#!/usr/bin/env python3 """ Literature-Informed Prostate Cancer Dataset ============================================= Generates realistic synthetic records of prostate cancer patients in sub-Saharan Africa, including presentation, diagnosis, staging, treatment access, and survival outcomes. References (web-searched): ----------- [1] PMC 2022. PCa screening/diagnosis/treatment in SSA. Inconsistent PSA screening. Late presentation. [2] PMC 2023. Public awareness PCa screening South Africa. Black men disproportionately aggressive disease. [3] BJUI 2024. Global viewpoints PCa in SSA. High incidence and mortality. PSA not readily available. [4] PMC 2021. PCa survival SSA by stage. Poor survival, high proportions late stage. [5] PubMed 2023. PCa management barriers in SSA. Screening, diagnosis, curative Tx not available. [6] PubMed 2018. Radiotherapy PCa Ghana. Emphasis on curative treatment at tertiary centres. [7] PubMed 2024. Radiotherapy access barriers SSA. """ import numpy as np import pandas as pd import argparse import os SCENARIOS = { 'tertiary_oncology': { 'description': 'Tertiary oncology centre with PSA, biopsy, ' 'CT/MRI, radiotherapy, surgery, ADT ' '(e.g., Groote Schuur, LUTH, Kenyatta)', 'psa_available': True, 'biopsy_available': True, 'imaging_available': True, 'radiotherapy_available': True, 'surgery_available': True, 'early_stage_proportion': 0.35, 'five_year_survival': 0.55, }, 'district_hospital': { 'description': 'District hospital with PSA, DRE, limited ' 'biopsy, no radiotherapy, ADT only ' '(e.g., district hospitals Uganda, Malawi)', 'psa_available': True, 'biopsy_available': False, 'imaging_available': False, 'radiotherapy_available': False, 'surgery_available': False, 'early_stage_proportion': 0.15, 'five_year_survival': 0.30, }, 'rural_health_centre': { 'description': 'Rural health centre, clinical diagnosis ' 'only, no PSA, referral for all treatment ' '(e.g., rural DRC, Niger, CAR)', 'psa_available': False, 'biopsy_available': False, 'imaging_available': False, 'radiotherapy_available': False, 'surgery_available': False, 'early_stage_proportion': 0.05, 'five_year_survival': 0.15, }, } def generate_dataset(n=10000, seed=42, scenario='district_hospital'): rng = np.random.default_rng(seed) sc = SCENARIOS[scenario] records = [] for idx in range(n): rec = {'id': idx + 1} # ── 1. Demographics ── rec['age'] = max(40, min(95, int(rng.normal(67, 9)))) rec['education'] = rng.choice( ['none', 'primary', 'secondary', 'tertiary'], p=[0.25, 0.30, 0.30, 0.15]) rec['urban'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.40 else 0 rec['family_history_pca'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.10 else 0 rec['bmi'] = round(max(15, min(40, rng.normal(24, 4))), 1) rec['hiv_positive'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.06 else 0 rec['diabetes'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.08 else 0 rec['hypertension'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.30 else 0 # ── 2. Presentation ── rec['presenting_symptom'] = rng.choice( ['luts', 'bone_pain', 'urinary_retention', 'haematuria', 'weight_loss', 'incidental', 'screening'], p=[0.30, 0.20, 0.15, 0.10, 0.10, 0.05, 0.10]) rec['symptom_duration_months'] = max(1, min(36, int(rng.exponential(6) + 2))) rec['traditional_medicine_first'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.25 else 0 # ── 3. Diagnosis [1][3] ── rec['dre_performed'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.70 else 0 rec['dre_suspicious'] = 0 if rec['dre_performed']: rec['dre_suspicious'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.65 else 0 rec['psa_tested'] = 0 if sc['psa_available']: rec['psa_tested'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.80 else 0 rec['psa_level'] = 0.0 if rec['psa_tested']: rec['psa_level'] = round(max(0.5, min(5000, rng.lognormal(3.5, 1.5))), 1) rec['psa_elevated'] = 1 if rec['psa_level'] > 4.0 else 0 rec['biopsy_performed'] = 0 if sc['biopsy_available'] and (rec['psa_elevated'] or rec['dre_suspicious']): rec['biopsy_performed'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.60 else 0 rec['gleason_score'] = 0 if rec['biopsy_performed']: rec['gleason_score'] = rng.choice( [6, 7, 8, 9, 10], p=[0.15, 0.30, 0.25, 0.20, 0.10]) rec['gleason_group'] = 0 if rec['gleason_score'] == 6: rec['gleason_group'] = 1 elif rec['gleason_score'] == 7: rec['gleason_group'] = rng.choice([2, 3]) elif rec['gleason_score'] == 8: rec['gleason_group'] = 4 elif rec['gleason_score'] >= 