data/foundation_model_plan.json

{
  "title": "Xperience-10M Foundation Model Plan",
  "status": "planning_artifact",
  "current_boundary": "Verified held-out multi-episode foundation-model diagnostics now exist for Qwen3-Omni LoRA, Cosmos3-Nano future-window compatibility, Cosmos3-Super base-weight Reasoner evaluation, and Cosmos3-Super Forward-Dynamics LoRA. Qwen remains the structured JSON baseline; the Cosmos branches answer world-model or base-reasoner questions with separate metrics.",
  "pipeline_tracks": {
    "source_document": "THREE_FOUNDATION_PIPELINES.md",
    "data": "docs/data/three_foundation_pipelines.json",
    "reader_note": "Spatial intelligence, human-video world modeling, and vision-language-action are supported pipeline directions with separate data exports, training recipes, and evaluation gates.",
    "track_ids": [
      "spatial_intelligence",
      "human_video_world_models",
      "vision_language_action"
    ]
  },
  "backbone_registry": {
    "config_dir": "configs/omni_backbones",
    "validator": "scripts/omni/backbone_registry.py --validate --json",
    "extension_contract": "OMNI_MODEL_EXTENSION_CONTRACT.md",
    "implemented_backbone": "qwen3_omni_lora",
    "implemented_backbones": [
      "qwen3_omni_lora",
      "cosmos_world_model",
      "cosmos3_super_reasoner",
      "cosmos3_super_forward_dynamics"
    ],
    "planned_backbones": [
      "policy_vla_branch"
    ]
  },
  "decision": {
    "immediate_trainable_backbone": "Qwen3-Omni",
    "first_world_model_branch": "Cosmos 3",
    "first_policy_branch_candidates": [
      "OpenVLA / OpenVLA-OFT",
      "openpi pi0/pi0.5",
      "NVIDIA GR00T"
    ],
    "external_reasoning_reference": "Gemini Robotics",
    "long_term_native_pretraining_goal": "Xperience Embodied Foundation Model"
  },
  "future_pretraining_goal": {
    "name": "Xperience Embodied Foundation Model",
    "status": "future_planning_goal",
    "role": "Domain-specific embodied foundation model pretrained on full Xperience-10M if full-corpus data, storage, and compute become available.",
    "not_current_result": true,
    "document": "XPERIENCE_EMBODIED_FOUNDATION_MODEL_PRETRAINING.md",
    "entry_conditions": [
      "Selected multi-episode Qwen3-Omni pilot trains and evaluates cleanly.",
      "Scaling from 128 episodes to thousands of episodes shows measurable value.",
      "Full-corpus storage, derived-shard storage, and fast active-cache capacity are available.",
      "Distributed training, checkpoint/restart, and provenance tracking are reliable.",
      "Evaluation covers held-out episodes, sessions, activities, objects, and missing-modality robustness."
    ],
    "target_modules": [
      "multi-view video encoder",
      "audio encoder",
      "depth and geometry encoder",
      "pose/SLAM encoder",
      "hand/body mocap encoder",
      "IMU encoder",
      "language encoder/decoder",
      "temporal fusion transformer",
      "task heads and decoders"
    ],
    "pretraining_objectives": [
      "masked multimodal modeling",
      "cross-modal contrastive alignment",
      "future-state prediction",
      "ego-motion and hand-motion forecasting",
      "action and procedure prediction",
      "language grounding and captioning",
      "contact and affordance prediction",
      "optional policy-style targets after action conversion"
    ],
    "hardware_ranges": [
      {
        "goal": "0.3B-1B pilot",
        "compute": "8-32 modern 80GB-class data-center GPUs",
        "use": "prove objectives and data loaders"
      },
      {
        "goal": "1B-3B domain model",
        "compute": "32-128 GPUs",
        "use": "research-scale Xperience representation learning"
      },
      {
        "goal": "3B-7B full-corpus domain model",
        "compute": "128-512 GPUs",
        "use": "first realistic full Xperience-native foundation model"
      },
      {
        "goal": "30B-class omni model from scratch",
        "compute": "512-2000+ GPUs",
        "use": "lab-scale project after scaling curves justify cost"
      }
    ]
  },
  "model_families": [
    {
      "priority": 1,
      "family": "Qwen3-Omni",
      "category": "omni_instruction_model",
      "openness": "open_weights_available_from_official_hf_repo",
      "best_role": "First selected-episode multimodal LoRA pilot and structured task predictor.",
      "xperience10m_fit": [
        "RGB/fisheye video, embedded audio, and language prompts can enter directly.",
        "Depth, pose/SLAM, mocap, contacts, and IMU enter through the existing sensor bridge.",
        "Matches current task outputs: labels, structured JSON, captions, and short decisions."
