036|89041006475364789358805026139650677807087698981377208157664917554760333198878
true
558,951
0x7b52405ad0e0d31bfe970940b67d77f24ecedeab8a2361c11148c02a006e325c
will-norway-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-893
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
137,345,387.06528
0
2025-07-02T16:54:50.383Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-12T02:58:20.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
60447443643099453130956385288904175887233107411078568881602330835010340506057|111538579557239934343870815626480092245052857494675784434731223739153238373070
true
504,494
0x1fc1e5595adab4d8160b2fe72cfed61131e3d5e61b5c334160d1729d7380ab16
fed-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-november-2024-meeting
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
uncategorized
fed-rates|business|politics
Yes|No
No
0|1
133,955,589.249666
0
2024-08-02T19:36:17.448Z
2024-11-07T12:00:00.000Z
2024-11-07T22:44:32.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
37607087749772082751516356212488395841221931637322106913544914381521802317192|62906346854843026600780466242595591879256731166107167021180309597980343523177
false
570,363
0xfcd2fb666c5a346faee448e63267346a3ec394a52bce4c199877559da91cd2c1
fed-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-december-2025-meeting
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
uncategorized
fomc|politics|fed-rates|economic-policy|economy|jerome-powell|fed
Yes|No
No
0|1
133,173,605.453166
0
2025-07-31T19:28:09.607Z
2025-12-10T00:00:00.000Z
2025-12-10T22:18:48.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
111653286751222233434552489231342053782305860121514128195211070982702807638967|83234538869110488222137558986831878044545184788704562505964003874631215840521
false
507,286
0xce0f82dc8bb789ffd3bc2928db80bbc539fa04dd223d6e15e2d81eabf8e279fe
will-aston-villa-win-the-uefa-champions-league
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|champions-league|ucl|champions-league-final
Yes|No
No
0|1
133,113,813.382904
0
2024-09-17T17:21:16.527Z
2025-05-31T12:00:00.000Z
2025-04-16T00:18:15.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
17148991929546304218678959738430213065524880357303658607403556776126482126118|113944511437047286070977074222535617181404611267671592896303826271480616303572
false
558,974
0x3a26ca6425e2d98f14935670bc22cdb0744defc6f6d83c65f8c413a921c5c70c
will-switzerland-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
132,837,715.794736
0
2025-07-02T16:55:03.947Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-12T06:56:43.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
62131913648515148266463816694306031394539656598501514114816028349608560215534|45315272750116791836504013666029583517532908319286234834610455739871173419179
true
558,936
0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894
will-france-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-924
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
132,448,346.861069
0
2025-07-02T16:54:42.081Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-15T00:07:37.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
108233603819467706476318984012158651931658302669301887462181073562758483842092|32270411694523539495262303868629477861017829722282576458031815333486368239544
true
1,180,303
0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8
khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
uncategorized
geopolitics|iran|middle-east|world|politics
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
131,114,970.827221
0
2026-01-14T01:32:41.331Z
2026-02-28T00:00:00.000Z
2026-03-04T01:05:25.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
39317885422026394259056328144566743331998444273202427934141325790266108570112|37975265083682450969967223199653164268542375291978582835346444673615244164455
false
507,896
0xbba16a21398862877d2ba91d7221be625b4514066580c91c6acbc32b03fe7997
will-the-washington-wizards-win-the-2025-nba-finals
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?
uncategorized
nba|basketball|sports|nba-playoffs|nba-finals
Yes|No
No
0|1
130,194,075.547845
0
2024-09-24T15:35:19.262Z
2025-06-23T12:00:00.000Z
2025-03-22T04:46:37.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
24107569157155697291965151336634632343913784446472286927398284356905040243642|21681197057124220318103273802306437383246529014429637515490905139174082175006
false
507,895
0x305df84a4e3cdedb1a70ddec73949c64311247dbf7f41c236ee6a795dcc3d347
will-the-utah-jazz-win-the-2025-nba-finals
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?
uncategorized
nba|basketball|sports|nba-playoffs|nba-finals
Yes|No
No
0|1
129,911,351.465261
0
2024-09-24T15:35:02.582Z
2025-06-23T12:00:00.000Z
2025-03-11T06:37:23.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
76259649122453061705337281599154338919732329508586858056504569811939186829612|93053730364096945099420634270857903025282374897779411302504029345560486022565
false
558,946
0x32cfa52198e85e070d1b17d1b53c5c3a6aaae7736cdc33fa6aa04d353f0c2811
will-belgium-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-358
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
129,278,677.369467
0
2025-07-02T16:54:47.961Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-11T00:12:34.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
30815807067456631524510535002617106205417832891402132396713720656146245200000|71145888994888153292442623019750517622535407476309461406574461229898137896934
true
572,473
0x46d40e851b24d9b0af4bc1942ccd86439cae82a9011767da14950df0ad997adf
will-trump-nominate-judy-shelton-as-the-next-fed-chair
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
uncategorized
