| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-17,Lula,50.5,41.8,8.7 | |
| 2026-06-17,Flávio Bolsonaro,24.05,28.2,-4.15 | |
| 2026-06-17,Renan Santos,15.75,2,13.75 | |
| 2026-06-17,Ronaldo Caiado,1.95,4,-2.05 | |
| 2026-06-17,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-17,Romeu Zema,1.45,2.8,-1.35 | |
| 2026-06-17,Fernando Haddad,1.85,0,1.85 | |