      ],
      "current_decision": "keep_as_first_pilot",
      "entry_condition": "Selected episodes prepared with held-out episode split.",
      "public_source": "https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3-Omni-30B-A3B-Instruct"
    },
    {
      "priority": 2,
      "family": "Cosmos 3",
      "category": "world_foundation_model",
      "openness": "track_official_nvidia_release_and_available_weights",
      "best_role": "Embodied world modeling, action generation, future-window prediction, and synthetic-data expansion.",
      "xperience10m_fit": [
        "Uses video streams as visual state.",
        "Uses pose/SLAM, depth, mocap, IMU, and language as physical-world conditioning signals.",
        "Better aligned with prediction/generation objectives than simple label classification."
      ],
      "current_decision": "implemented_as_nano_future_window_and_super_forward_dynamics_branches",
      "entry_condition": "Use separate metrics for Nano future-window retrieval and Super forward-dynamics MSE; do not compare them directly to Qwen JSON-task accuracy.",
      "public_source": "https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/ai/cosmos/"
    },
    {
      "priority": 3,
      "family": "NVIDIA GR00T",
      "category": "humanoid_policy_foundation_model",
      "openness": "track_official_nvidia_release_and_tooling",
      "best_role": "Humanoid action understanding, retargeting, contact/action prediction, and embodied skill transfer.",
      "xperience10m_fit": [
        "Hand/body mocap and contact cues can be retargeted into humanoid state/action targets.",
        "Egocentric video plus human motion can support affordance and interaction tasks."
      ],
      "current_decision": "track_as_humanoid_policy_branch",
      "entry_condition": "Retargeting artifact and action-space definition exist.",
      "public_source": "https://developer.nvidia.com/isaac/gr00t"
    },
    {
      "priority": 4,
      "family": "OpenVLA / OpenVLA-OFT",
      "category": "vision_language_action_policy",
      "openness": "open_project_and_weights",
      "best_role": "Open robot-policy baseline after observations and action labels are converted into a VLA format.",
      "xperience10m_fit": [
        "Good candidate when each window is expressed as visual observation, instruction/context, and action token.",
        "Requires an explicit action target; current human egocentric labels are not robot controls by default."
      ],
      "current_decision": "candidate_after_action_space_design",
      "entry_condition": "Window-to-action-token conversion is implemented and checked.",
      "public_source": "https://openvla.github.io/"
    },
    {
      "priority": 5,
      "family": "openpi pi0/pi0.5",
      "category": "robot_policy_model",
      "openness": "open_source_policy_training_stack",
      "best_role": "Action-chunking, policy fine-tuning, and embodiment-transfer experiments.",
      "xperience10m_fit": [
        "Useful once hand trajectories, contacts, or retargeted body motion are converted into policy targets.",
        "Better for policy branch than for current structured task JSON outputs."
      ],
      "current_decision": "candidate_policy_branch",
      "entry_condition": "Action target and train/eval protocol exist for at least 64 episodes.",
      "public_source": "https://github.com/Physical-Intelligence/openpi"
    },
    {
      "priority": 6,
      "family": "Gemini Robotics",
      "category": "closed_embodied_reasoning_reference",
      "openness": "closed_or_limited_access",
      "best_role": "Qualitative reasoning reference, annotation helper, and external comparison when API access exists.",
      "xperience10m_fit": [
        "Can help reason over egocentric scenes and task descriptions.",
        "Not a local fine-tune target for this repo."
      ],
      "current_decision": "external_reference_only",
      "entry_condition": "API/access exists and outputs are logged separately from trainable model metrics.",
      "public_source": "https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/gemini-robotics-brings-ai-into-the-physical-world/"
    },
    {
      "priority": 7,
      "family": "Octo / SmolVLA-style lightweight policies",
      "category": "lightweight_robot_policy_baselines",
      "openness": "open_projects",
      "best_role": "Cheaper policy baselines for observation-to-action experiments.",
      "xperience10m_fit": [
        "Useful after action target design.",
        "Less directly omni-modal than Qwen3-Omni or Cosmos 3."