parent-for-derivative|jerome-powell|politics|trump-presidency|trump|fed-rates|fed
Yes|No
No
0|1
127,684,064.952112
0
2025-08-05T17:13:21.107Z
2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z
2026-03-04T19:25:55.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
5031084282167950494806674428243037744881029417420880897305642929037077494331|20939351535690701474621316837957321939118947084394902825750156021315806001424
false
503,314
0x59c211bdc7743b11eefa59e0d87802445980cf27e63dbdad2f6668ea0f139fdb
will-the-raiders-win-super-bowl-2025
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
uncategorized
sports|superbowl
Yes|No
No
0|1
123,969,933.295517
0
2024-07-09T15:28:42.422Z
2025-02-09T12:00:00.000Z
2024-11-30T02:39:51.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
54892341795653479805388020158684786934714678926304197461400878299451904269209|40801206881564693043973435688806179249940112928041934634486776594277892109019
false
253,706
0xcd1b6b71a1964f15e2c14809594cbfa0d576270e8ef94c8c24913121097e09e5
will-donald-trump-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2024-presidential-election
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
uncategorized
all|us-presidential-election|trump|politics|election|presidential-election-2024|popular-vote|elections|joe-biden|nikki-haley|presidential-election|gavin-newsom|vivek-ramaswamy|kamala-harris|2024-presidential-election|ron-desantis|voting|chris-christie|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sanders|aoc|k...
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
119,932,620.818624
0
2024-01-09T18:05:18.484Z
2024-11-05T12:00:00.000Z
2024-11-11T22:30:39.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
42699080635179861375280720242213672850141860123562672932351602811041149946128|52646153159016006621189163812433115969858888637703551736022048114666679879653
false
507,276
0xef8cf8b45ef7e3a607a72b6e1d56bede869fdd81795b63db847de1090bf11c41
tiktok-banned-in-the-us-before-may-2025
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
uncategorized
pop-culture|internet|social-media|tiktok|tech|app|business|politics|china|trump-100-days
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
119,653,357.735965
0
2024-09-17T14:54:44.751Z
2025-04-30T12:00:00.000Z
2025-01-22T00:31:19.000Z
0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74
24635636911615866092589652362670811323984202357282728474473612545495782013438|77833150719418088778043805955239482801946237829699651267940477301583416794868
false
503,327
0x5c37735c8442b1a29a42a163c62c02fa640ca054f46375649bfb3e867439a35d
will-the-titans-win-super-bowl-2025
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?
uncategorized
sports|superbowl
Yes|No
No
0|1
119,500,829.411718
0
2024-07-09T16:00:51.730Z
2025-02-09T12:00:00.000Z
2024-12-08T23:57:34.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
58440649209461200280350668047868558605555236750105361041671089512720702235189|83111747692593108439667014273321109579545447301960950400715776857725380837947
false
558,970
0x3bc69cb672591e4fcd2ef856b64b219a906e15d4601b50066ac81a446574dfaf
will-cape-verde-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
119,207,233.332758
0
2025-07-02T16:55:01.531Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-04T03:56:04.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
61595193871140044336898809781418183952441527621084596848414908595268863899573|51603557647605526784272094285656249935467020057355371392584885347569984808630
true
507,859
0x3329697f75e759b7fb781e52314d4322492a6d0816e8465d90091af88a3f4219
will-the-charlotte-hornets-win-the-2025-nba-finals
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
uncategorized
nba|basketball|sports|nba-playoffs|nba-finals
Yes|No
No
0|1
116,668,813.604393
0
2024-09-24T15:19:44.221Z
2025-06-23T12:00:00.000Z
2025-03-24T04:10:55.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
25436247939029572982277188919226292094124958162220886464449785995391293568622|56462050406307387707510640903112171397949812400075668383842741498747916885864
false
253,641
0xb92f22143e7b48609a82573fa8197dc73683a15acb467b0f51ee63da7e3f520b
will-any-other-democratic-politician-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
uncategorized
all|potusbanner|trump|politics|us-presidential-election|joe-biden|nikki-haley|2024-us-presidential-election|elections|gavin-newsom|2024-election|us-presidential-election-2024|robert-fpt-kennedy-jrpt|ron-desantis|kamala-harris|vivek-ramaswamy|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|chris-christie|aoc|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sand...
Yes|No
No
0|1
116,558,196.386525
0
2024-01-06T19:52:35.348Z
2024-11-05T00:00:00.000Z
2024-11-06T19:54:53.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
74706296939809671893768905246606398708802232875822379413753245164957842209130|103543247440804352548620987887141435213865749546518237928636621721195722919525
false
503,304
0xad80eb89c63afba0adaede4350c2dae8088d0faf00d598d72edd3446929019c8
will-the-browns-win-super-bowl-2025
Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?
uncategorized
sports|superbowl
Yes|No
No
0|1
115,257,552.257456
0
2024-07-09T15:04:22.106Z
2025-02-09T12:00:00.000Z
2024-12-09T00:42:52.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
37221056259325429041732308291782104664756441972369963169173383951407900144525|63939510524223361009002618165078196129404531478278623969998606591983074882103
false
529,278
0x4037ced85ebd734a30727e948abfe77b19fc2ce7ee0560a933d0c080fe076516
will-frances-fitzgerald-win-the-irish-presidential-election
Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?
uncategorized
politics|global-elections|world-elections|ireland|world|elections|ireland-election
Yes|No
