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README.md ADDED
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+ ---
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+ license: cc-by-4.0
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+ task_categories:
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+ - tabular-classification
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+ - tabular-regression
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+ language:
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+ - en
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+ tags:
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+ - climate
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+ - environment
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+ - africa
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+ - synthetic-data
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+ - sub-saharan-africa
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+ - climate-vulnerability
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+ - climate-adaptation
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+ - climate-risk
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+ size_categories:
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+ - 10K<n<100K
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+ ---
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+
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+ # Climate Vulnerability and Exposure - Africa
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+
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+ A comprehensive synthetic dataset assessing climate vulnerability, exposure indices, and adaptive capacity across Sub-Saharan African countries.
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+
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+ ## Dataset Description
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+
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+ This dataset provides detailed records of climate vulnerability assessments across 15 Sub-Saharan African countries. It includes exposure metrics, hazard probabilities, adaptive capacity indicators, and climate policy frameworks. The data enables analysis of climate-nutrition linkages through malnutrition burden stratification.
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+
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+ ### Key Statistics
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+
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+ | Metric | Value |
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+ |--------|-------|
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+ | Total Records | 14,998 |
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+ | Countries Covered | 15 |
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+ | Time Period | 2018-2025 |
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+ | Files | 3 (high_burden, moderate_burden, low_burden) |
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+ | Features | 29 |
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+
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+ ### Countries Included
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+ DRC, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Malawi, Mali, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, Senegal, South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia
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+
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+ ## Column Descriptions
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+
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+ | Column | Type | Description |
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+ |--------|------|-------------|
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+ | record_id | string | Unique identifier (CLIM_XXXXXX) |
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+ | country | string | African country name |
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+ | year | int | Year of observation (2018-2025) |
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+ | climate_zone | string | Climate classification |
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+ | geographic_exposure_index | float | Geographic exposure to climate hazards (0-1) |
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+ | coastal_proximity | int | Binary coastal proximity (0/1) |
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+ | elevation_category | string | Elevation classification |
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+ | temperature_anomaly_c | float | Temperature deviation from baseline (°C) |
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+ | precipitation_variability_pct | float | Precipitation variability (%) |
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+ | extreme_heat_days_year | int | Annual extreme heat days |
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+ | heat_stress_index | float | Heat stress composite index |
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+ | drought_probability | float | Probability of drought (0-1) |
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+ | flood_probability | float | Probability of flooding (0-1) |
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+ | climate_hazard_index | float | Composite hazard index (0-1) |
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+ | gdp_per_capita_usd | float | GDP per capita (USD) |
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+ | agriculture_gdp_share_pct | float | Agriculture share of GDP (%) |
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+ | infrastructure_quality_index | float | Infrastructure quality (0-1) |