      ],
      "current_decision": "optional_baseline_after_data_staging",
      "entry_condition": "Action labels and baseline protocol exist.",
      "public_source": "https://github.com/huggingface/lerobot"
    },
    {
      "priority": 8,
      "family": "Xperience Embodied Foundation Model",
      "category": "xperience_native_pretraining_goal",
      "openness": "future project-specific model if full-corpus access and compute exist",
      "best_role": "Domain model over synchronized embodied experience.",
      "xperience10m_fit": [
        "Uses the full aligned modality stack rather than treating sensors as auxiliary metadata.",
        "Targets temporal embodied representation learning across perception, motion, geometry, audio, and language.",
        "Can become the shared pretraining backbone for Qwen-style instruction tasks, Cosmos-style world modeling, and policy/action branches."
      ],
      "current_decision": "future_goal_after_scaling_evidence",
      "entry_condition": "Full-corpus data path, PB-scale storage, multi-node compute, and positive smaller-run scaling evidence.",
      "public_source": "XPERIENCE_EMBODIED_FOUNDATION_MODEL_PRETRAINING.md"
    }
  ],
  "execution_order": [
    {
      "step": 1,
      "name": "Data gate",
      "action": "Stage at least 32 valid Xperience-10M episodes with held-out episode split."
    },
    {
      "step": 2,
      "name": "First held-out baseline",
      "action": "Run Qwen3-Omni action/subtask error analysis and targeted reruns to improve the verified diagnostic baseline."
    },
    {
      "step": 3,
      "name": "Model-selection dry run",
      "action": "Run 3-8 episode dry runs for any next backbone before scaling beyond the selected split."
    },
    {
      "step": 4,
      "name": "World-model track",
      "action": "Promote Cosmos 3 beyond the current Nano compatibility and Super forward-dynamics runs only when loss metrics, preprocessing, and storage justify the added compute."
    },
    {
      "step": 5,
      "name": "Policy branch",
      "action": "Promote OpenVLA/openpi/GR00T after action target conversion and retargeting artifacts are traceable."
    },
    {
      "step": 6,
      "name": "Publishing threshold",
      "action": "Publish branch results only with real manifests, predictions, metrics, and qualitative examples."
    },
    {
      "step": 7,
      "name": "Xperience-native pretraining",
      "action": "Start a from-scratch Xperience Embodied Foundation Model only after smaller scaling stages, full-corpus storage, multi-node compute, and held-out evaluation protocols are in place."
    }
  ],
  "evaluation_additions": [
    {
      "target": "structured_task_prediction",
      "metrics": [
        "JSON validity",
        "macro-F1",
        "accuracy",
        "micro-F1"
      ],
      "model_families": [
        "Qwen3-Omni",
        "Gemini Robotics reference"
      ]
    },
    {
      "target": "future_state_prediction",
      "metrics": [
        "retrieval rank",
        "temporal consistency",
        "feature reconstruction",
        "qualitative visual inspection"
      ],
      "model_families": [
        "Cosmos 3"
      ]
    },
    {
      "target": "action_conditioned_dynamics",
      "metrics": [
        "transition accuracy",
        "contact accuracy",
        "next-action accuracy"
      ],
      "model_families": [
        "Cosmos 3",
        "OpenVLA",
        "openpi",
        "GR00T"
      ]
    },
    {
      "target": "cross_episode_generalization",
      "metrics": [
        "held-out episode metrics",
        "held-out session metrics",
        "leakage checks"
      ],
      "model_families": [
        "all trainable branches"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "source_links": [
    {
      "label": "Qwen3-Omni official HF model",
      "url": "https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3-Omni-30B-A3B-Instruct"
    },
    {
      "label": "NVIDIA Cosmos",
      "url": "https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/ai/cosmos/"
    },
    {
      "label": "NVIDIA Isaac GR00T",
      "url": "https://developer.nvidia.com/isaac/gr00t"
    },
    {
      "label": "OpenVLA",
      "url": "https://openvla.github.io/"
    },
    {
      "label": "openpi",
      "url": "https://github.com/Physical-Intelligence/openpi"
    },
    {
      "label": "Gemini Robotics",
      "url": "https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/gemini-robotics-brings-ai-into-the-physical-world/"
    },
    {
      "label": "Octo",
      "url": "https://octo-models.github.io/"
    },
    {
      "label": "LeRobot / SmolVLA",
      "url": "https://github.com/huggingface/lerobot"
    },
    {
      "label": "Xperience Embodied Foundation Model pretraining plan",
      "url": "XPERIENCE_EMBODIED_FOUNDATION_MODEL_PRETRAINING.md"
    }
  ]
}