diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0001_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0001_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..eb968ab4e88d8ea205f7909392eb1cf4f6b638d2 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0001_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0001_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.698369560141735, + -25.252487974917358, + 32.74807758992244, + -25.207521894621422 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.72322357503209, + "lat": -25.23000493476939 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0001_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.698369560141735, + -25.252487974917358, + 32.74807758992244, + -25.207521894621422 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1645, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 11 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 28, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0041_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0041_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2807d3d848906a9f24dc1538c66be78068ed26fe --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0041_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0041_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.84148710621008, + -25.273739799369785, + 32.89120382871718, + -25.22877371907385 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.86634546746363, + "lat": -25.251256759221818 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0041_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.84148710621008, + -25.273739799369785, + 32.89120382871718, + -25.22877371907385 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.669, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0043_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0043_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c27c6e1dc2bbe47ddf8523876bc6616edfba69bc --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0043_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0043_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.85207535671869, + -25.25788475412987, + 32.90178559303174, + -25.212918673833933 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.876930474875216, + "lat": -25.2354017139819 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0043_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.85207535671869, + -25.25788475412987, + 32.90178559303174, + -25.212918673833933 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.4124, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 28 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 28.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.01 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.24, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0045_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0045_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9795940e711a372c24d60bd7c7a69e68f4a3b397 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0045_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0045_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.848644789145624, + -25.27113727365083, + 32.8983604465994, + -25.226171193354894 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.87350261787251, + "lat": -25.24865423350286 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0045_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.848644789145624, + -25.27113727365083, + 32.8983604465994, + -25.226171193354894 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6692, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 7, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0049_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0049_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ae94679b994c3d103b64d9274802c63c67930f4e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0049_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0049_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.844591487913405, + -25.283543400295475, + 32.894312223760835, + -25.23857731999954 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.86945185583712, + "lat": -25.261060360147507 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0049_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.844591487913405, + -25.283543400295475, + 32.894312223760835, + -25.23857731999954 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6637, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 28, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0051_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0051_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..a865cd91a355a048d64ed03b81bf05ed24e6a6bc --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0051_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0051_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.6087019657577, + -25.027587258736098, + 32.65831860719092, + -24.982621178440162 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.63351028647431, + "lat": -25.00510421858813 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 14, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 32 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0051_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.6087019657577, + -25.027587258736098, + 32.65831860719092, + -24.982621178440162 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.5817, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 13 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 7 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 7.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.25 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0053_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0053_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b3b3f5f75020027d7b3005703713ff21c8982781 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0053_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0053_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.96934309451493, + -25.074520713759405, + 33.0189787164662, + -25.02955463346347 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.99416090549057, + "lat": -25.052037673611437 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0053_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.96934309451493, + -25.074520713759405, + 33.0189787164662, + -25.02955463346347 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9311, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0055_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0055_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..829eb320c2ea6e87043c6047456b447f66dc8fc7 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0055_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0055_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.59132362651564, + -25.07605024897847, + 32.64095986783625, + -25.031084168682533 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.616141747175945, + "lat": -25.0535672088305 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0055_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.59132362651564, + -25.07605024897847, + 32.64095986783625, + -25.031084168682533 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.6786, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 324 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.07, urban signal 0.06, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 9, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0057_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0057_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5fdd465bd20002fa30bd2ad6e2bd6433a5608600 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0057_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0057_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.57744120096925, + -25.43946363554258, + 32.6272260498432, + -25.394497555246645 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.602333625406224, + "lat": -25.416980595394612 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0057_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.57744120096925, + -25.43946363554258, + 32.6272260498432, + -25.394497555246645 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.143, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 2.5538, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.2241 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.1, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.01, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 7, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0061_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0061_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1869eef43d43ac1a0566248877db4eda7ee97b10 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0061_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0061_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.974309694204216, + -25.06933162347472, + 33.02394321526615, + -25.024365543178785 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.99912645473518, + "lat": -25.046848583326753 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0061_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.974309694204216, + -25.06933162347472, + 33.02394321526615, + -25.024365543178785 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9325, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0063_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0063_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..70ca8d78b676b76d044f67a46b9ad63715e2fe1b --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0063_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0063_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.97081067123231, + -25.071008832211486, + 33.02044487127606, + -25.02604275191555 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.995627771254185, + "lat": -25.04852579206352 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0063_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.97081067123231, + -25.071008832211486, + 33.02044487127606, + -25.02604275191555 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9323, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0065_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0065_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d08fcfd93826d3970f8ff6f829eabf809dcb631d --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0065_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0065_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.73955857143233, + -25.444292243088533, + 32.789345414315285, + -25.399326162792597 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.76445199287381, + "lat": -25.421809202940565 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 14, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.49, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 32 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0065_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.73955857143233, + -25.444292243088533, + 32.789345414315285, + -25.399326162792597 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.49 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.1116, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3631 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 18 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 18.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.16 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.61, urban signal 0.73, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0072_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0072_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..376e50a05af728a05e107eca6b4ce11dc709c23f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0072_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0072_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.61620737920962, + -25.057758047186567, + 32.66583621662408, + -25.01279196689063 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.64102179791685, + "lat": -25.0352750070386 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 15, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 33 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0072_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.61620737920962, + -25.057758047186567, + 32.66583621662408, + -25.01279196689063 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6381, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 360 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 7 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 7.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.25 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.07, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0077_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0077_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ead5edc3df199c2945035684e6f46d8eda722b02 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0077_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0077_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.851096657763016, + -25.27881087963328, + 32.90081545597642, + -25.233844799337344 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.87595605686972, + "lat": -25.256327839485312 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0077_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.851096657763016, + -25.27881087963328, + 32.90081545597642, + -25.233844799337344 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6683, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 7, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0081_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0081_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..de2c344d7fab2dd7f24e16ca7a135cce42dcaae4 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0081_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0081_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.61308439512262, + -25.04366459980374, + 32.66270753306387, + -24.998698519507805 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.63789596409325, + "lat": -25.021181559655773 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 15, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 33 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0081_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.61308439512262, + -25.04366459980374, + 32.66270753306387, + -24.998698519507805 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6259, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 389 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 7 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 7.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.25 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0083_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0083_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d1dc44b530167b0992beffab044a6325529c7422 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0083_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0083_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.842291596497645, + -25.27245191562299, + 32.892007791934816, + -25.227485835327055 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.86714969421623, + "lat": -25.249968875475023 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0083_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.842291596497645, + -25.27245191562299, + 32.892007791934816, + -25.227485835327055 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6694, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0085_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0085_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9ec077b87b2b91b4d9f6fa6632c245da155ae555 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0085_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0085_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.615046302068514, + -25.037269230586585, + 32.664666855106766, + -24.99230315029065 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.63985657858764, + "lat": -25.014786190438617 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 15, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 33 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0085_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.615046302068514, + -25.037269230586585, + 32.664666855106766, + -24.99230315029065 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6258, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 366 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 7 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 7.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.25 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.07, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0087_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0087_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4f8ed1356fc62e2e04560be3a24e7063763d13c6 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0087_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0087_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.784769584024666, + -25.030079660146708, + 32.83438723221645, + -24.985113579850772 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80957840812056, + "lat": -25.00759661999874 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0087_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.784769584024666, + -25.030079660146708, + 32.83438723221645, + -24.985113579850772 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.4651, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.25, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0089_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0089_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b087b294b27437ab3daa0ac707659b122dabeb5f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0089_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0089_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.847561683925456, + -25.272301141132605, + 32.89727781766012, + -25.22733506083667 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.87241975079279, + "lat": -25.249818100984637 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0089_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.847561683925456, + -25.272301141132605, + 32.89727781766012, + -25.22733506083667 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6692, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0091_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0091_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..66298896d99751859890da5ff2081bbc56bf5c15 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0091_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0091_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.792540678423144, + -25.407740875104203, + 32.842312439908675, + -25.362774794808267 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.81742655916591, + "lat": -25.385257834956235 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0091_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.792540678423144, + -25.407740875104203, + 32.842312439908675, + -25.362774794808267 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.6319, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 2, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3254 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.56, urban signal 0.65, health-facility signal 0.02, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0093_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0093_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0e51b1fdd33c4736f84db7193794611247988b34 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0093_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0093_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.97411247482292, + -25.087015449116056, + 33.02375315787566, + -25.04204936882012 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.99893281634929, + "lat": -25.064532408968088 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0093_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.97411247482292, + -25.087015449116056, + 33.02375315787566, + -25.04204936882012 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9346, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 8 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0095_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0095_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d24b50884ade970efdb431d61dc20791d8afe835 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0095_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0095_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.84290698390984, + -25.267301264210005, + 32.89262107179165, + -25.22233518391407 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.86776402785075, + "lat": -25.244818224062037 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0095_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.84290698390984, + -25.267301264210005, + 32.89262107179165, + -25.22233518391407 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6475, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 28 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 28.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.01 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.26, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0097_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0097_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..13c85e5e1607fdbeb671e6b9ff8ab53487f165ea --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0097_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0097_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.94980644400355, + -25.15378825549774, + 32.999474231525035, + -25.108822175201805 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.97464033776429, + "lat": -25.131305215349773 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0097_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.94980644400355, + -25.15378825549774, + 32.999474231525035, + -25.108822175201805 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.4294, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 16, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 678 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.18.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.04, urban signal 0.14, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 7, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0099_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0099_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1393135fd3c1cf5e6e62482c243264cedc1cec49 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0099_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0099_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.69002026597752, + -25.019742684605433, + 32.73963373962225, + -24.974776604309497 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.714827002799886, + "lat": -24.997259644457465 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0099_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.69002026597752, + -25.019742684605433, + 32.73963373962225, + -24.974776604309497 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.604, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.1 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.06, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 28, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0103_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0103_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..466a07ec5283d48e3276425736f2acb166a8951b --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0103_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0103_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.85304746288927, + -25.26694645624212, + 32.90276140561131, + -25.221980375946185 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.87790443425029, + "lat": -25.244463416094153 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0103_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.85304746288927, + -25.26694645624212, + 32.90276140561131, + -25.221980375946185 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6424, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 28 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 28.