No
0|1
115,067,178.333268
0
2025-03-20T19:34:21.094Z
2025-11-11T12:00:00.000Z
2025-10-25T21:53:33.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
13178519333823993662934968430857776162550570445253471722003513716922201689105|47113635093830865822807939725855960883737645711087828564134442752879834974569
false
558,966
0x289568d555ec620ed6fa33c936c5f42649d3a2e30748a1daf7079f42453fbea4
will-ivory-coast-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
111,749,187.635971
0
2025-07-02T16:54:59.280Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-06-30T22:13:05.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
58374167250364215964582274356498746399676421878376948523944979542572589542202|70753274007979480001882804624792378182371580903023185997594096497692751054228
true
558,935
0x375409bc5eeeff961e82b479caeccc20f33d15738e5bce1186d628aa3d9dfb1f
will-england-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-937
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
110,162,254.187579
0
2025-07-02T16:54:41.473Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-16T00:11:11.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
115556263888245616435851357148058235707004733438163639091106356867234218207169|77121637225348873006259930776623502125079210522997384841464684944292365296940
true
558,976
0xe5bd80313b8859e3f5761568ac9498866ea9d4419e4d1b6a877a9a9bd2754cb4
will-croatia-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
109,483,286.888744
0
2025-07-02T16:55:05.105Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-03T04:20:41.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
106593539437032467615148553707998472829334050617128244920821917025746481184109|22335540631248526397385139154377717431237265005174891396662761131414559126312
true
558,940
0x4f3421fb2daf5cca7430ed8d8132463963081572d75434393a1808fdb8829fe8
will-portugal-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-912
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
109,092,961.847472
0
2025-07-02T16:54:44.492Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-07T00:12:26.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
45415751658241142530386585138386640503488308219341470020075667342738719018629|31940783580344558651011323787577288681658737625185216525249046282994042503801
true
507,242
0xfc85294228f82de21e18774b133a6db99ddaf4ebe5bf8c4f6c356ae4901d1165
will-the-democratic-candidate-win-pennsylvania-by-1pt5-2pt0
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?
uncategorized
politics|swing-states|margin-of-victory
Yes|No
No
0|1
109,063,759.600993
0
2024-09-16T20:31:19.288Z
2024-11-05T12:00:00.000Z
2024-12-05T04:16:19.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
50359548234039960292196003199462920229740483405247698708858122753748162136710|37216002198068335704548623054992010338811654161235074096184479870463026341679
false
503,320
0x7dcaa5bd1b8842fb522b076001dcab4621e4146085a5cf2d4371fab60c3a014f
will-the-giants-win-super-bowl-2025
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?
uncategorized
sports|superbowl
Yes|No
No
0|1
107,857,306.638451
0
2024-07-09T15:36:12.169Z
2025-02-09T12:00:00.000Z
2024-11-29T04:32:09.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
1579051818984095727673421497419190670041974399782372017404834102770355812245|103025800543021453963790516518962068292483949140859491419046691780811544794182
false
253,593
0xced9f9d90c94db9f1e1dbd7d9fba82fe4fa7431c0d4e91e28896c8ac2d6acadd
will-nikki-haley-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
uncategorized
all|potusbanner|trump|politics|us-presidential-election|joe-biden|nikki-haley|2024-us-presidential-election|elections|gavin-newsom|2024-election|us-presidential-election-2024|robert-fpt-kennedy-jrpt|ron-desantis|kamala-harris|vivek-ramaswamy|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|chris-christie|aoc|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sand...
Yes|No
No
0|1
107,529,158.083605
0
2024-01-04T17:36:47.960Z
2024-11-05T00:00:00.000Z
2024-11-06T18:04:10.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
19083349462791593334532840548890602187185739923311385087650426802477691161360|25663677275476030658483179785762851061160843737234225579491314980654272946621
false
558,961
0x65307f30dce84ac35e41813035d3c04933da830dc4efbbb2fcdc4b282700ef3b
will-south-korea-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-485
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
107,521,229.192404
0
2025-07-02T16:54:56.391Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-06-28T04:48:35.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
80724786407275266937534613008558715581084712230616856739273522348302669402554|100966306057435164439067339228624332754270252294302540206756310699254942177976
true
558,956
0x675bba4df50fd123f7fbfbafa67e9b75f4092d85ce0f9148ce78fc945964c856
will-paraguay-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-967
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
107,400,630.588216
0
2025-07-02T16:54:53.364Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-05T02:11:10.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
93165696161088512376930999170413968261015485018106746563527821398897374023845|64564930076241670294516403352804569921660004975706088367725793399153499601932
true
601,699
0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d
no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-january-2026-meeting
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
uncategorized
fomc|fed-rates|economy|politics|economic-policy|jerome-powell|fed|finance
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
106,767,096.072298
0
2025-09-17T16:22:38.693Z
2026-01-28T00:00:00.000Z
