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id
stringclasses
10 values
reactor_type
stringclasses
3 values
burnup_gwdt
int64
18
55
linear_heat_kw_m
int64
17
28
pellet_temp_c
int64
910
1.3k
cladding_temp_c
int64
325
455
creep_rate_pct_hr
float64
0.01
0.03
fgr_pct
float64
0.6
3.8
drift_gradient
float64
0.02
0.21
failure_risk_score
float64
0.12
0.88
failure_horizon_cycles
int64
40
400
mitigation_action
stringclasses
8 values
gold_route
stringclasses
5 values
notes
stringclasses
10 values
FFR-001
PWR
38
24
1,130
400
0.014
1.9
0.09
0.42
220
continue monitoring
monitor
Stable but trending
FFR-002
PWR
45
26
1,200
420
0.021
2.6
0.14
0.63
120
reduce power 5%
power_reduction
Mid-risk drift
FFR-003
PWR
50
27
1,260
440
0.025
3.1
0.18
0.79
60
power reduction + inspection
dual
High burnup risk
FFR-004
BWR
34
22
1,105
380
0.012
1.8
0.08
0.37
240
continue monitoring
monitor
Coherent state
FFR-005
BWR
41
23
1,185
405
0.017
2.3
0.12
0.58
150
power reduction
power_reduction
Rising mismatch
FFR-006
SMR
18
17
910
325
0.005
0.6
0.02
0.12
400
none
stable
Baseline SMR
FFR-007
SMR
40
23
1,120
405
0.018
2.3
0.12
0.55
180
reduce power
power_reduction
Late-cycle drift
FFR-008
PWR
55
28
1,300
455
0.03
3.8
0.21
0.88
40
shutdown inspection
shutdown
Critical horizon
FFR-009
PWR
30
21
1,050
370
0.009
1.3
0.05
0.28
300
continue monitoring
monitor
Healthy coupling
FFR-010
BWR
48
25
1,220
430
0.02
2.9
0.16
0.71
90
reduce power + inspect
dual
Escalating

Goal

Predict when fuel rod integrity will fail and what mitigation should be taken.

This is the third layer in the fuel-cladding coherence trinity.

Layer 1 Baseline coupling

Layer 2 Drift detection

Layer 3 Failure horizon and routing

Model outputs

failure_horizon_cycles

mitigation_action

Why it matters

Fuel rod failures rarely occur instantly. They emerge from sustained thermo-mechanical drift.

Predicting the horizon allows:

power derating

inspection scheduling

controlled shutdown

avoidance of cladding rupture

Use cases

reactor digital twins

SMR predictive maintenance

burnup cycle optimization

safety margin forecasting

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