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.01 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.26, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0105_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0105_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5349c93d02347d686bb3d87f56f48896257ccb5d --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0105_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0105_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.97455830881911, + -25.073155594553036, + 33.0241933780225, + -25.0281895142571 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.99937584342081, + "lat": -25.050672554405068 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0105_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.97455830881911, + -25.073155594553036, + 33.0241933780225, + -25.0281895142571 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9327, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0107_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0107_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7c5ab51684c37497189e4995639d332826e0a70c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0107_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0107_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.84334209841025, + -25.274001714976013, + 32.89305892811147, + -25.229035634680077 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.86820051326086, + "lat": -25.251518674828045 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0107_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.84334209841025, + -25.274001714976013, + 32.89305892811147, + -25.229035634680077 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6691, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0109_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0109_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b05ea63573ec00db008682485e9592124fa8d07f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0109_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0109_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.6001319865687, + -25.077866685499625, + 32.64976896350238, + -25.03290060520369 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.62495047503554, + "lat": -25.055383645351657 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0109_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.6001319865687, + -25.077866685499625, + 32.64976896350238, + -25.03290060520369 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9639, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 268 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.1, urban signal 0.05, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 7, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0111_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0111_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3b047968e368b5de56ba3279ffcf0bee7603b10a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0111_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0111_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.72977302416693, + -25.28244334072797, + 32.77949330957368, + -25.237477260432033 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.754633166870306, + "lat": -25.25996030058 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0111_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.72977302416693, + -25.28244334072797, + 32.77949330957368, + -25.237477260432033 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.2259, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 9, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0113_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0113_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5bbc79153d32c8a72863858ff02e46fecf5231e3 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0113_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0113_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.676370849097786, + -25.296671520772364, + 32.72609696255294, + -25.251705440476428 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.70123390582536, + "lat": -25.274188480624396 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0113_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.676370849097786, + -25.296671520772364, + 32.72609696255294, + -25.251705440476428 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.2036, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0115_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0115_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..95e9f1ec9b014091c7e37ebd4bec43aa90c4ead5 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0115_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0115_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.98141279921375, + -25.08135750032683, + 33.0310511900447, + -25.036391420030895 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.006231994629225, + "lat": -25.058874460178863 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0115_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.98141279921375, + -25.08135750032683, + 33.0310511900447, + -25.036391420030895 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9486, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0117_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0117_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b31a5af168d18bcefd6067b5c25073150b7efefc --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0117_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0117_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.791458528410686, + -25.408752465507007, + 32.84123070689135, + -25.36378638521107 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.81634461765102, + "lat": -25.38626942535904 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0117_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.791458528410686, + -25.408752465507007, + 32.84123070689135, + -25.36378638521107 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.818, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3374 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.58, urban signal 0.67, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0119_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0119_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..63d5d5e5e5e47c40e1ed6bac3c234b339c498a6f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0119_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0119_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.853249494944954, + -25.275369950017936, + 32.90296688464772, + -25.230403869722 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.878108189796336, + "lat": -25.252886909869968 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0119_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.853249494944954, + -25.275369950017936, + 32.90296688464772, + -25.230403869722 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6639, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0121_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0121_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..82d740fcd8edea0cbdea0b241d1724503751d39c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0121_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0121_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.98060990172653, + -25.065136014292335, + 33.03024172455412, + -25.0201699339964 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.00542581314033, + "lat": -25.042652974144367 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0121_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.98060990172653, + -25.065136014292335, + 33.03024172455412, + -25.0201699339964 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9466, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0123_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0123_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..03f7d7b9f1a146a9cc7146576113ef95826c77ad --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0123_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0123_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.97537127136491, + -25.071651254421322, + 33.02500573149564, + -25.026685174125387 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.00018850143027, + "lat": -25.049168214273354 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0123_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.97537127136491, + -25.071651254421322, + 33.02500573149564, + -25.026685174125387 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9326, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0125_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0125_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e9e828883976c9502201ed6abc62b3156b52abcb --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0125_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0125_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.858882550089234, + -25.277124473437656, + 32.9086006579565, + -25.23215839314172 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.883741604022866, + "lat": -25.254641433289688 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0125_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.858882550089234, + -25.277124473437656, + 32.9086006579565, + -25.23215839314172 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.5672, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 28 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 28.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.01 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.26, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0127_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0127_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d416e831b7ba3450e8c4e0df40795d36351e8192 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0127_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0127_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.625927396127565, + -25.03691135832768, + 32.67554780454597, + -24.991945278031743 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.65073760033677, + "lat": -25.01442831817971 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 15, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 33 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0127_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.625927396127565, + -25.03691135832768, + 32.67554780454597, + -24.991945278031743 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6446, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 77 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 7 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 7.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.25 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.02, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 28, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0129_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0129_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..a80f755481d0587a8978e7c0f562304f2707eb5c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0129_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0129_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.9936690070697, + -25.07687272286301, + 33.04330558146356, + -25.031906642567073 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.01848729426663, + "lat": -25.05438968271504 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0129_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.9936690070697, + -25.07687272286301, + 33.04330558146356, + -25.031906642567073 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.0098, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.1, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0133_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0133_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7d2d680a217ea0bb5c99cf1a886b4719133b4da9 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0133_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0133_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.803415393882815, + -25.400180115262412, + 32.853184039404354, + -25.355214034966476 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.828299716643585, + "lat": -25.377697075114444 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0133_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.803415393882815, + -25.400180115262412, + 32.853184039404354, + -25.355214034966476 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.6814, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1707 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.47, urban signal 0.34, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0135_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0135_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..a461229a6a80fa3c1c7951f93984c2753ec56bde --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0135_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0135_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.69882206568742, + -25.027335817946035, + 32.74843860556335, + -24.9823697376501 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.72363033562539, + "lat": -25.004852777798067 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0135_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.69882206568742, + -25.027335817946035, + 32.74843860556335, + -24.9823697376501 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.1076, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.1 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.11, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0136_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0136_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..54508d0dfd0a7636ed993a56ee11603a0a4bdd89 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0136_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0136_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.83848834648288, + -25.27093343397939, + 32.888203920523914, + -25.225967353683455 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.8633461335034, + "lat": -25.248450393831423 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0136_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.83848834648288, + -25.27093343397939, + 32.888203920523914, + -25.225967353683455 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6693, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0137_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0137_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..a3bf90a3c04e4783339dbbd416eecf0e1f84cfce --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0137_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0137_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.71582136303039, + -25.419681004746586, + 32.76559804787963, + -25.37471492445065 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.74070970545501, + "lat": -25.397197964598618 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0137_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.71582136303039, + -25.419681004746586, + 32.76559804787963, + -25.37471492445065 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.2108, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1300 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.32, urban signal 0.26, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5e11db38d2b38a91e682607d6769c32ff9cb84f7 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.780687702723114, + -25.410756210812927, + 32.83046070724883, + -25.36579013051699 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80557420498597, + "lat": -25.38827317066496 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.47, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.780687702723114, + -25.410756210812927, + 32.83046070724883, + -25.36579013051699 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.47 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.3392, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4033 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.63, urban signal 0.81, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0139_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0139_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2c388e3ec4bb53b269f9c5de26cf2f7a27545ed7 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0139_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0139_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.76493359515187, + -25.410040070884467, + 32.81470630443838, + -25.36507399058853 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.789819949795124, + "lat": -25.3875570307365 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0139_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.76493359515187, + -25.410040070884467, + 32.81470630443838, + -25.36507399058853 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.2479, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4086 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.62, urban signal 0.82, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0140_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0140_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b98891d207d1959d784b8087c0d8503d00e2ee7e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0140_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0140_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.75496417742502, + -25.37755211698639, + 32.80472350493223, + -25.332586036690454 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.779843841178625, + "lat": -25.355069076838422 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0140_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.75496417742502, + -25.37755211698639, + 32.80472350493223, + -25.332586036690454 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.5081, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 865 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.15, urban signal 0.17, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0141_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0141_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2a48a3d9c5288d5c055440b7f486e82699d018ef --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0141_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0141_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.76653006807263, + -25.440183718234096, + 32.81631521427746, + -25.39521763793816 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.791422641175046, + "lat": -25.417700678086128 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 14, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.52, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 32 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0141_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.76653006807263, + -25.440183718234096, + 32.81631521427746, + -25.39521763793816 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.52 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.7267, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4554 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 4 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 4.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.15 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.67, urban signal 0.91, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 4, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0142_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0142_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..df996fb80ed9089247411194f9316e2b5543e584 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0142_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0142_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.88663617834538, + -25.366263781089827, + 32.93639086161864, + -25.32129770079389 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.91151351998201, + "lat": -25.34378074094186 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0142_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.88663617834538, + -25.366263781089827, + 32.93639086161864, + -25.32129770079389 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.3758, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 234 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.04, urban signal 0.05, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0143_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0143_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..82f301d17271c73dad51ee6d2fc5e4ddabe6b2f9 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0143_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0143_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.78340436189761, + -25.409765364711454, + 32.833176957935464, + -25.36479928441552 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80829065991654, + "lat": -25.387282324563486 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.47, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0143_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.78340436189761, + -25.409765364711454, + 32.833176957935464, + -25.36479928441552 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.47 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.2123, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3793 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.62, urban signal 0.76, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0145_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0145_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8f51daaf0ef06015d42d806c12d56c8cff61d742 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0145_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0145_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.91631405271108, + -25.121469361102964, + 32.96596870920573, + -25.076503280807028 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.941141380958406, + "lat": -25.098986320954996 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0145_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.91631405271108, + -25.121469361102964, + 32.96596870920573, + -25.076503280807028 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.8738, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 3, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1947 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.06.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.39, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0146_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0146_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..a3968fcaf8d7e5d4ce5cc2734c963d39f6815509 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0146_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0146_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.711074503113636, + -25.442064695880916, + 32.76086042605081, + -25.39709861558498 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.735967464582224, + "lat": -25.419581655732948 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0146_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.711074503113636, + -25.442064695880916, + 32.76086042605081, + -25.39709861558498 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.0634, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1346 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 15 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 15.