| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-20,Lula,51.5,41,10.5 | |
| 2026-06-20,Flávio Bolsonaro,25.05,31,-5.95 | |
| 2026-06-20,Renan Santos,14.35,3,11.35 | |
| 2026-06-20,Ronaldo Caiado,2.25,3,-0.75 | |
| 2026-06-20,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-20,Romeu Zema,1.45,2,-0.55 | |
| 2026-06-20,Fernando Haddad,2.15,0,2.15 | |