2026-01-28T22:52:08.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
112838095111461683880944516726938163688341306245473734071798778736646352193304|7321318078891059430231591636389479745928915782241484131001985601124919020061
false
558,947
0xe99cc59f32b10d23acf196d1a0e8264ea30fca198428acadd3464b06ff60e771
will-colombia-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-734
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
104,668,584.414498
0
2025-07-02T16:54:48.514Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-08T01:57:31.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
98803390175521456712653678280474920637934596234667490983228578374641217211132|66826965351166675155887515167306086307412332225034738589879767944935462342380
true
1,484,949
0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7
netanyahu-out-by-march-31-854
Netanyahu out by March 31?
uncategorized
null
Yes|No
No
0|1
104,205,875.489719
0
2026-03-02T17:17:00.792Z
2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z
2026-04-05T06:13:09.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
68651215661669695672235506829747686724194100790999648420763714425224567728520|73662070458561467734997715458900555626841827840002814944742182699282770895284
false
558,952
0x67443cb1ffb2bf180f7df5b6ca7adff63f7e8e933c7e41405ba118f3e9f8befb
will-canada-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-755
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
102,858,402.642374
0
2025-07-02T16:54:50.932Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-04T22:13:29.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
99303605181956827630838461879484468077121754034387765735989859308848389894408|69727421603231227453181655442677441322028725849495647325726292556190704508348
true
553,813
0xd6e0317cee513cc3afdc1954ac576b241ad2287536e88b17fd3a77b4c3d0976e
fed-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-october-2025-meeting
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
uncategorized
fomc|all|economy|fed-rates|politics|powell|fed|jerome-powell
Yes|No
No
0|1
102,216,689.131463
0
2025-06-19T16:29:55.888Z
2025-10-29T12:00:00.000Z
2025-10-31T03:33:31.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
60156625646569576964584621291475860303247825215466310280401996727843189574431|75662380910516595836713877605277832183886163391379455962356909608435996726535
false
506,742
0x341f95039c52c92771e5bc889c2482ef8472bf82a1a5d222051eb0b62a6cf23f
nottingham-forest-wins-the-premier-league
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?
uncategorized
soccer|sports|EPL|premier-league
Yes|No
No
0|1
101,429,202.233424
0
2024-09-09T19:33:14.819Z
2025-05-25T12:00:00.000Z
2025-04-13T18:53:29.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
26236892725262807235372062505277176822581817393263948638256147417812762302719|88622598699701433637163071032576232752219887205018441110238931614665163964172
false
601,698
0x35cc41270f5cdfd59b45e68ab85dc51b0b900d286a6c74ea006b8572d9ff5934
fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-january-2026-meeting
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
uncategorized
fomc|fed-rates|economy|politics|economic-policy|jerome-powell|fed|finance
Yes|No
No
0|1
101,211,542.667667
0
2025-09-17T16:22:37.437Z
2026-01-28T00:00:00.000Z
2026-01-28T22:54:06.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
92703761682322480664976766247614127878023988651992837287050266308961660624165|48193521645113703700467246669338225849301704920590102230072263970163239985027
false
558,955
0xbaf7780f9059e34b84301fd411f8dc573b4d56adfe6e0cda33daf304b1438da4
will-ecuador-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-986
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
96,888,032.220357
0
2025-07-02T16:54:52.802Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-01T07:21:31.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
39971087496427056640429359043364261029374524049464674733142166279730655826181|76638532101043658630369484092110685720624002077285242368448475410253808399541
true
558,981
0xcd836ec4d94b8a4ddc5713d80fe9db245d2fb4796eaf12337974da1b4e96100d
will-congo-dr-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
96,120,346.28893
0
2025-07-02T16:55:07.881Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-01T21:10:43.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
87403333427856945144645806003352057704193778078820484282942507058200689996202|43528414195007977002195624860045129351164807876978747566236159804271175691009
true
558,949
0x0189df05ed7bf84d799213b01a79571e305c03b2ac5359cfbb3a323448ba20fa
will-japan-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-112
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
95,790,683.29306
0
2025-07-02T16:54:49.807Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-06-29T22:14:40.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
19159976531313550247579355752030367100657092033093647047491459813592996250034|30480347120583372139084467958111617967991872806450711152133323106144105346695
true
253,610
0x63634b4e14297a748923f86dca4fa0c6c659db0f5fadeeb8e419e48e20759c34
will-hillary-clinton-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
uncategorized
all|potusbanner|trump|politics|us-presidential-election|joe-biden|nikki-haley|2024-us-presidential-election|elections|gavin-newsom|2024-election|us-presidential-election-2024|robert-fpt-kennedy-jrpt|ron-desantis|kamala-harris|vivek-ramaswamy|michelle-obama|hillary-clinton|chris-christie|aoc|elizabeth-warren|bernie-sand...
Yes|No
No
0|1
93,307,167.686999
0
2024-01-05T20:53:17.733Z
2024-11-05T00:00:00.000Z
2024-11-06T19:45:30.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