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.01 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.31, urban signal 0.27, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 15, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0147_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0147_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..956591089f0180d6c9f419026fbc40ece8848fd5 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0147_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0147_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.78359038596788, + -25.42040310072999, + 32.833367368664945, + -25.375437020434056 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80847887731641, + "lat": -25.397920060582024 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0147_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.78359038596788, + -25.42040310072999, + 32.833367368664945, + -25.375437020434056 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5422, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4076 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.82, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0149_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0149_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..94a2c095e974a8e7dfd8f4968ee45191fe7bf95f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0149_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0149_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.75983338734493, + -25.421234268837726, + 32.809610712893765, + -25.37626818854179 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.78472205011935, + "lat": -25.398751228689758 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0149_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.75983338734493, + -25.421234268837726, + 32.809610712893765, + -25.37626818854179 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5318, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4121 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.82, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0151_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0151_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..37aa0248dc878ac8022603b7be91a52781697a8b --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0151_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0151_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.90509644331192, + -25.389188843645126, + 32.95486056131743, + -25.34422276334919 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.929978502314675, + "lat": -25.366705803497158 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0151_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.90509644331192, + -25.389188843645126, + 32.95486056131743, + -25.34422276334919 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1596, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 840 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.17, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0153_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0153_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e17fa36e608ea7fdb54aece9dd6750fb79b26a38 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0153_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0153_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.724523911511156, + -25.209023878181018, + 32.77421419372719, + -25.164057797885082 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.74936905261917, + "lat": -25.18654083803305 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0153_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.724523911511156, + -25.209023878181018, + 32.77421419372719, + -25.164057797885082 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.2229, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..442460f1c16d9a99154640a604f4119e3f0314ed --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.90822319430094, + -25.37075005096815, + 32.95797972297503, + -25.325783970672216 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.933101458637985, + "lat": -25.348267010820184 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.90822319430094, + -25.37075005096815, + 32.95797972297503, + -25.325783970672216 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1834, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 796 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.16, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0156_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0156_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..dbcb846972a15cdf5139c598d835748677c21f11 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0156_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0156_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.74491489029325, + -25.43684146496384, + 32.79469865653764, + -25.391875384667905 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.769806773415446, + "lat": -25.414358424815873 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 14, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.49, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 32 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0156_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.74491489029325, + -25.43684146496384, + 32.79469865653764, + -25.391875384667905 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.49 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.2971, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3248 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 18 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 18.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.16 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.63, urban signal 0.65, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8a2440b1d84bb1fcb9343be32a35b3ef6e7a3146 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.91767515871342, + -25.12623130245551, + 32.967331748535656, + -25.081265222159573 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.94250345362454, + "lat": -25.10374826230754 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.91767515871342, + -25.12623130245551, + 32.967331748535656, + -25.081265222159573 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.8298, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 3, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2039 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.06.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.08, urban signal 0.41, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..dc4fc203cc85c87a481bd801122dfd527ffd3bd4 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.708507134851075, + -25.278474246419833, + 32.758225795255555, + -25.233508166123897 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.733366465053315, + "lat": -25.255991206271865 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.708507134851075, + -25.278474246419833, + 32.758225795255555, + -25.233508166123897 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1784, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7722f76d6aeb9da0da1912856329db7ae0376ca0 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.769620162017944, + -25.43138533021349, + 32.81940167604394, + -25.386419249917555 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.79451091903094, + "lat": -25.408902290065523 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.49, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.769620162017944, + -25.43138533021349, + 32.81940167604394, + -25.386419249917555 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.49 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.6489, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4826 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.66, urban signal 0.97, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0163_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0163_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ecb3b3e33febd382ab61f3567c9424c66ae9910a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0163_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0163_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.89410279130901, + -25.13338678265929, + 32.94376228715336, + -25.088420702363354 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.918932539231186, + "lat": -25.110903742511322 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0163_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.89410279130901, + -25.13338678265929, + 32.94376228715336, + -25.088420702363354 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.8702, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2667 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.53, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7302c3fe9899152834e7d39f7abfe6f4ba95e108 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.76748496701128, + -25.40415458678716, + 32.81725525034776, + -25.359188506491225 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.79237010867952, + "lat": -25.381671546639193 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.76748496701128, + -25.40415458678716, + 32.81725525034776, + -25.359188506491225 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.5255, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3584 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.55, urban signal 0.72, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0165_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0165_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f0c4c01974fb351f31199ff457bd0e525494dae9 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0165_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0165_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.59976926442291, + -25.08421162130218, + 32.6494088114655, + -25.039245541006245 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.624589037944205, + "lat": -25.061728581154213 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0165_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.59976926442291, + -25.08421162130218, + 32.6494088114655, + -25.039245541006245 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.6651, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.07, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0166_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0166_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..df3c7ee71088f3a528faf8d6fd5d838a8c1dea69 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0166_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0166_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.93001438519342, + -25.138262378445432, + 32.97967586177951, + -25.093296298149497 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.954845123486464, + "lat": -25.115779338297465 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0166_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.93001438519342, + -25.138262378445432, + 32.97967586177951, + -25.093296298149497 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.6105, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 3, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1590 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.06.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.06, urban signal 0.32, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e381aa3c3d8cb2373c698694c080596213d63231 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.694355514015804, + -25.03312262651981, + 32.743974391539176, + -24.988156546223873 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.71916495277749, + "lat": -25.01063958637184 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.694355514015804, + -25.03312262651981, + 32.743974391539176, + -24.988156546223873 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.194, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.1 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.12, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f5fc4e73b98951fecec38e7288d5a2796f53a057 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.768094377511886, + -25.403639434096966, + 32.81786444854275, + -25.35867335380103 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.79297941302732, + "lat": -25.381156393949 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.768094377511886, + -25.403639434096966, + 32.81786444854275, + -25.35867335380103 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.4621, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3569 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.55, urban signal 0.71, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..04b2e55b67028f056f0a6e32b10308a1d22d2aef --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.89938044217129, + -25.4319409783657, + 32.949162185531335, + -25.386974898069763 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.924271313851314, + "lat": -25.40945793821773 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.89938044217129, + -25.4319409783657, + 32.949162185531335, + -25.386974898069763 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1174, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 782 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.01, urban signal 0.16, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0173_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0173_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..72c39c389647c8cee847d0e6c937f5c3913ed062 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0173_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0173_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.91445873818204, + -24.997986282532366, + 32.964063433158294, + -24.95302020223643 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.93926108567017, + "lat": -24.9755032423844 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0173_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.91445873818204, + -24.997986282532366, + 32.964063433158294, + -24.95302020223643 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.4523, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.05, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0175_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0175_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f5c2425985c21c53ecc47d60219501f4e06372b5 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0175_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0175_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.861310452608066, + -25.330585906203037, + 32.911050475721765, + -25.2856198259071 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.886180464164916, + "lat": -25.30810286605507 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0175_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.861310452608066, + -25.330585906203037, + 32.911050475721765, + -25.2856198259071 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.6423, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.06, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0177_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0177_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4c5de3073cb76493a5c172777bebedb457dd88bb --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0177_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0177_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 33.00679172331112, + -25.40730850874231, + 33.05656330657458, + -25.362342428446375 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.03167751494285, + "lat": -25.384825468594343 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0177_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 33.00679172331112, + -25.40730850874231, + 33.05656330657458, + -25.362342428446375 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.106, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 181 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.01, urban signal 0.04, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0659c4134ce4d6b103c26a249d3b3e92315cb372 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77463723298455, + -25.388282872279056, + 32.82440097792148, + -25.34331679198312 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.799519105453015, + "lat": -25.36579983213109 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77463723298455, + -25.388282872279056, + 32.82440097792148, + -25.34331679198312 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.9714, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1610 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.1 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.4, urban signal 0.32, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0181_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0181_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0ed3a353d2cbf262ca7954ddcff1bb9623ac0404 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0181_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0181_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.95593492215465, + -25.213016546295073, + 33.005626832963635, + -25.168050465999137 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.98078087755914, + "lat": -25.190533506147105 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0181_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.95593492215465, + -25.213016546295073, + 33.005626832963635, + -25.168050465999137 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.3071, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 336 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.07, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0183_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0183_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c1371b990e265c666a4b810a32811ada9b4d73cf --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0183_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0183_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.71128484649856, + -25.07072776001653, + 32.760918932752034, + -25.025761679720596 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.736101889625296, + "lat": -25.048244719868563 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0183_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.71128484649856, + -25.07072776001653, + 32.760918932752034, + -25.025761679720596 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.7219, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 2, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0185_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0185_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..193098dae0b32d92b9758d84db0180c597f7f0ba --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0185_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0185_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.96612084098067, + -25.25929722886485, + 33.015831654904666, + -25.214331148568913 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.99097624794267, + "lat": -25.23681418871688 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0185_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.96612084098067, + -25.25929722886485, + 33.015831654904666, + -25.214331148568913 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.2902, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 768 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.15, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0187_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0187_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e821d0dc51aa774f49e8def68929b7146cf74dc0 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0187_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0187_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.90679954057929, + -25.429664998242064, + 32.956580344611446, + -25.384698917946128 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.93168994259537, + "lat": -25.407181958094096 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0187_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.90679954057929, + -25.429664998242064, + 32.956580344611446, + -25.384698917946128 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1002, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 658 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.01, urban signal 0.13, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0189_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0189_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8f358455f8ec2f37feeab80025068a097afe5d9d --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0189_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0189_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.763096349054585, + -25.445491292854086, + 32.81288368717352, + -25.40052521255815 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.78799001811405, + "lat": -25.42300825270612 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 14, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.51, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 32 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0189_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.763096349054585, + -25.445491292854086, + 32.81288368717352, + -25.40052521255815 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.51 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.7239, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4460 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 3 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 3.