9: rec['gleason_group'] = 5 # ── 4. Staging [4] ── rec['stage'] = 'unknown' if rng.random() < sc['early_stage_proportion']: rec['stage'] = rng.choice(['I', 'II'], p=[0.30, 0.70]) else: rec['stage'] = rng.choice(['III', 'IV'], p=[0.35, 0.65]) rec['metastatic'] = 1 if rec['stage'] == 'IV' else 0 rec['bone_metastases'] = 0 if rec['metastatic']: rec['bone_metastases'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.80 else 0 rec['lymph_node_metastases'] = 0 if rec['metastatic']: rec['lymph_node_metastases'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.40 else 0 rec['ct_scan_done'] = 0 if sc['imaging_available']: rec['ct_scan_done'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.50 else 0 rec['bone_scan_done'] = 0 if sc['imaging_available']: rec['bone_scan_done'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.30 else 0 # ── 5. Treatment [5][6][7] ── rec['treatment_received'] = 'none' if sc['surgery_available'] and rec['stage'] in ('I', 'II'): rec['treatment_received'] = rng.choice( ['radical_prostatectomy', 'radiotherapy', 'adt', 'watchful_waiting'], p=[0.25, 0.25, 0.30, 0.20]) elif sc['radiotherapy_available'] and rec['stage'] == 'III': rec['treatment_received'] = rng.choice( ['radiotherapy_adt', 'adt_only', 'none'], p=[0.40, 0.45, 0.15]) elif rec['stage'] == 'IV': if sc['psa_available']: rec['treatment_received'] = rng.choice( ['adt_only', 'adt_chemo', 'palliative', 'none'], p=[0.45, 0.10, 0.25, 0.20]) else: rec['treatment_received'] = rng.choice( ['adt_only', 'palliative', 'none'], p=[0.30, 0.20, 0.50]) else: if sc['psa_available']: rec['treatment_received'] = rng.choice( ['adt_only', 'palliative', 'none'], p=[0.40, 0.20, 0.40]) else: rec['treatment_received'] = rng.choice( ['palliative', 'none'], p=[0.30, 0.70]) rec['adt_type'] = 'none' if 'adt' in rec['treatment_received']: rec['adt_type'] = rng.choice( ['surgical_castration', 'lhrh_agonist', 'antiandrogen'], p=[0.40, 0.35, 0.25]) rec['pain_management'] = 0 if rec['bone_metastases'] or rec['treatment_received'] == 'palliative': rec['pain_management'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.50 else 0 rec['treatment_delay_months'] = max(0, min(24, int(rng.exponential(3)))) rec['referral_needed'] = 0 if not sc['surgery_available'] and rec['stage'] in ('I', 'II', 'III'): rec['referral_needed'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.70 else 0 rec['referral_completed'] = 0 if rec['referral_needed']: rec['referral_completed'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.30 else 0 # ── 6. Outcome ── base_mort = 1.0 - sc['five_year_survival'] if rec['stage'] == 'IV': mort = base_mort * 1.3 elif rec['stage'] == 'III': mort = base_mort * 0.8 else: mort = base_mort * 0.3 if rec['treatment_received'] == 'none': mort *= 1.5 if rec['age'] > 75: mort *= 1.2 rec['died_within_2_years'] = 1 if rng.random() < min(mort, 0.80) else 0 rec['quality_of_life'] = rng.choice( ['good', 'moderate', 'poor'], p=[0.20, 0.40, 0.40] if rec['metastatic'] else [0.40, 0.40, 0.20]) rec['castration_resistant'] = 0 if 'adt' in rec['treatment_received']: rec['castration_resistant'] = 1 if rng.random() < 0.30 else 0 records.append(rec) df = pd.DataFrame(records) print(f"\n{'='*65}") print(f"Prostate Cancer — {scenario} (n={n}, seed={seed})") print(f"{'='*65}") print(f"\n Stage IV: {(df['stage']=='IV').mean()*100:.1f}%") print(f" PSA tested: {df['psa_tested'].mean()*100:.1f}%") print(f" No treatment: {(df['treatment_received']=='none').mean()*100:.1f}%") print(f" 2-yr mortality: {df['died_within_2_years'].mean()*100:.1f}%") return df if __name__ == '__main__': parser = argparse.ArgumentParser( description='Generate prostate cancer dataset') parser.add_argument('--scenario', type=str, default='district_hospital', choices=list(SCENARIOS.keys())) parser.add_argument('--n', type=int, default=10000) parser.add_argument('--seed', type=int, default=42) parser.add_argument('--output', type=str, default=None) parser.add_argument('--all-scenarios', action='store_true') args = parser.parse_args() os.makedirs('data', exist_ok=True) if args.all_scenarios: for sc_name in SCENARIOS: df = generate_dataset(n=args.n, seed=args.seed, scenario=sc_name) out = os.path.join('data', f'pca_{sc_name}.csv') df.to_csv(out, index=False) print(f" -> Saved to {out}\n") else: df = generate_dataset(n=args.n, seed=args.seed, scenario=args.scenario) out = args.output or os.path.join('data', f'pca_{args.scenario}.csv') df.to_csv(out, index=False) print(f" -> Saved to {out}")