date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-17,Lula,50.5,41.8,8.7
2026-06-17,Flávio Bolsonaro,24.05,28.2,-4.15
2026-06-17,Renan Santos,15.75,2,13.75
2026-06-17,Ronaldo Caiado,1.95,4,-2.05
2026-06-17,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-17,Romeu Zema,1.45,2.8,-1.35
2026-06-17,Fernando Haddad,1.85,0,1.85