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.15 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.67, urban signal 0.89, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 3, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0190_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0190_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7e10ec1f18ed6ba774b1534635834c1bc56fe844 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0190_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0190_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.779250858163266, + -25.41809325200393, + 32.82902688814167, + -25.373127171707996 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80413887315247, + "lat": -25.395610211855963 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0190_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.779250858163266, + -25.41809325200393, + 32.82902688814167, + -25.373127171707996 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5411, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4493 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.9, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0191_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0191_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5eee065a6f7cdde98119e1c5ac51e8a802169c04 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0191_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0191_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.961056929457186, + -25.29202103806076, + 33.01078113752624, + -25.247054957764824 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.98591903349171, + "lat": -25.269537997912792 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0191_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.961056929457186, + -25.29202103806076, + 33.01078113752624, + -25.247054957764824 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.2935, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1174 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.23, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0193_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0193_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..fb02050bf45eccfac34677728edb6558861f203c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0193_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0193_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.76943031810081, + -25.1977162945563, + 32.819115989888225, + -25.152750214260365 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.79427315399452, + "lat": -25.175233254408333 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0193_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.76943031810081, + -25.1977162945563, + 32.819115989888225, + -25.152750214260365 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.6418, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 409 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.06, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0195_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0195_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5cc7604e3d55622d91928ec501e6e4b88b77c2e9 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0195_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0195_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.9116348363604, + -25.20816648702108, + 32.96132476889549, + -25.163200406725146 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.93647980262794, + "lat": -25.185683446873114 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0195_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.9116348363604, + -25.20816648702108, + 32.96132476889549, + -25.163200406725146 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.3117, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 447 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.09, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0197_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0197_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..00839a757c01bf3bb42b7e878489e0ab773fd3b1 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0197_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0197_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.938614684138024, + -25.15476417726061, + 32.98828286852615, + -25.109798096964674 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.963448776332086, + "lat": -25.132281137112642 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0197_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.938614684138024, + -25.15476417726061, + 32.98828286852615, + -25.109798096964674 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.4503, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 11, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 860 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.13.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.05, urban signal 0.17, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0199_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0199_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b59471aecef4d0bb6b8ed72b92273cc9614139ec --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0199_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0199_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.97175182871835, + -25.30274459046903, + 33.021480431132126, + -25.257778510173093 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.996616129925236, + "lat": -25.28026155032106 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0199_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.97175182871835, + -25.30274459046903, + 33.021480431132126, + -25.257778510173093 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1095, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1019 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.01, urban signal 0.2, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 4, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0201_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0201_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b9de744038f05c9ab5f7a90b8f683c668fd9df75 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0201_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0201_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.787644362735385, + -25.09262341408177, + 32.83728731844645, + -25.047657333785835 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.81246584059092, + "lat": -25.070140373933803 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0201_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.787644362735385, + -25.09262341408177, + 32.83728731844645, + -25.047657333785835 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.4803, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.35, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7064d1870c3e5ba74fa43737f684026a32f003e4 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.79930444457891, + -25.416781248893574, + 32.84907993346165, + -25.37181516859764 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.82419218902028, + "lat": -25.394298208745607 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.79930444457891, + -25.416781248893574, + 32.84907993346165, + -25.37181516859764 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.6196, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2781 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.56, urban signal 0.56, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0203_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0203_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..58032f4e0d114463e2c7c08a4db67f2ae1b6c676 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0203_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0203_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.89743111110386, + -25.389175451224673, + 32.9471952235944, + -25.344209370928738 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.92231316734913, + "lat": -25.366692411076706 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0203_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.89743111110386, + -25.389175451224673, + 32.9471952235944, + -25.344209370928738 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1751, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 701 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.14, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0205_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0205_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..84073724d9a720ba7e17b26a260bcdf5af77c449 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0205_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0205_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.966078852450146, + -25.300973121257325, + 33.01580672876977, + -25.25600704096139 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.99094279060996, + "lat": -25.278490081109357 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0205_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.966078852450146, + -25.300973121257325, + 33.01580672876977, + -25.25600704096139 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1236, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1067 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.01, urban signal 0.21, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0207_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0207_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2c1a8592c0230d1cfd4f1d44a4e87cbf70cd737a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0207_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0207_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.8747981829571, + -25.119726970903113, + 32.924452132172185, + -25.074760890607177 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.89962515756464, + "lat": -25.097243930755145 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0207_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.8747981829571, + -25.119726970903113, + 32.924452132172185, + -25.074760890607177 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.1521, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1342 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.12, urban signal 0.27, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0209_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0209_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ff744f879c644db72d2bbbe323e2776dc480023d --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0209_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0209_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.94731460007342, + -25.382215696742588, + 32.997075847082094, + -25.337249616446652 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.97219522357776, + "lat": -25.35973265659462 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0209_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.94731460007342, + -25.382215696742588, + 32.997075847082094, + -25.337249616446652 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.0959, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 376 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.01, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..dc881004d31e05c096b483095d84f3148e979021 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.75254793539405, + -25.439988331453016, + 32.802333000920186, + -25.39502225115708 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.77744046815712, + "lat": -25.417505291305048 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 14, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.51, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 32 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.75254793539405, + -25.439988331453016, + 32.802333000920186, + -25.39502225115708 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.51 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5966, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4116 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 19 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 19.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.16 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.66, urban signal 0.82, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 19, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0212_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0212_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..896de8d000fb3da4788de1f8f2f9fa990368aff8 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0212_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0212_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.89574500944175, + -25.114221969323875, + 32.945396724473746, + -25.06925588902794 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.920570866957746, + "lat": -25.091738929175907 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0212_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.89574500944175, + -25.114221969323875, + 32.945396724473746, + -25.06925588902794 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.2068, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2442 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.12, urban signal 0.49, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4d927d44a43b0e73344504ff6f7043f543b45476 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.913633481587354, + -25.18488479294642, + 32.9633139249804, + -25.139918712650484 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.938473703283876, + "lat": -25.162401752798452 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.913633481587354, + -25.18488479294642, + 32.9633139249804, + -25.139918712650484 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.3315, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 739 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.15, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0214_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0214_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c46fa42710445b72925f43585e6c4fb9ab16f78e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0214_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0214_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.911884725885436, + -25.202383484272286, + 32.96157230028275, + -25.15741740397635 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.93672851308409, + "lat": -25.179900444124318 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0214_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.911884725885436, + -25.202383484272286, + 32.96157230028275, + -25.15741740397635 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.316, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 549 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.11, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b6ddea5a70a3527c4fd6acd0b9601c683bfc7e41 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.918737497082354, + -25.130464311922672, + 32.96839580590251, + -25.085498231626737 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.94356665149243, + "lat": -25.107981271774705 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.918737497082354, + -25.130464311922672, + 32.96839580590251, + -25.085498231626737 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.7348, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 2, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2105 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.07, urban signal 0.42, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f72969defb46c13acd15291bbd29b6660b4ee496 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.93758176455978, + -25.36401025056936, + 32.9873355210232, + -25.319044170273425 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.96245864279149, + "lat": -25.341527210421393 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.93758176455978, + -25.36401025056936, + 32.9873355210232, + -25.319044170273425 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1307, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 755 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.01, urban signal 0.15, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0220_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0220_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..661afbf0d3fd6c1379c752ee311b80786bed31e8 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0220_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0220_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.59359816505297, + -25.420736817251356, + 32.64337528540423, + -25.37577073695542 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.6184867252286, + "lat": -25.39825377710339 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0220_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.59359816505297, + -25.420736817251356, + 32.64337528540423, + -25.37577073695542 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1558, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.6445, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 1.9953 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.03, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..218a08ad300679d405daa909b147adf79bb3b2d0 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77511505691191, + -25.190981141547557, + 32.824797983908844, + -25.14601506125162 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.799956520410376, + "lat": -25.16849810139959 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77511505691191, + -25.190981141547557, + 32.824797983908844, + -25.14601506125162 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.6877, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 409 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.07, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0223_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0223_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..dfe2d90d783abbde61ec8288cd7e2ecbd5ee2700 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0223_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0223_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.75817255265165, + -25.42501196211431, + 32.80795143666739, + -25.380045881818376 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.78306199465952, + "lat": -25.402528921966343 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0223_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.75817255265165, + -25.42501196211431, + 32.80795143666739, + -25.380045881818376 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5217, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4135 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.83, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0224_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0224_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..bc2aecae054dcdc58e310f2a3aeca4dfbe3d0903 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0224_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0224_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.90692657438587, + -25.122720876098036, + 32.95658173894238, + -25.0777547958021 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.93175415666413, + "lat": -25.100237835950068 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0224_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.90692657438587, + -25.122720876098036, + 32.95658173894238, + -25.0777547958021 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9274, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 2, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2293 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.06.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.46, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4489e53d42f200768727f9d16f8a33c858956d5a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.85824961348525, + -24.94764125874932, + 32.90783403364832, + -24.902675178453386 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.883041823566785, + "lat": -24.925158218601354 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.85824961348525, + -24.94764125874932, + 32.90783403364832, + -24.902675178453386 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.3169, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0226_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0226_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4d84f1622e1c25e3364c3308ef7e77788773ed33 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0226_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0226_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.7912558731961, + -25.198619202647283, + 32.840941913022725, + -25.153653122351347 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.81609889310941, + "lat": -25.176136162499315 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0226_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.7912558731961, + -25.198619202647283, + 32.840941913022725, + -25.153653122351347 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.6829, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 409 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.07, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0228_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0228_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..71c62ac260aadf5ab5cdc96807de2d57fd0c2e9b --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0228_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0228_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.67387946288629, + -25.38890549310217, + 32.72364346420936, + -25.343939412806233 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.698761463547825, + "lat": -25.3664224529542 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0228_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.67387946288629, + -25.38890549310217, + 32.72364346420936, + -25.343939412806233 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.4496, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 259 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.04, urban signal 0.05, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 15, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0230_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0230_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..44ccfcf7c04db505df67831bf6c75d3c0826c52a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0230_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0230_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.95590622885997, + -25.19173860698638, + 33.005589464498925, + -25.146772526690444 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.98074784667945, + "lat": -25.169255566838412 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0230_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.95590622885997, + -25.19173860698638, + 33.005589464498925, + -25.146772526690444 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.3619, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 5, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 419 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.04, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f15c8b0759d54714877b54835b296ac2c9d00307 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.70286652842652, + -25.36346127173712, + 32.752620059128226, + -25.318495191441183 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.72774329377737, + "lat": -25.34097823158915 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.70286652842652, + -25.36346127173712, + 32.752620059128226, + -25.318495191441183 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.4368, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 246 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.04, urban signal 0.05, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0232_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0232_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d74f31caa090b2b2a7387ce9952d0ffcdd49f6ab --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0232_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0232_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.965722213293695, + -25.33748926875096, + 33.01546507084344, + -25.292523188455025 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.99059364206857, + "lat": -25.315006228602993 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0232_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.965722213293695, + -25.33748926875096, + 33.01546507084344, + -25.292523188455025 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1056, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 414 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.01, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0234_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0234_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..57e19072caf1af0103e5f63c5cac4febf5c81291 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0234_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0234_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.592720369389404, + -25.060908688123668, + 32.6423504815314, + -25.015942607827732 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.6175354254604, + "lat": -25.0384256479757 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0234_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.592720369389404, + -25.060908688123668, + 32.6423504815314, + -25.015942607827732 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.4442, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 376 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.1 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.14, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0236_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0236_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..40761e39250a06e1c7669880f775b8f322b3c49a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0236_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0236_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77502459659616, + -25.396741043379244, + 32.824791825212465, + -25.351774963083308 