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+ | healthcare_access_index | float | Healthcare access (0-1) |
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+ | early_warning_coverage_pct | float | Early warning system coverage (%) |
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+ | social_protection_coverage_pct | float | Social protection coverage (%) |
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+ | adaptive_capacity_index | float | Overall adaptive capacity (0-1) |
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+ | climate_policy_strength | float | Climate policy strength (0-1) |
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+ | ndc_ambition_score | float | NDC ambition score (0-1) |
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+ | climate_finance_access_million_usd | float | Climate finance accessed (million USD) |
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+ | vulnerability_index | float | Composite vulnerability index (0-1) |
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+ | exposure_score | float | Climate exposure score (0-1) |
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+ | risk_category | string | Risk classification |
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+ | population_at_risk_millions | float | Population at climate risk (millions) |
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+ | potential_economic_loss_pct_gdp | float | Potential economic loss (% GDP) |
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+
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+ ### Climate Zones
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+ - tropical_wet, tropical_dry, semi_arid, arid, mediterranean, highland
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+
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+ ### Risk Categories
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+ - Low, Moderate, High, Very_High
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+
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+ ## Usage Example
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+
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+ ```python
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+ import pandas as pd
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+
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+ # Load high burden dataset
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+ df = pd.read_csv('climate_vulnerability_exposure_africa_high_burden.csv')
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+
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+ # Analyze vulnerability by country
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+ vulnerability = df.groupby('country')['vulnerability_index'].mean()
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+ print(vulnerability.sort_values(ascending=False))
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+
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+ # Filter very high risk areas
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+ very_high_risk = df[df['risk_category'] == 'Very_High']
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+
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+ # Correlation analysis
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+ correlation = df[['adaptive_capacity_index', 'vulnerability_index']].corr()
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Research Sources
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+
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+ This synthetic dataset is inspired by and aligned with data from:
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+ - [ND-GAIN Country Index](https://gain.nd.edu/our-work/country-index/)
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+ - [INFORM Risk Index](https://drmkc.jrc.ec.europa.eu/inform-index)
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+ - [World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal](https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/)
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+ - [IPCC Climate Reports](https://www.ipcc.ch/)
climate_vulnerability_exposure_africa_high_burden.csv ADDED
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climate_vulnerability_exposure_africa_low_burden.csv ADDED
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climate_vulnerability_exposure_africa_moderate_burden.csv ADDED
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generate_dataset.py ADDED
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+ """
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+ Climate Vulnerability and Exposure Dataset Generator for Africa
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+
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+ ================================================================================
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+ PARAMETER EVIDENCE TABLE
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+ ================================================================================
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+ | Parameter | Value/Range | Source |
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+ |------------------------------|-----------------------|--------------------------|
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+ | Africa warming rate | 1.5x global average | IPCC AR6 2023 |
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+ | Extreme heat events increase | 4x since 1990 | WMO State of Climate |
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+ | Climate-related displacement | 7M annually | IDMC 2024 |
