| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-24,Lula,57.5,37,20.5 | |
| 2026-06-24,Flávio Bolsonaro,22.9,34,-11.1 | |
| 2026-06-24,Renan Santos,12.35,3,9.35 | |
| 2026-06-24,Ronaldo Caiado,1.45,3,-1.55 | |
| 2026-06-24,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-24,Romeu Zema,0.95,2,-1.05 | |
| 2026-06-24,Fernando Haddad,1.45,0,1.45 | |