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.79990821090431, + "lat": -25.374258003231276 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 10, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 28 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0236_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77502459659616, + -25.396741043379244, + 32.824791825212465, + -25.351774963083308 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.7449, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2617 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.1 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.47, urban signal 0.52, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..11b952708111a5fde1ea24142ae4038df9f2a131 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.93722585293833, + -25.239567187927832, + 32.98692860250102, + -25.194601107631897 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.962077227719675, + "lat": -25.217084147779865 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.93722585293833, + -25.239567187927832, + 32.98692860250102, + -25.194601107631897 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.3085, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 358 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.07, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0240_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0240_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..160cc102f5a4544977bf72392267951755e83d54 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0240_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0240_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.88272255646005, + -25.140036007359523, + 32.93238475372256, + -25.095069927063587 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.907553655091306, + "lat": -25.117552967211555 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0240_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.88272255646005, + -25.140036007359523, + 32.93238475372256, + -25.095069927063587 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.7838, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 2, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1118 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.08, urban signal 0.22, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0242_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0242_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..574b1eadd3ba8a4b2363ef972b123e4bdd7bc8af --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0242_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0242_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.693521295673115, + -25.435071555149246, + 32.74330433125095, + -25.39010547485331 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.71841281346203, + "lat": -25.41258851500128 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0242_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.693521295673115, + -25.435071555149246, + 32.74330433125095, + -25.39010547485331 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.2734, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1112 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.13, urban signal 0.22, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0244_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0244_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..244ffa0cd4f767168839714b4a9eea70e34fef38 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0244_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0244_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.905914399194934, + -25.11865832941645, + 32.95556791465453, + -25.073692249120516 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.93074115692473, + "lat": -25.096175289268484 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0244_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.905914399194934, + -25.11865832941645, + 32.95556791465453, + -25.073692249120516 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9841, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 2, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2256 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.06.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.1, urban signal 0.45, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0246_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0246_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f5da123ce42b2eef12ac62f7337751171cfad958 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0246_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0246_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.871621584830976, + -25.130126981659764, + 32.921279756649184, + -25.085160901363828 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.89645067074008, + "lat": -25.107643941511796 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0246_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.871621584830976, + -25.130126981659764, + 32.921279756649184, + -25.085160901363828 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.923, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1318 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.26, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0248_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0248_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f4fd32f2152fb5bf8e03115d97863906f6bdc22a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0248_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0248_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.901290403056514, + -25.11578892993592, + 32.95094275396614, + -25.070822849639985 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.926116578511326, + "lat": -25.093305889787953 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.4, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0248_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.901290403056514, + -25.11578892993592, + 32.95094275396614, + -25.070822849639985 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.4 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.1195, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2484 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.11, urban signal 0.5, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 4, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0250_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0250_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c05fbb3fb3c4b7c2b08c34dc413a8a017e5dbe31 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0250_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0250_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.89546448366842, + -25.111592082570482, + 32.94511513160404, + -25.066626002274546 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.92028980763623, + "lat": -25.089109042422514 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0250_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.89546448366842, + -25.111592082570482, + 32.94511513160404, + -25.066626002274546 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.2374, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2406 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.12, urban signal 0.48, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0251_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0251_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..fc7ed8205a366f2941ca1598fbd9236dd6bd63c4 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0251_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0251_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77652080638537, + -25.066922756635527, + 32.82615335237639, + -25.02195667633959 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80133707938088, + "lat": -25.04443971648756 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0251_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77652080638537, + -25.066922756635527, + 32.82615335237639, + -25.02195667633959 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.9548, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 15 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.5, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0253_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0253_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2cf73314c888f0d18adcc1e94b38f7f5d3e2094f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0253_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0253_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.72229744163092, + -25.310759082451202, + 32.772029329903454, + -25.265793002155267 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.74716338576719, + "lat": -25.288276042303234 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0253_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.72229744163092, + -25.310759082451202, + 32.772029329903454, + -25.265793002155267 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.2602, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0256_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0256_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d36fd6a897195bc678c6471439cbc5e80bdf85c4 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0256_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0256_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.62618864953037, + -25.05109083948613, + 32.675814790149325, + -25.006124759190193 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.65100171983985, + "lat": -25.02860779933816 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 12, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 30 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0256_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.62618864953037, + -25.05109083948613, + 32.675814790149325, + -25.006124759190193 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6471, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 76 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 6 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 6.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.2 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.02, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 6, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0257_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0257_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0e6a3d1acc2846a7cf2069845f3c39f45844aca1 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0257_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0257_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.91439448923921, + -25.375168410638466, + 32.96415283581165, + -25.33020233034253 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.93927366252543, + "lat": -25.352685370490498 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0257_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.91439448923921, + -25.375168410638466, + 32.96415283581165, + -25.33020233034253 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1666, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 885 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.18, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 6, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0259_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0259_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8f498ca66456fabc75749b6df44beddf4cddf446 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0259_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0259_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.78262368454822, + -25.426075544346464, + 32.83240300739569, + -25.381109464050528 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.807513345971955, + "lat": -25.403592504198496 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0259_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.78262368454822, + -25.426075544346464, + 32.83240300739569, + -25.381109464050528 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5431, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4037 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.81, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0260_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0260_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d0323f17ab53a0c937e2d011189666edcee998d1 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0260_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0260_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.82346786238296, + -25.20580249963467, + 32.873156830865575, + -25.160836419338736 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.84831234662427, + "lat": -25.183319459486704 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0260_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.82346786238296, + -25.20580249963467, + 32.873156830865575, + -25.160836419338736 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.6499, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.06, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 6, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0262_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0262_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f7034a4b85085e3a91006b5b87f075acaddf1d25 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0262_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0262_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.85051626791966, + -25.290437239589156, + 32.9002398271862, + -25.24547115929322 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.87537804755293, + "lat": -25.26795419944119 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0262_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.85051626791966, + -25.290437239589156, + 32.9002398271862, + -25.24547115929322 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.5794, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.26, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0263_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0263_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..fee1d5f589f6e62df89f84dcf4fd1c06b84de568 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0263_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0263_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77913044949545, + -25.42417184865482, + 32.82890898689977, + -25.379205768358883 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80401971819761, + "lat": -25.40168880850685 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0263_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77913044949545, + -25.42417184865482, + 32.82890898689977, + -25.379205768358883 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5433, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4441 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.89, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0265_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0265_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2bc2bf1ec99e0e0913c87a8eb43971b424c6fa58 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0265_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0265_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.61909026075211, + -25.052273928460206, + 32.66871687984415, + -25.00730784816427 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.64390357029813, + "lat": -25.029790888312238 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 12, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 30 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0265_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.61909026075211, + -25.052273928460206, + 32.66871687984415, + -25.00730784816427 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6459, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 261 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 6 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 6.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.2 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.05, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 6, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0266_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0266_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1964acb4eedca2637cec8a55c3ba55c368dbc552 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0266_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0266_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.812652975472545, + -25.3421887088446, + 32.86239776315276, + -25.297222628548663 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.83752536931265, + "lat": -25.31970566869663 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0266_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.812652975472545, + -25.3421887088446, + 32.86239776315276, + -25.297222628548663 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.7399, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 124 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.07, urban signal 0.02, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0269_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0269_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9522588a0e7281279f34aabfe7b8f673e1b63cc1 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0269_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0269_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.78546964697929, + -25.43123203921773, + 32.8352510977383, + -25.386265958921793 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.810360372358794, + "lat": -25.40874899906976 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.47, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0269_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.78546964697929, + -25.43123203921773, + 32.8352510977383, + -25.386265958921793 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.47 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5228, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3538 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.71, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0271_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0271_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..811ef21b17f5d678a0df085cf09e37d93654ceb1 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0271_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0271_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.62100591980339, + -25.04925073098759, + 32.67063131629322, + -25.004284650691655 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.6458186180483, + "lat": -25.026767690839623 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 12, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 30 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0271_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.62100591980339, + -25.04925073098759, + 32.67063131629322, + -25.004284650691655 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6476, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 199 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 6 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 6.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.2 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.04, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 6, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0272_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0272_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1946b8d9302fc70c1c91ce1050c1cc616257619e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0272_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0272_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.780611496728774, + -25.32113562587769, + 32.830347641367574, + -25.276169545581755 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.805479569048174, + "lat": -25.298652585729723 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0272_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.780611496728774, + -25.32113562587769, + 32.830347641367574, + -25.276169545581755 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.6327, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.06, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0274_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0274_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..51adc1785719fd247fa09bd7d5d3a6719e2a474c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0274_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0274_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.71938295670393, + -25.314301261964047, + 32.76911629768188, + -25.26933518166811 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.74424962719291, + "lat": -25.29181822181608 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0274_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.71938295670393, + -25.314301261964047, + 32.76911629768188, + -25.26933518166811 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.2709, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0275_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0275_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..50b43ada89645daf2fd62247be80c0f357e058f4 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0275_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0275_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77146589511938, + -25.18048609415468, + 32.82114454702106, + -25.135520013858745 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.79630522107022, + "lat": -25.158003054006713 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0275_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77146589511938, + -25.18048609415468, + 32.82114454702106, + -25.135520013858745 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.725, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 409 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.07, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0277_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0277_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7c783709e7b9d0a0e36f44497cc2e7ad623d6e1d --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0277_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0277_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77928028477584, + -25.414354158644656, + 32.829054772779045, + -25.36938807834872 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80416752877744, + "lat": -25.391871118496688 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0277_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77928028477584, + -25.414354158644656, + 32.829054772779045, + -25.36938807834872 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5379, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4425 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.89, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0278_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0278_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5f438803e61829173cca0e135e2980594a8b0e1d --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0278_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0278_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.7748109229624, + -25.181320007234998, + 32.82448991446576, + -25.136353926939062 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.79965041871408, + "lat": -25.15883696708703 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0278_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.7748109229624, + -25.181320007234998, + 32.82448991446576, + -25.136353926939062 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.7219, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 409 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.07, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 6, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0280_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0280_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..264d1e9d713e275b421aab9bf3edc1995a5c0f56 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0280_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0280_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.90675451348545, + -25.37489280286263, + 32.95651274664877, + -25.329926722566693 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.93163363006711, + "lat": -25.35240976271466 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0280_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.90675451348545, + -25.37489280286263, + 32.95651274664877, + -25.329926722566693 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1788, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 799 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.16, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0281_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0281_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d8a81f65a4918fe0308adda1db87743c6aedfa97 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0281_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0281_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.8778235563389, + -25.106225589814, + 32.92747202724642, + -25.061259509518063 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.90264779179266, + "lat": -25.08374254966603 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0281_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.8778235563389, + -25.106225589814, + 32.92747202724642, + -25.061259509518063 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.2786, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1335 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.06.