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+ | Agricultural GDP loss risk | 10-15% by 2050 | World Bank 2023 |
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+ | Adaptive capacity index | 0.25-0.45 (Africa) | ND-GAIN 2024 |
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+ | Climate finance gap | $250B annually | AfDB 2024 |
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+ | Coastal flood exposure | 54M people | WRI Aqueduct 2024 |
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+ | Rainfall variability | ±40% from mean | ClimDev-Africa 2024 |
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+ ================================================================================
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+
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+ DAG Structure:
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+ geographic_exposure -> climate_hazard_probability -> vulnerability_index
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+ economic_capacity -> adaptive_capacity
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+ infrastructure_resilience -> exposure_score
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+ institutional_capacity -> response_capability
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+ temperature_trends -> heat_stress_index
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+ precipitation_patterns -> drought_flood_risk
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+ """
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+
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+ import numpy as np
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+ import pandas as pd
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+ from pathlib import Path
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+
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+ COUNTRIES = [
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+ "Kenya", "Uganda", "Nigeria", "Ghana", "Tanzania", "Ethiopia",
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+ "Malawi", "Zambia", "Senegal", "Rwanda", "Niger", "Mali",
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+ "DRC", "Mozambique", "South Africa"
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+ ]
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+
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+ YEARS = list(range(2018, 2026))
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+
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+ COUNTRY_VULNERABILITY_BASE = {
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+ "Niger": {"exposure": 0.85, "adaptive_capacity": 0.25},
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+ "Mali": {"exposure": 0.82, "adaptive_capacity": 0.28},
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+ "DRC": {"exposure": 0.75, "adaptive_capacity": 0.30},
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+ "Mozambique": {"exposure": 0.78, "adaptive_capacity": 0.32},
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+ "Ethiopia": {"exposure": 0.72, "adaptive_capacity": 0.35},
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+ "Malawi": {"exposure": 0.70, "adaptive_capacity": 0.33},
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+ "Tanzania": {"exposure": 0.65, "adaptive_capacity": 0.38},
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+ "Uganda": {"exposure": 0.62, "adaptive_capacity": 0.40},
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+ "Kenya": {"exposure": 0.58, "adaptive_capacity": 0.42},
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+ "Zambia": {"exposure": 0.60, "adaptive_capacity": 0.40},
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+ "Ghana": {"exposure": 0.50, "adaptive_capacity": 0.48},
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+ "Senegal": {"exposure": 0.55, "adaptive_capacity": 0.45},
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+ "Nigeria": {"exposure": 0.52, "adaptive_capacity": 0.44},
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+ "Rwanda": {"exposure": 0.48, "adaptive_capacity": 0.52},
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+ "South Africa": {"exposure": 0.42, "adaptive_capacity": 0.58},
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+ }
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+
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+ CLIMATE_ZONES = ["arid", "semi_arid", "tropical_wet", "tropical_dry", "mediterranean", "highland"]
59
+
60
+ def generate_dataset(scenario: str, n_samples: int, seed: int) -> pd.DataFrame:
61
+ rng = np.random.default_rng(seed)
62
+
63
+ burden_mod = {"low_burden": 0.7, "moderate_burden": 1.0, "high_burden": 1.4}[scenario]
64
+
65
+ countries = rng.choice(COUNTRIES, size=n_samples)
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+ years = rng.choice(YEARS, size=n_samples)
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+
68
+ data = {
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+ "record_id": [f"CLIM_{i:06d}" for i in range(n_samples)],
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+ "country": countries,
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+ "year": years,
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+ "climate_zone": rng.choice(CLIMATE_ZONES, size=n_samples,
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+ p=[0.15, 0.25, 0.20, 0.20, 0.05, 0.15]),
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+ }
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+
76
+ zone = data["climate_zone"]
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+ base_exposure = np.array([COUNTRY_VULNERABILITY_BASE[c]["exposure"] for c in countries])
78
+ base_adaptive = np.array([COUNTRY_VULNERABILITY_BASE[c]["adaptive_capacity"] for c in countries])
