| watch_id,case_id,jurisdiction,election_date,monitoring_window,signal_category,observable_indicator,defensive_data_source,assessment_rule,status,last_checked,notes |
| watch-br-001,br-2026-election-preparedness,Brazil,2026-10-04,2026-08-16/2026-10-25,platform_compliance,"Submission and publication of provider compliance plans with measurable criteria, deadlines, and expected results.",TSE compliance-plan registry and provider transparency pages,"Record submitted, late, missing, or inaccessible; do not infer effectiveness from submission alone.",prospective_monitoring,2026-08-11,Deadline 16 August 2026. |
| watch-br-002,br-2026-election-preparedness,Brazil,2026-10-04,2026-08-16/2026-10-25,synthetic_media,"Verified candidate or public-figure synthetic audio, video, or image, with disclosure visibility and provenance status.","TSE decisions, campaign repositories, platform ad libraries, and independent verification","One content item per record; distinguish labelled, unlabelled, authorised, unauthorised, satirical, and deceptive.",active,2026-08-11,Active because the observed 25 July avatar activated the synthetic-media indicator; the intensive formal window begins 16 August. Do not redistribute harmful media. |
| watch-br-003,br-2026-election-preparedness,Brazil,2026-10-04,2026-10-01/2026-10-05,72_hour_rule,Publication or republication of new candidate or public-figure synthetic media during the statutory blackout window.,TSE cases and platform timestamped transparency data,Record allegation and adjudication separately; preserve publication and republication timestamps.,prospective_monitoring,2026-08-11,First-round window; add runoff window if applicable. |
| watch-br-004,br-2026-election-preparedness,Brazil,2026-10-04,2026-08-16/2026-10-25,ai_provider_outputs,"Documented automated recommendation, preference, or candidate prioritisation by an AI provider.","Reproducible audits, TSE complaints, provider notices, and court records","Require preserved prompts, timestamps, locale, model/version if public, replication status, and legal disposition.",prospective_monitoring,2026-08-11,Defensive audit only; no evasion testing. |
| watch-br-005,br-2026-election-preparedness,Brazil,2026-10-04,2026-08-16/2026-10-25,gendered_abuse,"Verified synthetic sexual content or AI-enabled political violence targeting candidates, especially women.","TSE decisions, victim or campaign complaints, and trusted civil-society monitoring",Store metadata only; apply heightened privacy and non-redistribution safeguards.,prospective_monitoring,2026-08-11, |
| watch-br-006,br-2026-election-preparedness,Brazil,2026-10-04,2026-08-16/2026-10-25,response_latency,"Elapsed time from verified complaint to label, removal, judicial order, restoration, or public correction.",TSE docket timestamps and platform transparency reports,Report medians only when denominator and start/end definitions are stable.,prospective_monitoring,2026-08-11, |
| watch-us-001,us-2026-midterms-preparedness,United States,2026-11-03,2026-01-01/2026-11-30,state_law,"Enacted, effective, enjoined, amended, or invalidated state political-synthetic-media rules.","State codes, court dockets, attorneys general, and NCSL","Track enactment, effective date, scope, remedy, and litigation status separately.",active,2026-08-11,Patchwork counts are date-sensitive. |
| watch-us-002,us-2026-campaign-deepfake-ads,United States,2026-11-03,2026-01-01/2026-11-03,campaign_synthetic_media,"Campaign- or committee-produced synthetic candidate media, including sponsor, quotation fidelity, realism, authorisation, satire, and disclosure salience.","Official campaign channels, ad libraries, FEC filings, and independent verification",One content item per record; do not code a campaign's whole output from a single item.,active,2026-08-11, |
| watch-us-003,us-2026-midterms-preparedness,United States,2026-11-03,2026-09-01/2026-11-10,voter_suppression,"Verified synthetic or automated messages providing false voting instructions, impersonating election officials, or discouraging participation.","State election offices, FCC, FBI/CISA notices, court records, and trusted fact-checkers","Separate content, operator, distribution infrastructure, reach, and behavioural effect.",prospective_monitoring,2026-08-11, |
| watch-us-004,us-2026-midterms-preparedness,United States,2026-11-03,2026-01-01/2026-11-30,foreign_influence,Officially attributed or technically substantiated foreign influence operation using synthetic content or automation.,"ODNI, FBI, CISA, platform threat reports, and transparent technical investigations","Code official attribution, platform attribution, and independent technical attribution separately.",prospective_monitoring,2026-08-11, |
| watch-us-005,us-2026-midterms-preparedness,United States,2026-11-03,2026-01-01/2026-11-30,telecom,"FCC enforcement, provider traceback, or state action involving AI-generated election robocalls or texts.","FCC orders, Industry Traceback Group records where public, state attorneys general, and court dockets","Record call attempts, completed calls, unique recipients, and listeners as different denominators.",active,2026-08-11, |
| watch-us-006,us-2026-midterms-preparedness,United States,2026-11-03,2026-01-01/2026-11-30,platform_policy,"Changes in labelling, ad acceptance, fact-checking, provenance, or coordinated-behaviour enforcement relevant to political synthetic media.","Platform policy archives, transparency reports, and ad libraries","Distinguish written policy, observed enforcement, and measured effect.",active,2026-08-11, |
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