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.13, urban signal 0.27, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0283_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0283_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..bde2db496bfb3d057bd31b08110209aacb167127 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0283_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0283_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.90761521160332, + -25.381446059314737, + 32.95737614180093, + -25.3364799790188 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.932495676702125, + "lat": -25.35896301916677 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0283_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.90761521160332, + -25.381446059314737, + 32.95737614180093, + -25.3364799790188 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1671, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 765 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.15, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0284_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0284_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..df9c31ea0d8f6e6a0f46dffda6d621aba961e4ba --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0284_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0284_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77407112927835, + -25.426061926083534, + 32.82385044650679, + -25.3810958457876 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.79896078789257, + "lat": -25.403578885935566 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.49, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0284_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77407112927835, + -25.426061926083534, + 32.82385044650679, + -25.3810958457876 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.49 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5445, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4744 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.95, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0286_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0286_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..be4a9ddf7c20163b6ca3414395bfeee090a2428b --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0286_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0286_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.6245779889136, + -25.05450909499461, + 32.67420551205021, + -25.009543014698675 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.649391750481904, + "lat": -25.032026054846643 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 12, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 30 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0286_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.6245779889136, + -25.05450909499461, + 32.67420551205021, + -25.009543014698675 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6465, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 120 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 6 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 6.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.2 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.02, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 6, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0287_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0287_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..08fe47e18f43bb1058095895146180ed2573356e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0287_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0287_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.61665587015835, + -25.06446801338634, + 32.66628742263806, + -25.019501933090403 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.6414716463982, + "lat": -25.04198497323837 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 12, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 30 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0287_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.61665587015835, + -25.06446801338634, + 32.66628742263806, + -25.019501933090403 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6009, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 342 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 6 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 6.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.2 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.07, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0289_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0289_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e62e7f51a9ae98b2a53e08cff7b409f515686943 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0289_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0289_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.57059872533687, + -25.03291534674, + 32.62021751911467, + -24.987949266444065 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.59540812222577, + "lat": -25.010432306592033 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0289_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.57059872533687, + -25.03291534674, + 32.62021751911467, + -24.987949266444065 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.5337, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 68 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.05, urban signal 0.01, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0290_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0290_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..685f0fb683245d10554f6818755feb9ac7fcfe03 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0290_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0290_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.63937093862384, + -25.25674089459018, + 32.689080707204184, + -25.211774814294245 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.66422582291401, + "lat": -25.234257854442212 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0290_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.63937093862384, + -25.25674089459018, + 32.689080707204184, + -25.211774814294245 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1765, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 9 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0292_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0292_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..6b2a14c121d56fe08ed80edca61037bc2fcdf8c8 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0292_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0292_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77758874951174, + -25.434982255881746, + 32.82737174822625, + -25.39001617558581 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.802480248868996, + "lat": -25.412499215733778 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 14, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.51, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 32 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0292_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77758874951174, + -25.434982255881746, + 32.82737174822625, + -25.39001617558581 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.51 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.6347, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4198 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 4 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 4.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.15 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.66, urban signal 0.84, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 4, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0293_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0293_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..a46cfcd1d977d82cb7c40db908d900b4ff6d3bc5 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0293_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0293_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77894339385148, + -25.424579005307503, + 32.8287220992373, + -25.379612925011568 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80383274654439, + "lat": -25.402095965159535 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0293_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77894339385148, + -25.424579005307503, + 32.8287220992373, + -25.379612925011568 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5434, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4452 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.89, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0295_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0295_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d00e781e9938770ada04699a5e5107af23b9c33f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0295_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0295_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.806034351156185, + -25.330482606024677, + 32.855774331864026, + -25.28551652572874 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.830904341510106, + "lat": -25.30799956587671 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0295_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.806034351156185, + -25.330482606024677, + 32.855774331864026, + -25.28551652572874 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.8005, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 124 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.08, urban signal 0.02, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0296_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0296_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9d66103c6afc4fcc6c9303e5f73df40f254d7f3f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0296_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0296_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.777360151882824, + -25.430675438683732, + 32.827141372923386, + -25.385709358387796 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.802250762403105, + "lat": -25.408192398535764 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0296_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.777360151882824, + -25.430675438683732, + 32.827141372923386, + -25.385709358387796 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.606, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4454 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.66, urban signal 0.89, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0298_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0298_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..17930c9453444cbbb7ee69ff293a1f8c655009c3 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0298_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0298_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.78379311338154, + -25.427335570002903, + 32.83357295614508, + -25.382369489706967 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.80868303476331, + "lat": -25.404852529854935 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0298_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.78379311338154, + -25.427335570002903, + 32.83357295614508, + -25.382369489706967 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.543, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3914 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.78, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0304_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0304_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..68c66696c8b654b91cfc4edf36364b7a7c642749 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0304_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0304_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.797334510950876, + -25.333345432627308, + 32.847075666966916, + -25.288379352331372 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.822205088958896, + "lat": -25.31086239247934 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0304_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.797334510950876, + -25.333345432627308, + 32.847075666966916, + -25.288379352331372 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.7512, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 126 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.08, urban signal 0.03, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0305_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0305_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3ecfb481769d7897c41b31e227109e91b8c04606 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0305_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0305_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.71660513742824, + -25.31014070130398, + 32.7663367721208, + -25.265174621008043 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.74147095477452, + "lat": -25.28765766115601 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0305_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.71660513742824, + -25.31014070130398, + 32.7663367721208, + -25.265174621008043 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.2579, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0307_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0307_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9bd09043747caeaf1f9aa745f6d54f206f2195fc --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0307_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0307_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.78317288000399, + -25.4187826095486, + 32.83294919430206, + -25.373816529252665 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.808061037153024, + "lat": -25.396299569400632 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0307_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.78317288000399, + -25.4187826095486, + 32.83294919430206, + -25.373816529252665 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.5415, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4162 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.65, urban signal 0.83, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 6, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0313_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0313_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8737b68bef3c5dcdade594bf7d2c14214ec219ce --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0313_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0313_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.70059245253428, + -25.19858216744715, + 32.75027847726443, + -25.153616087151214 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.725435464899356, + "lat": -25.17609912729918 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0313_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.70059245253428, + -25.19858216744715, + 32.75027847726443, + -25.153616087151214 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.1914, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0316_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0316_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4a6faa1d7c1b8a783616311a0f4ddf44fc1276d7 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0316_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0316_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.83627183470318, + -25.279369951073118, + 32.88599086179144, + -25.234403870777182 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.86113134824731, + "lat": -25.25688691092515 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0316_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.83627183470318, + -25.279369951073118, + 32.88599086179144, + -25.234403870777182 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6681, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0317_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0317_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d6adebb7286ed3f010cd334436b6a4378ff90a6e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0317_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0317_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.909658099815864, + -25.218638288101868, + 32.95935230430039, + -25.173672207805932 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.934505202058126, + "lat": -25.1961552479539 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0317_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.909658099815864, + -25.218638288101868, + 32.95935230430039, + -25.173672207805932 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.3061, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 343 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.03, urban signal 0.07, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0328_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0328_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..a3e9022e7834fcdd692b1ea33190355b6b56c014 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0328_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0328_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.94319237272275, + -25.079622389938727, + 32.992830060742605, + -25.03465630964279 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.96801121673268, + "lat": -25.05713934979076 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0328_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.94319237272275, + -25.079622389938727, + 32.992830060742605, + -25.03465630964279 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.751, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.08, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0329_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0329_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ddd68043702b4156165a27642d0283b9209f9706 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0329_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0329_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.86614782520167, + -25.2911900094967, + 32.9158716928333, + -25.246223929200763 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.891009759017486, + "lat": -25.26870696934873 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.36, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0329_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.86614782520167, + -25.2911900094967, + 32.9158716928333, + -25.246223929200763 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.36 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.2786, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 28 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 28.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.01 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.23, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0331_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0331_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..952ab49a18e756445caa0416fef34b339174e0d2 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0331_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0331_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.72473027555747, + -25.20085227199417, + 32.774417225693846, + -25.155886191698233 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.74957375062566, + "lat": -25.1783692318462 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0331_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.72473027555747, + -25.20085227199417, + 32.774417225693846, + -25.155886191698233 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.2332, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.02, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0337_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0337_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..6b1c53eaa17949b4a82555394d830505972f8791 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0337_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0337_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.609314305226356, + -25.035737324514827, + 32.65893423922514, + -24.99077124421889 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.63412427222575, + "lat": -25.01325428436686 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 14, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 32 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0337_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.609314305226356, + -25.035737324514827, + 32.65893423922514, + -24.99077124421889 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.6116, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 310 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 7 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 7.