andrefelipe-afos
EVAL fixes: CITATION matchup (was Peru's), drop phantom candidate from dict, normalize pollster names, market-name guard
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cff-version: 1.2.0
message: "If you use this dataset, please cite it as below."
title: "AFOS — Colombia 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset"
abstract: >-
Open dataset cross-referencing opinion polls and prediction markets for Colombia's
2026 presidential election (first round May 2026; runoff June 2026, Abelardo
de la Espriella vs Iván Cepeda), with explicit poll-versus-market divergence rather than a
blended average. Poll figures compiled deterministically from public pollster
releases (via the Wikipedia aggregation); market odds from Polymarket.
type: dataset
authors:
- name: "AFOS Analytics"
website: "https://afos-analytics.com"
keywords:
- elections
- Colombia
- opinion polls
- prediction markets
- divergence
- Latin America
- open data
license: CC-BY-4.0
repository: "https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/colombia-2026-electoral-divergence"
url: "https://afos-analytics.com"
version: "2026.06"
date-released: "2026-06-10"