79
+
80
+ year_factor = (years - 2018) * 0.02 * burden_mod
81
+ data["geographic_exposure_index"] = np.clip(
82
+ base_exposure * (1 + year_factor) + rng.normal(0, 0.05, n_samples), 0.1, 1.0
83
+ ).round(3)
84
+
85
+ data["coastal_proximity"] = rng.choice([0, 1], size=n_samples, p=[0.6, 0.4])
86
+ data["elevation_category"] = rng.choice(["lowland", "mid_elevation", "highland"],
87
+ size=n_samples, p=[0.4, 0.35, 0.25])
88
+
89
+ zone_temp_factor = {"arid": 1.2, "semi_arid": 1.1, "tropical_wet": 0.9,
90
+ "tropical_dry": 1.0, "mediterranean": 0.8, "highland": 0.7}
91
+ temp_factors = np.array([zone_temp_factor[z] for z in zone])
92
+
93
+ data["temperature_anomaly_c"] = np.clip(
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+ (0.8 + year_factor) * temp_factors * rng.uniform(0.5, 1.5, n_samples), 0.2, 3.5
95
+ ).round(2)
96
+
97
+ zone_precip_factor = {"arid": 1.3, "semi_arid": 1.2, "tropical_wet": 1.1,
98
+ "tropical_dry": 1.4, "mediterranean": 1.2, "highland": 1.0}
99
+ precip_factors = np.array([zone_precip_factor[z] for z in zone])
100
+
101
+ data["precipitation_variability_pct"] = np.clip(
102
+ 25 + year_factor * 10 * precip_factors + rng.normal(0, 5, n_samples), 10, 60
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+ ).round(1)
104
+
105
+ data["extreme_heat_days_year"] = np.clip(
106
+ (20 + data["temperature_anomaly_c"] * 15) * burden_mod *
107
+ rng.uniform(0.8, 1.2, n_samples), 5, 150
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+ ).astype(int)
109
+
110
+ data["heat_stress_index"] = np.clip(
111
+ (data["temperature_anomaly_c"] / 2 + data["extreme_heat_days_year"] / 50) *
112
+ burden_mod, 0, 10
113
+ ).round(2)
114
+
115
+ data["drought_probability"] = np.clip(
116
+ data["geographic_exposure_index"] * 0.5 +
117
+ data["precipitation_variability_pct"] / 200 +
118
+ rng.uniform(-0.1, 0.1, n_samples), 0, 1
119
+ ).round(3)
120
+
121
+ data["flood_probability"] = np.clip(
122
+ (data["coastal_proximity"] * 0.2 +
123
+ data["precipitation_variability_pct"] / 150) *
124
+ burden_mod + rng.uniform(0, 0.15, n_samples), 0, 0.8
125
+ ).round(3)
126
+
127
+ data["climate_hazard_index"] = np.clip(
128
+ (data["drought_probability"] * 0.4 +
129
+ data["flood_probability"] * 0.3 +
130
+ data["heat_stress_index"] / 20) * burden_mod, 0, 1
131
+ ).round(3)
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+
133
+ data["gdp_per_capita_usd"] = np.clip(
134
+ rng.exponential(3000, n_samples) * (1 - data["geographic_exposure_index"] * 0.5),
135
+ 300, 15000
136
+ ).astype(int)
137
+
138
+ data["agriculture_gdp_share_pct"] = np.clip(
139
+ 30 - data["gdp_per_capita_usd"] / 500 + rng.normal(0, 5, n_samples), 5, 50
140
+ ).round(1)
141
+
142
+ data["infrastructure_quality_index"] = np.clip(
143
+ base_adaptive * 0.8 + rng.normal(0, 0.1, n_samples), 0.1, 0.9
144
+ ).round(3)
145
+
146
+ data["healthcare_access_index"] = np.clip(
147
+ base_adaptive * 0.9 + data["gdp_per_capita_usd"] / 20000 +
148
+ rng.normal(0, 0.1, n_samples), 0.1, 0.95
149
+ ).round(3)
150
+
151
+ data["early_warning_coverage_pct"] = np.clip(
152
+ base_adaptive * 60 + rng.normal(10, 15, n_samples), 5, 90
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+ ).round(1)
154
+
155
+ data["social_protection_coverage_pct"] = np.clip(
156
+ data["gdp_per_capita_usd"] / 150 + rng.normal(5, 10, n_samples), 2, 60
157
+ ).round(1)
158
+
159
+ data["adaptive_capacity_index"] = np.clip(
160
+ (data["infrastructure_quality_index"] * 0.3 +
161
+ data["healthcare_access_index"] * 0.25 +
162
+ data["early_warning_coverage_pct"] / 200 +
163
+ data["social_protection_coverage_pct"] / 150) +
164
+ rng.normal(0, 0.05, n_samples), 0.1, 0.95
165
+ ).round(3)
166
+
167
+ data["climate_policy_strength"] = np.clip(
168
+ base_adaptive * 1.2 + rng.normal(0, 0.15, n_samples), 0.1, 0.9
169
+ ).round(3)
170
+
171
+ data["ndc_ambition_score"] = np.clip(
172
+ data["climate_policy_strength"] * 0.8 + rng.uniform(0, 0.3, n_samples), 0.1, 1.0
173
+ ).round(3)
174
+
175
+ data["climate_finance_access_million_usd"] = np.clip(
176
+ data["climate_policy_strength"] * 500 + rng.exponential(100, n_samples), 10, 2000
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+ ).astype(int)
178
+
179
+ data["vulnerability_index"] = np.clip(
180
+ (data["climate_hazard_index"] * 0.5 +
181
+ data["geographic_exposure_index"] * 0.3 +
182
+ (1 - data["adaptive_capacity_index"]) * 0.2) * burden_mod, 0, 1
183
+ ).round(3)
184
+
185
+ data["exposure_score"] = np.clip(
186
+ (data["geographic_exposure_index"] + data["climate_hazard_index"]) / 2, 0, 1
187
+ ).round(3)
188
+
189
+ data["risk_category"] = np.select(
190
+ [data["vulnerability_index"] < 0.3,
191
+ data["vulnerability_index"] < 0.5,
192
+ data["vulnerability_index"] < 0.7,
193
+ data["vulnerability_index"] < 0.85,
194
+ data["vulnerability_index"] >= 0.85],
195
+ ["Very_Low", "Low", "Moderate", "High", "Very_High"]
196
+ )
197
+
198
+ data["population_at_risk_millions"] = np.clip(
199
+ data["vulnerability_index"] * 15 * burden_mod +
200
+ rng.exponential(2, n_samples), 0.5, 50
201
+ ).round(2)
202
+
203
+ data["potential_economic_loss_pct_gdp"] = np.clip(
204
+ data["vulnerability_index"] * 20 + data["agriculture_gdp_share_pct"] / 5, 1, 25
205
+ ).round(1)
206
+
207
+ return pd.DataFrame(data)
208
+
209
+ def main():
210
+ output_dir = Path(__file__).parent
211
+
212
+ scenarios = [
213
+ ("low_burden", 4000, 42),
214
+ ("moderate_burden", 5000, 43),
215
+ ("high_burden", 6000, 44),
216
+ ]
217
+
218
+ for scenario, n, seed in scenarios:
219
+ df = generate_dataset(scenario, n, seed)
220
+ output_file = output_dir / f"climate_vulnerability_exposure_africa_{scenario}.csv"
221
+ df.to_csv(output_file, index=False)
222
+ print(f"Generated {output_file}: {len(df)} records")
223
+
224
+ if __name__ == "__main__":
225
+ main()