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.25 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.16, urban signal 0.06, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0367_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0367_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..535ee792907ce4b70f9dfcaf04ae51a34c02ab2a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0367_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0367_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.82487360329508, + -25.427761265080015, + 32.874653621718274, + -25.38279518478408 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.84976361250668, + "lat": -25.405278224932047 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0367_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.82487360329508, + -25.427761265080015, + 32.874653621718274, + -25.38279518478408 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.3218, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 3, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.13, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0373_uncertain_sparse_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0373_uncertain_sparse_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..cbc0bd41cc30330bfd39c9a1ebd3459588d21647 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0373_uncertain_sparse_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0373_uncertain_sparse_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.71775482820821, + -25.41770163178495, + 32.76753069667084, + -25.372735551489015 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.74264276243952, + "lat": -25.395218591636983 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0373_uncertain_sparse_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.71775482820821, + -25.41770163178495, + 32.76753069667084, + -25.372735551489015 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.3251, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1276 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.33, urban signal 0.26, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0375_uncertain_sparse_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0375_uncertain_sparse_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7e41f94d90d9d4c6698386c849af9f89f7a377c4 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0375_uncertain_sparse_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0375_uncertain_sparse_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.77803545508058, + -25.43132663980561, + 32.827816944883516, + -25.386360559509676 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.802926199982046, + "lat": -25.408843599657644 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0375_uncertain_sparse_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.77803545508058, + -25.43132663980561, + 32.827816944883516, + -25.386360559509676 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.61, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4369 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.05 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.66, urban signal 0.87, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0377_uncertain_sparse_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0377_uncertain_sparse_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..de58706a9d2695672167a33f2eeaf0dc30f90d39 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0377_uncertain_sparse_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0377_uncertain_sparse_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.75641602342216, + -25.432778472432428, + 32.80619811245606, + -25.387812392136492 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.78130706793911, + "lat": -25.41029543228446 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0377_uncertain_sparse_context_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.75641602342216, + -25.432778472432428, + 32.80619811245606, + -25.387812392136492 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.6577, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 2, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4195 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 16 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 16.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.01 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.67, urban signal 0.84, health-facility signal 0.02, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0401_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0401_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4a4aec20b6d681f38da156bc8c3cdfb5008a3b84 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0401_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0401_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.97790562053527, + -25.08363148930802, + 33.02754493255058, + -25.038665409012083 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.002725276542925, + "lat": -25.06114844916005 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0401_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.97790562053527, + -25.08363148930802, + 33.02754493255058, + -25.038665409012083 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.9393, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 9 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 9.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.09, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; 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label count 15, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0404_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0404_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1b660dd81922298aa5c56b4ecbfda7114faa0db8 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/manhica_malaria/manhica_malaria_s0404_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "manhica_malaria_s0404_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "mosquito_anopheles_malaria", + "disease_targets": [ + "malaria", + "Anopheles mosquito habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "manhica_malaria", + "admin0": "Mozambique", + "name": "Manhica District, Mozambique", + "bbox": [ + 32.84320610083661, + -25.27435647739904, + 32.892923075733734, + -25.229390397103103 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 32.86806458828517, + "lat": -25.25187343725107 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "manhica_malaria_s0404_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "anopheles_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 32.84320610083661, + -25.27435647739904, + 32.892923075733734, + -25.229390397103103 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "MAP/GBIF labels", + "waterway context", + "rainfall", + "settlement/exposure context" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.6692, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": true, + "source": "Malaria Atlas Project + GBIF", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 29 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: MAP malaria survey and GBIF Anopheles occurrence count is 29.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.06 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.27, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "vector_trap_priority", + "description": "Prioritize malaria habitat or vector-survey follow-up only after local health-team review; label count 29, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0001_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0001_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..44143e4e0bf395a388d8c8923e6b935248d99e5c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0001_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0001_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.27213415803424, + -0.5113438509785854, + 34.3171018751218, + -0.46637777068264885 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.29461801657802, + "lat": -0.4888608108306171 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 15, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.54, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 33 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0001_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.27213415803424, + -0.5113438509785854, + 34.3171018751218, + -0.46637777068264885 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.54 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 10.0019, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 4, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 8, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3749 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.3009, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 2.7538 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 18 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 18.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.16 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.05, and OSM water-context signal 0.08.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.75, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0006_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0006_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b687a9358c4a4e3ef999f06a955344edd3ca7c27 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0006_label_positive_jitter_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0006_label_positive_jitter", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.17991186673793, + -0.43526779982456315, + 34.224879114022094, + -0.39030171952862663 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.20239549038001, + "lat": -0.4127847596765949 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0006_label_positive_jitter_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.17991186673793, + -0.43526779982456315, + 34.224879114022094, + -0.39030171952862663 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 33.5782, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6630 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.226, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.8649 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.17, and OSM water-context signal 0.12.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..95341436dba08cac2f2f1162f35fd0513ac4fe52 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.36005359147897, + -0.5091634751764839, + 34.40502129399809, + -0.46419739488054734 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.38253744273853, + "lat": -0.4866804350285156 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0138_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.36005359147897, + -0.5091634751764839, + 34.40502129399809, + -0.46419739488054734 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.7822, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3418 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 2.9222, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.7712 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.12, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.48, urban signal 0.68, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0144_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0144_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ae23e553d4423c013e8e56f15764dd056c600919 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0144_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0144_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.235582281324604, + -0.6349598109437877, + 34.280550930890236, + -0.5899937306478511 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.25806660610742, + "lat": -0.6124767707958194 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0144_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.235582281324604, + -0.6349598109437877, + 34.280550930890236, + -0.5899937306478511 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.2176, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1471 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 6.3319, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 6.8759 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.25, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.32, urban signal 0.29, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f3bc5bc4936a3115dd83a1bfc082855ee4f65383 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.10333420928343, + -0.45738911095013357, + 34.14830158500098, + -0.41242303065419705 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.125817897142205, + "lat": -0.4349060708021653 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 5, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 23 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0155_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.10333420928343, + -0.45738911095013357, + 34.14830158500098, + -0.41242303065419705 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 7.9533, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2792 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.8113, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.0471 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.19, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.8, urban signal 0.56, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..88865379a5ec51a1e1db683c8797371c398b45f2 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.32707688752185, + -0.5404870293313326, + 34.37204480558615, + -0.49552094903539606 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.349560846554, + "lat": -0.5180039891833643 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0157_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.32707688752185, + -0.5404870293313326, + 34.37204480558615, + -0.49552094903539606 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.2901, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4117 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.2931, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 2.4116 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.05, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.63, urban signal 0.82, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..03d06aa921ad0250d39969b2841665b601f9e595 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.38986860052438, + -0.5490146085909756, + 34.43483657959696, + -0.504048528295039 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.41235259006067, + "lat": -0.5265315684430073 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0159_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.38986860052438, + -0.5490146085909756, + 34.43483657959696, + -0.504048528295039 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.0207, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2795 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.3888, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.647 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.06, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.4, urban signal 0.56, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b7742e7d48bd2f518288b12875b685ac586d7b01 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.196984066054014, + -0.6066360649055957, + 34.24195248347441, + -0.5616699846096591 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.21946827476421, + "lat": -0.5841530247576274 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0161_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.196984066054014, + -0.6066360649055957, + 34.24195248347441, + -0.5616699846096591 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.1961, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1527 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 6.186, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 6.6538 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.25, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.32, urban signal 0.31, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3f245ace0f8f2620676bbde47759a36143338a93 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.00438598242847, + -0.5219202775697223, + 34.04935377110787, + -0.4769541972737857 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.02686987676817, + "lat": -0.49943723742175394 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0164_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.00438598242847, + -0.5219202775697223, + 34.04935377110787, + -0.4769541972737857 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.5847, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1434 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.6343, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.898 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.19, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.26, urban signal 0.29, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b287cbdb1f2f9269feb7b4cf224cd2f77710e6d7 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.37337527710993, + -0.6322328607677461, + 34.41834390384693, + -0.5872667804718095 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.39585959047843, + "lat": -0.6097498206197778 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0167_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.37337527710993, + -0.6322328607677461, + 34.41834390384693, + -0.5872667804718095 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.6321, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 4, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3361 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.1736, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 9.4402 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.37, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.56, urban signal 0.67, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ed32184be4f20068fc8763686f3f5df94781cbf7 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.31551603308153, + -0.5305758948970843, + 34.36048388149111, + -0.48560981460114777 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.33799995728632, + "lat": -0.508092854749116 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0169_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.31551603308153, + -0.5305758948970843, + 34.36048388149111, + -0.48560981460114777 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.0444, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3816 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.6083, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.1722 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.06, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.6, urban signal 0.76, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 5, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2c6227f086fb464bcffbe839b1259c366807311f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.17893659379153, + -0.5643861636174103, + 34.22390468535234, + -0.5194200833214737 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.201420639571936, + "lat": -0.541903123469442 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0171_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.17893659379153, + -0.5643861636174103, + 34.22390468535234, + -0.5194200833214737 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.2953, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 4, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3360 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.9557, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.3432 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.16, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.63, urban signal 0.67, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c51eed07d27f6af77e927a10b56c9bf3994ab4dd --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.29002516723548, + -0.538184740519525, + 34.33499306899946, + -0.49321866022358846 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.31250911811747, + "lat": -0.5157017003715567 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.5, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0179_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.29002516723548, + -0.538184740519525, + 34.33499306899946, + -0.49321866022358846 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.5 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 9.5752, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 3, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4430 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.9252, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 1.9237 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.04, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.96, urban signal 0.89, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0188_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0188_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4051af2e89cf7f7a33af2ef3821f43e56d5590e0 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0188_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0188_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.20019812748797, + -0.38955419390223894, + 34.24516513060542, + -0.3445881136063024 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.2226816290467, + "lat": -0.3670711537542707 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.41, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0188_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.20019812748797, + -0.38955419390223894, + 34.24516513060542, + -0.3445881136063024 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.41 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.8929, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1366 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.2573, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.616 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.13, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.59, urban signal 0.27, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0192_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0192_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f8dac20ee864cefbedc889cde3fbbc270c105861 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0192_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0192_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.40049846402898, + -0.6557186558373855, + 34.44546729071701, + -0.6107525755414489 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.422982877372995, + "lat": -0.6332356156894172 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0192_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.40049846402898, + -0.6557186558373855, + 34.44546729071701, + -0.6107525755414489 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.3029, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3243 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.9304, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.4368 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.4, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.53, urban signal 0.65, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0196_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0196_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..87dcbaff9cfbfefc199351458ece4a0e58efd416 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0196_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0196_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.349443917184736, + -0.5130463317918496, + 34.394411645692905, + -0.468080251495913 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.37192778143882, + "lat": -0.49056329164388124 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0196_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.349443917184736, + -0.5130463317918496, + 34.394411645692905, + -0.468080251495913 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.7745, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3150 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.0415, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.7581 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.12, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.48, urban signal 0.63, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0198_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0198_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ecaa7306ff13bad6e15a2ad9ac70b93f9d1c4add --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0198_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0198_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.15182513176974, + -0.4401959872761476, + 34.19679240708592, + -0.3952299069802111 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.17430876942783, + "lat": -0.41771294712817936 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.51, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0198_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.15182513176974, + -0.4401959872761476, + 34.19679240708592, + -0.3952299069802111 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.51 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 13.7824, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 4, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4796 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.0751, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.019 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.02 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.16, and OSM water-context signal 0.09.