79316691944049488812500733050438507204613781002222375264046442941003895009475|81996907021530768903266356962155871449963890840127658427020993407290924449685
false
504,873
0x90f5098954615b11f095156ac37913a70f8c7cf2978ab6b61d8d789bab1cf2d9
will-gavin-newsom-be-d-nom-for-vp-on-election-day
Will Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
uncategorized
us-election|politics
Yes|No
No
0|1
92,886,849.31616
0
2024-08-09T20:14:00.895Z
2024-11-04T12:00:00.000Z
2024-11-05T14:09:03.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
87856116025836548805521972902914933594725243769326425250809353505894606641631|106243684813007257594120019414737403734811980133622093318580768752843970007093
false
566,189
0xd02f8e3b72040d933427396f9f0a9cb740a0adefcec46e345211fa0fc5b975e9
will-chelsea-win-the-202526-english-premier-league
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|EPL
Yes|No
No
0|1
91,279,169.588538
0
2025-07-21T21:13:00.429Z
2026-05-27T00:00:00.000Z
2026-03-21T23:28:27.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
4734042497442858120220579084209162734274921804273685518501720660121256784098|13665856474824246252882373981735747012808966011418599989960226198773124694185
true
797,327
0xac9c6628a5398bb2a06f566854270a9fbc7f2badec4329d3b5fdc1407291c35b
will-trump-release-the-epstein-files-by-december-19-771
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
uncategorized
politics|epstein|trump
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
90,915,983.771306
0
2025-12-02T13:21:35.709Z
null
2025-12-24T00:37:17.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
97631444429136963410558776454705646247419477447963422218240880878426855760467|34188370521545317859498608346413216508496002972158011829434310572295579807749
false
558,969
0x5a59d269c2b5108cd2f64c624e46ee2c8b5cfd88b882582565f927918315b6aa
will-algeria-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
90,337,041.037216
0
2025-07-02T16:55:00.961Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-03T08:09:47.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
58392024727359233794992635293106675983094683080284912908526627785964160484939|49871252661742427315226109307954871479267113637891510501334531720454017709951
true
1,198,423
0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20
us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
uncategorized
parent-for-derivative|hfc|iran|politics|middle-east|world|geopolitics
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
89,652,867.363489
0
2026-01-16T14:49:30.227Z
2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z
2026-02-28T09:31:17.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
110790003121442365126855864076707686014650523258783405996925622264696084778807|10832696757358093775468120009000761778513405247768868107262967513475277652998
false
2,446,852
0x86f5b0f1934bb39421651ad2ba0f04494700ba9e95663a5c141a8674c4978c15
will-ronaldo-cry-at-the-world-cup-20260604013616610
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
uncategorized
soccer|sports|ronaldo|world-cup|fifa-world-cup|cristiano-ronaldo|2026-fifa-world-cup|wc-player-futures
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
89,210,513.792339
0
2026-06-05T20:03:35.474Z
null
2026-07-10T00:46:11.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
70563299267515386481251787764905458483722161674933642786238649081287869119194|109392421932188039945545044017437190536265072491394447153785057292645948915384
false
558,967
0x881a3ffa618b6ae0ab95a5637e310afb1afc2d99c921bfe3235b15eccfce0344
will-ghana-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
89,137,687.483814
0
2025-07-02T16:54:59.845Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-04T06:45:40.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
43907673646206657865778036957293730446366626078011238443367990170655175896145|10398766811303655595339782235864350348828881761515262235130136230008770201075
true
558,958
0x098e2be3df8ab529940c567819f8ef007cf007820e9d627642a5bbfaa42af372
will-australia-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-816
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
88,367,393.013117
0
2025-07-02T16:54:54.563Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-03T23:59:52.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
43661509251351142169227141691164122649250455115438867334436875294380701133091|36726371220435722462734467218102931225443889493446335046337202920930764439505
true
506,743
0x0c0fbd8b82167afa7d8549d04d9e8f7accb3ae0e93395935ca7c2c03977f4760
southampton-wins-the-premier-league
Southampton wins the Premier League?
uncategorized
soccer|sports|EPL|premier-league
Yes|No
No
0|1
88,209,349.44713
0
2024-09-09T19:33:35.897Z
2025-05-25T12:00:00.000Z
2025-01-25T20:46:29.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
20832933656054158835732321660966223238114947766668813575333655613524039271955|37961695791793163431711930656418715625837838134387631084919449718689491160875
false
534,189
0xa4f51ae09144ebedb1e4329a28597dcb25217be1050fb76b86335837943bf519
will-lee-jae-myung-be-elected-the-next-president-of-south-korea
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
uncategorized
global-elections|politics|world-affairs|world|world-elections|south-korea
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
88,035,547.447225
0
2025-04-04T18:45:41.286Z
2025-06-03T12:00:00.000Z
2025-06-03T21:33:32.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
106153378961102532315642223211322829491902773315904192835321056658787574388535|77444435762420711044339640645792265526010696615911175439180482698545420366139
false
1,919,425
0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089
us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-may-31-2026-333-871-241-192-799-449-125
