date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-15,Lula,51.5,42,9.5
2026-06-15,Flávio Bolsonaro,25.55,33,-7.45
2026-06-15,Renan Santos,11.65,3,8.65
2026-06-15,Ronaldo Caiado,1.5,3,-1.5
2026-06-15,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-15,Romeu Zema,1.25,2,-0.75
2026-06-15,Fernando Haddad,1.95,0,1.95