f2_blr — model card
Auto-generated by tools/generate_model_cards.py on 2026-05-17.
Default configuration (out-of-box hyperparameters)
(no config.json schema; see trainer source)
Feature set (1 columns)
(univariate: imbalance_price_dkk_mwh_15min)
Frozen-seed results (5 seeds: 13, 42, 137, 1729, 31415)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Val pinball mean (DKK) | 382.13 ± 0.00 |
| Raw [q10, q90] coverage | 61.33 ± 0.00% |
| ACI marginal coverage (target 90%) | 89.24 ± 0.00% |
| ACI mean width (DKK) | 4438.15 ± 0.00 |
| Inference runtime (s) | — |
Provenance
- Trained on
data/processed/dk1_panel_{train, val}.parquet(FX-corrected 2026-05-16) - Seeds:
[13, 42, 137, 1729, 31415](frozen project-wide) - Train cutoff: 2025-02-28 UTC
- Val window: 2025-03-04 → 2025-04-30 UTC (post-EAM regime)
- Per-seed artifacts at
models/forecaster/f2_blr/seed-<n>/:model.pt/model.npz— weightsstats.pkl— train-stat normalization (mean/std/target stats)val_preds.npz— quantile predictions on valmetrics.json— pinball / coverage / ACI numbersaci_state.json— final ACI state (α_t, buffer)