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
uncategorized
iran|trump|trump-iran|ceasefire|geopolitics|diplomacy-ceasefire|agreement|10-point|politics|peace-deal
Yes|No
No
0|1
87,888,981.285834
0
2026-04-08T16:01:12.366Z
2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z
2026-06-01T12:17:00.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
72094069823942324362885404801938332659316240217382754851102758232469673300092|42918220085288219341491829385501246298233444593663440094436147850542032590016
false
654,413
0xd6c49a94948e365aa74c09eef54d907b7ca534b243c387c375305d5cdd1afef3
will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-march-2026-meeting
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
uncategorized
parent-for-derivative|fomc|economy|fed-rates|economic-policy|politics|jerome-powell|fed
Yes|No
No
0|1
87,103,283.726321
0
2025-10-28T20:58:05.284Z
2026-03-18T00:00:00.000Z
2026-03-18T21:18:07.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
62938043365772447095885755955446362343142416536419862840923032141775380249586|89036168105179001192755120118050209760422683300339582903158940882158509550672
true
507,873
0xadc74c7282d955d2603b56ba7eee2831b295bb71596a056e46e5848b13562377
will-the-miami-heat-win-the-2025-nba-finals
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?
uncategorized
nba|basketball|sports|nba-playoffs|nba-finals
Yes|No
No
0|1
86,041,732.719889
0
2024-09-24T15:24:58.212Z
2025-06-23T12:00:00.000Z
2025-04-29T05:58:54.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
71756442590660491673156664734013342965864122310221063879432941094895719980340|67740208634199394092030948170002994321618139597644907007671740246862363143726
false
558,975
0xfe230d510eaf545198c0d62bb17871e5fe8989f1b19aa54c0c062b858360987c
will-austria-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
85,671,553.448979
0
2025-07-02T16:55:04.511Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-03T00:09:14.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
88168215299416146215691671077998911754346458567817860712850392736799004561327|88156352219650092845199724072742433369069988856568846096337560285593531555407
true
507,300
0x7beceb04f7b1d4f0dde80b58c6f43c23b8ad54b21c693e172c974f480b46483c
will-inter-milan-win-the-uefa-champions-league
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|champions-league|ucl|champions-league-final
Yes|No
No
0|1
82,978,657.044352
0
2024-09-17T17:27:16.600Z
2025-05-31T12:00:00.000Z
2025-06-01T00:05:52.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
38626294313509935541386699081410949237349566230461651187135121754117545664676|65364971108743229299115080961714574928050691076397658748681151538041220144291
false
558,937
0x30d55d8124ee1e12dabe89201badc45669b81dff69e4ce44d961f32878ec178a
will-brazil-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-183
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
81,936,874.655504
0
2025-07-02T16:54:42.713Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-06T01:16:04.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
27576533317283401577758999384642760405921738493660383550832555714312627457443|52986718774908357330412653486471347449818893503063830313445318937088822580057
true
519,075
0x784d67eb3b205e7f6543b09d8737d5dc1c2a14d43a102bbb59f7f4f94fc56135
romania-presidential-election-winner-will-hunor-kelemen-win-the-romanian-presidential-election
Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?
uncategorized
global-elections|world-elections|politics|world|romania
Yes|No
No
0|1
80,897,096.543524
0
2025-01-17T21:29:06.381Z
2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z
2025-05-19T05:38:37.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
76281740581554871499625003009408244592747070827294693281849801034738430468659|5779930821109846262669669484867584068088577191267413527354857886763878120297
false
558,939
0x1595b4818eeb1ea1e0bec5de6f057218e557feee9b405a0e930d290384fa1d16
will-germany-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-467
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
80,873,590.381032
0
2025-07-02T16:54:43.890Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-06-30T02:36:35.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
81739002353269632749850710185641576213562066971072676369728657545679630163887|45484070731786948288366703334552551439356529561722304542938873238430842810537
true
812,010
0x32707ae194389a70f25314ec934851daba12d893da616c492ffe8b655b7759a9
will-eleven-die-in-stranger-things-season-5
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
uncategorized
movies|pop-culture
Yes|No
No
0|1
80,824,835.00196
0
2025-12-03T20:11:58.000Z
2025-12-31T00:00:00.000Z
2026-01-05T00:43:49.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
68403617023928319391393106546921684553483543294700440401405462140878184745736|8010285051162883778750284192345707717637236188180482207065972792464743283426
false
558,965
0x6972edb1b3f8cd8192651a665fc424dff846efe1c4a2376f628d4b20c704144c
will-senegal-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
80,692,765.785505
0
2025-07-02T16:54:58.719Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-02T01:59:14.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
32169302633723235235251659810064817019484855501133685217130365128535248672349|113265059897956746691843122168656761655221736394810246476379385708691102755798
true
551,963
0xf2ce8d3897ac5009a131637d3575f1f91c579bd08eecce6ae2b2da0f32bbe6f1
xi-jinping-out-in-2025
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
uncategorized
geopolitics|world-affairs|world
Yes|No
No
0|1
78,655,911.742866
0
2025-06-12T17:36:33.023Z
2025-12-31T23:55:00.000Z
2026-01-01T08:18:43.000Z
