๐ŸŒณ Vietnam Deforestation Risk Logistic Model

An interpretable logistic-regression baseline for predicting forest-loss risk at grid-cell level in Gia Lai Province, Vietnam.

Model Details

  • Architecture: Logistic Regression (scikit-learn StandardScaler normalized).
  • Inputs: 1 km aggregated raster features (elevation, slope, precipitation, historical forest loss, baseline canopy).
  • Target: Binary deforestation indicator.

Performance Metrics (Manuscript Table 3)

  • Provided Split (Out-of-sample):
    • AUC: 0.931
    • AP: 0.926
    • F1: 0.881
    • Capture@10%: 0.190
  • Area Transfer (Kโ€™Bang โ†’ Mang Yang):
    • AUC: 0.743
    • Capture@10%: 0.170

Ethical Considerations & Intended Use

For proactively identifying high-risk deforestation zones to support local conservation patrols and reserve boundary allocation. This model must NOT be used to justify punitive commercial land claims or displacement of forest communities without on-the-ground human verification.

Source Code & Reproducibility

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Dataset used to train MahdiFattahi/vietnam-deforestation-risk-logistic