{ "market": "US", "phase": "expansion", "phaseLabel": "확장", "confidence": "low", "signals": [ "HY 스프레드 안정 (272bp)", "수익률곡선 평탄화 (+0.42%)", "금 급등 (YoY +37.3%)", "CPI 3.7% — 인플레 동반 확장" ], "sectorStrategy": { "high": "overweight", "moderate": "overweight", "defensive": "neutral", "low": "neutral" }, "transition": { "from": "expansion", "to": "slowdown", "progress": 25, "triggered": [ "term_spread_flattening" ], "pending": [ "hy_spread_widening", "bei_overheating", "vix_rising" ] }, "quadrant": { "quadrant": "reflation", "quadrantLabel": "리플레이션", "growth": "rising", "growthSignal": 657323.0, "inflation": "rising", "inflationSignal": 25.52, "assetImplication": { "equity": "overweight", "bond": "underweight", "commodity": "overweight", "gold": "neutral", "tips": "overweight", "cash": "underweight" }, "confidence": "high", "description": "성장 가속 + 물가 상승 — 원자재·EM 주식·TIPS 유리, 명목채 불리" }, "computedAt": "2026-07-15T23:03:03.484687+00:00" }