0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74
114304586861386186441621124384163963092522056897081085884483958561365015034812|112744882674787019048577842008042029962234998947364561417955402912669471494485
false
558,944
0x7876851632c295043c66536150a304cb785abdf712ba8489d298c6e6926be106
will-uruguay-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-932
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
78,019,361.831295
0
2025-07-02T16:54:46.856Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-06-27T05:15:26.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
97239126062673310243763617236644392945530356142765650402171508075574679292913|19291692040378529618917910599727571242305935029274321291612270922648172794670
true
558,941
0x9be56371f6a29d12769b2f196847ee825b9585ebb8bfa042136be031b081eba1
will-netherlands-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-739
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
77,727,053.213175
0
2025-07-02T16:54:45.066Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-06-30T07:00:32.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
55935183786009449883683540312350046975246300613283087403691731856990327029236|103711573894614472510743687764792452240919804104728889027222697502832804498206
true
558,980
0xd0dbdc94b28c5cffeef64ed6b13e5f0f2324fb177e5ffaa634b48c88fe18d5e7
will-sweden-win-the-2026-fifa-world-cup
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
uncategorized
sports|soccer|fifa-world-cup|2026-fifa-world-cup|hide-from-new|wc-tournament-futures
Yes|No
No
0|1
77,544,086.616948
0
2025-07-02T16:55:07.333Z
2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z
2026-07-01T02:03:31.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
41004484905556820430171783088292854654441952667499527125436634397522798168110|5505010946036330007136366602843685650332532780067992773464881166501235782352
true
669,662
0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa
will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-april-2026-meeting
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
uncategorized
fomc|economy|economic-policy|jerome-powell|fed-rates|fed|politics
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
76,909,226.493047
0
2025-11-07T16:55:42.399Z
2026-04-29T00:00:00.000Z
2026-04-29T21:24:28.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
63586620628756015058616403521099137018911742768824051367331188904593189743777|31766935524058663070405983804663917978960087327501512757848582448134393241922
true
502,571
0x70de1b06646805d289744df352ed58b5612fafb3d0322e483243c32cb110f8a7
will-trump-launch-a-coin-before-the-election
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
uncategorized
crypto|s-trump|trump|donald-trump|donald-trump-jrpt|memecoins|djt|politics
Yes|No
Yes
1|0
76,899,060.598799
0
2024-06-17T23:34:44.236Z
2024-11-04T12:00:00.000Z
2024-10-18T00:22:28.000Z
0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74
104468264438118085465761163263611745362235161579898771567536629365715258090512|110956193269330984108742479380582706889793052817208611887999646282949901872730
false
669,663
0xd4d00e5bf8b960cc37c74c1ec19e41e00b0706add203ddcfbb65ad006c5c223a
will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-april-2026-meeting
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
uncategorized
fomc|economy|economic-policy|jerome-powell|fed-rates|fed|politics
Yes|No
No
0|1
75,978,206.161041
0
2025-11-07T16:55:43.000Z
2026-04-29T00:00:00.000Z
2026-04-29T21:24:38.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
9556122149160720922715284597610520228366807023831966638741974320131898296289|30695356184876659373803609107050405812738015124680927512315982415984867952338
true
503,329
0xa8a63360ae663bec3cff1f34357c9a73378767f6ef1853f15de47701027fd141
will-the-patriots-win-super-bowl-2025
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?
uncategorized
sports|superbowl
Yes|No
No
0|1
74,275,772.258203
0
2024-07-09T16:03:13.039Z
2025-02-09T12:00:00.000Z
2024-12-02T00:36:34.000Z
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
31300399306949971768449961247118568299701374047026733785221770769092315493347|75600188276302107134313150350605198202630590842724839689703495381032181513643
false
1,162,940
0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56
us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
uncategorized
trump|geopolitics|iran|military-strikes|middle-east
Yes|No
No
0|1
73,927,762.478562
0
2026-01-11T20:41:54.181Z
2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z
2026-04-05T06:15:11.000Z
0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
42750054381142639205639663180818682570869285140532640407891991570656047928885|81697486240392901899167649997008736380137911909662773455994395620863894931973
false
516,719
0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
uncategorized
geopolitics|politics|2025-predictions|ukraine|foreign-policy|world|trump-putin
Yes|No
No
0|1
73,752,993.267722
0
2024-12-29T18:47:35.140Z
2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z
2026-01-01T07:18:23.000Z
0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74
15974786252393396629980467963784550802583781222733347534844974829144359265969|42351579455604873042957090441032286075880144797259231030267680078160718556927
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507,868
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will-the-indiana-pacers-win-the-2025-nba-finals
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
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nba|basketball|sports|nba-playoffs|nba-finals
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0|1
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false
End of preview.

