| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-15,Lula,51.5,42,9.5 | |
| 2026-06-15,Flávio Bolsonaro,25.55,33,-7.45 | |
| 2026-06-15,Renan Santos,11.65,3,8.65 | |
| 2026-06-15,Ronaldo Caiado,1.5,3,-1.5 | |
| 2026-06-15,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-15,Romeu Zema,1.25,2,-0.75 | |
| 2026-06-15,Fernando Haddad,1.95,0,1.95 | |