Polymarket Resolution Archive — Teaser Slice

Ground truth for prediction-market research: resolved markets with winning outcomes, joined to their on-chain UMA Optimistic Oracle settlement records (proposer, disputes, bonds, settlement lags, tx hashes) and daily price history.

This teaser is the top 500 resolved markets by lifetime volume — a fully-representative slice of the complete archive (509,357 resolved markets, 3,424 on-chain settlement records, 1,529,475 daily price rows, coverage January 2022 through 2026-07-22).

Files

  • markets.csv — metadata, outcomes, winner, final prices, volume, tags
  • provenance.csv — UMA settlement records: proposer, disputes, bonds, lags, settlement tx
  • prices_daily.csv.gz — daily prices, long format, per outcome token
  • sample-analysis.ipynb — calibration curve + settlement-lag analysis, runs as-is
  • DATA-DICTIONARY.md — column-level docs

Schema in 10 seconds

markets.condition_id ↔ prices_daily.condition_id · markets.id ↔ provenance.market_id

Prices are probabilities in [0,1], one row per token-day, UTC. Loads with plain pandas.read_csv.

import pandas as pd

markets = pd.read_csv("markets.csv")
prices = pd.read_csv("prices_daily.csv.gz", compression="gzip")
prov = pd.read_csv("provenance.csv")

df = prices.merge(markets, on="condition_id")

What this is (and isn't)

This is the resolution layer: outcome labels + on-chain settlement provenance. It is deliberately daily-granularity — for raw bulk trades or intraday microstructure, see the excellent free alternatives; this dataset ships the layer they don't.

Scope, stated plainly: every resolved market with ≥$1,000 lifetime volume that traded for at least 24 hours. Polymarket's recurring sub-day price markets (hourly crypto up/down etc.) are excluded by these two documented floors.

The full archive

Every resolved market, same schema, next refresh included: Get it on Gumroad — $49 · more at calld.io/data

License

Teaser license: free for any research/evaluation use with attribution to calld.io; no redistribution as a competing dataset. See LICENSE.

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