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.96, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..00788f4183790927dbe2e40f6f9b1fb41b23095c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.16573096305516, + -0.56587831820601, + 34.21069906570785, + -0.5209122379100734 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.188215014381505, + "lat": -0.5433952780580417 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.5, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0202_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.16573096305516, + -0.56587831820601, + 34.21069906570785, + -0.5209122379100734 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.5 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 15.1445, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 4, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6087 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.8586, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.8387 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.19, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0206_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0206_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..6a2c484cd9fd4cea871735e98252531833d9558f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0206_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0206_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.36171903790008, + -0.5742340809828138, + 34.406687203228735, + -0.5292680006868772 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.38420312056441, + "lat": -0.5517510408348455 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0206_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.36171903790008, + -0.5742340809828138, + 34.406687203228735, + -0.5292680006868772 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.0655, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2727 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 5.0245, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 8.3947 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.2, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.41, urban signal 0.55, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ffdf2e7bfbb7bd29a08c8064f72ced5c36abac25 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.31201882946536, + -0.6294268680911227, + 34.356987432818386, + -0.5844607877951861 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.33450313114187, + "lat": -0.6069438279431544 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.4, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0211_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.31201882946536, + -0.6294268680911227, + 34.356987432818386, + -0.5844607877951861 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.4 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.4414, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1824 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 7.0536, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 7.9533 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.28, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.34, urban signal 0.36, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..145de5405294fead26136ab7000206101378b6df --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.2019624682219, + -0.4133049793614994, + 34.246929594624724, + -0.3683388990655629 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.22444603142331, + "lat": -0.39082193921353114 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0213_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.2019624682219, + -0.4133049793614994, + 34.246929594624724, + -0.3683388990655629 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 14.1374, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 3, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2498 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.2608, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.6809 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.17, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.5, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..083533edbec9dfb42043e5e53a1d67d83e5f2c45 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.223497819663784, + -0.49398635691433535, + 34.268465422579716, + -0.44902027661839883 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.24598162112175, + "lat": -0.4715033167663671 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.4, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0216_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.223497819663784, + -0.49398635691433535, + 34.268465422579716, + -0.44902027661839883 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.4 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.6825, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2091 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 2.9431, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.5798 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.12, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.37, urban signal 0.42, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f3299c843a36118607c4ed647faa1b010f895949 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.10685776046885, + -0.4492901607312038, + 34.15182508838708, + -0.4043240804352673 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.12934142442796, + "lat": -0.42680712058323556 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 5, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.47, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 23 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0218_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.10685776046885, + -0.4492901607312038, + 34.15182508838708, + -0.4043240804352673 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.47 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 8.5989, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3382 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.4999, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.0158 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.18, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.86, urban signal 0.68, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 20, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..931336c75cb7b144aaca5d2f3c6041d5e0a7e0d1 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.39579474617343, + -0.6589173229047365, + 34.440763600678714, + -0.6139512426087999 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.41827917342607, + "lat": -0.6364342827567682 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0222_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.39579474617343, + -0.6589173229047365, + 34.440763600678714, + -0.6139512426087999 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.2532, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3395 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.9484, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.4887 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.4, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.53, urban signal 0.68, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..483b438360e56050d03bbc2671b94243211ffbec --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.23261086672181, + -0.5802984796677345, + 34.27757907813814, + -0.5353323993717979 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.25509497242997, + "lat": -0.5578154395197662 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.41, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0225_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.23261086672181, + -0.5802984796677345, + 34.27757907813814, + -0.5353323993717979 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.41 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.4295, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2426 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.7648, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.7223 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.15, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.44, urban signal 0.49, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9e548c877cf05e95dda1e414a910d60aca971c59 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.17501391812664, + -0.43652994713776544, + 34.21998117255832, + -0.3915638668418289 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.19749754534248, + "lat": -0.4140469069897972 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0231_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.17501391812664, + -0.43652994713776544, + 34.21998117255832, + -0.3915638668418289 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 32.9552, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7173 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.1751, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9094 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.17, and OSM water-context signal 0.13.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0233_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0233_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..636c1fd069596267c158127d6f10695466f4c638 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0233_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0233_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.31321848812992, + -0.5604514989038835, + 34.3581865505888, + -0.5154854186079468 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.33570251935936, + "lat": -0.5379684587559151 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0233_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.31321848812992, + -0.5604514989038835, + 34.3581865505888, + -0.5154854186079468 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.9193, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3972 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.7189, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.6263 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.07, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.69, urban signal 0.79, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1fdc4d898d87b2dc55f1593c651d66a928fa2539 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.15436133873178, + -0.44915922151103416, + 34.1993286658846, + -0.40419314121509764 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.17684500230819, + "lat": -0.4266761813630659 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.49, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0238_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.15436133873178, + -0.44915922151103416, + 34.1993286658846, + -0.40419314121509764 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.49 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 10.4605, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 4, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3455 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.5597, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.089 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.02 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.18, and OSM water-context signal 0.09.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.69, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0241_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0241_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f44137a9b5307400e8652ea2ef182ecddd0b5a2f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0241_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0241_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.32157204649302, + -0.5944153258036783, + 34.36654036714492, + -0.5494492455077417 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.34405620681897, + "lat": -0.57193228565571 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0241_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.32157204649302, + -0.5944153258036783, + 34.36654036714492, + -0.5494492455077417 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.9739, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3221 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 5.7069, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 7.9684 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.23, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.4, urban signal 0.64, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0243_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0243_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1014f79e2a6d5040be21a04c9cb18689e374c839 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0243_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0243_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.27279613965341, + -0.5549576875475539, + 34.31776416183328, + -0.5099916072516173 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.295280150743345, + "lat": -0.5324746473995856 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0243_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.27279613965341, + -0.5549576875475539, + 34.31776416183328, + -0.5099916072516173 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.5407, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 4, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3446 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.0884, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 2.538 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.04, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.45, urban signal 0.69, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0245_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0245_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..25652983a736645c1e7c8fd158dc0114713ccd2e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0245_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0245_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.21660807491234, + -0.5610691400830121, + 34.26157614192544, + -0.5161030597870755 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.23909210841889, + "lat": -0.5385860999350438 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0245_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.21660807491234, + -0.5610691400830121, + 34.26157614192544, + -0.5161030597870755 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.6467, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2488 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.9004, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.8983 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.08, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.46, urban signal 0.5, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 3, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0247_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0247_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3719ffb4d24da87c025cfd17b4021fc106203ab9 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0247_hard_negative_water_urban_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0247_hard_negative_water_urban", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.398692504868606, + -0.6215636379761228, + 34.44366104326747, + -0.5765975576801862 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.42117677406804, + "lat": -0.5990805978281545 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0247_hard_negative_water_urban_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.398692504868606, + -0.6215636379761228, + 34.44366104326747, + -0.5765975576801862 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.4645, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3735 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.3415, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 9.6195 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.37, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.55, urban signal 0.75, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..761399c4cd005e19e5f29f600c70e69266f59917 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.403586754532064, + -0.6728759923963683, + 34.4485557320698, + -0.6279099121004317 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.42607124330093, + "lat": -0.6503929522484 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.403586754532064, + -0.6728759923963683, + 34.4485557320698, + -0.6279099121004317 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.0475, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1759 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 10.4075, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.9151 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.42, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.5, urban signal 0.35, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0252_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0252_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c483b580a8ce3a3cd173e6bccf8eb57ee93ab332 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0252_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0252_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.18864953968627, + -0.4634831657683665, + 34.23361695196286, + -0.41851708547243 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.21113324582456, + "lat": -0.44100012562039825 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 20, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 2, + 38 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0252_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.18864953968627, + -0.4634831657683665, + 34.23361695196286, + -0.41851708547243 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 39.2963, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 4, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6299 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.8565, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.0859 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 32 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 32.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.28 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.19, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 32, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0253_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0253_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..58d93e64b8f3bd7ccb914003af6e675b2bcc0833 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0253_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0253_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.38548397410793, + -0.65219006233218, + 34.43045277027214, + -0.6072239820362434 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.407968372190034, + "lat": -0.6297070221842117 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0253_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.38548397410793, + -0.65219006233218, + 34.43045277027214, + -0.6072239820362434 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.1376, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 7, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3803 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.6251, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.1996 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.39, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.51, urban signal 0.76, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.09.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7031c84fadecd2edae9842551b155cb1219de89e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.187399119930745, + -0.4006339591632244, + 34.23236617959934, + -0.3556678788672879 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.20988264976504, + "lat": -0.37815091901525616 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 5, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 23 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.187399119930745, + -0.4006339591632244, + 34.23236617959934, + -0.3556678788672879 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 7.4076, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 3, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2748 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.2129, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.6621 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.13, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.74, urban signal 0.55, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0255_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0255_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..35bf82b2157efe7f6b03c00f3c27beb91b44e08f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0255_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0255_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.1855464257237, + -0.44966788596320306, + 34.23051375585125, + -0.40470180566726655 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.208030090787474, + "lat": -0.4271848458152348 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 18, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.58, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 36 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0255_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.1855464257237, + -0.44966788596320306, + 34.23051375585125, + -0.40470180566726655 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.58 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 41.3781, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 7, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7597 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.6717, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9766 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.19, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.09.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..18579c8f4a14b5f31c87a544e94708d9d7758683 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.11743964818129, + -0.45035250752752676, + 34.16240698231819, + -0.40538642723159024 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.13992331524974, + "lat": -0.4278694673795585 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 5, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.48, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 23 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.11743964818129, + -0.45035250752752676, + 34.16240698231819, + -0.40538642723159024 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.48 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 8.4047, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4217 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.558, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.04 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.18, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.84, urban signal 0.84, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0257_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0257_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..34b1ce87a4af7254d667de86545f2c8bd456922b --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0257_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0257_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.40100856036271, + -0.6661177618202119, + 34.44597747799966, + -0.6211516815242752 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.42349301918119, + "lat": -0.6436347216722436 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0257_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.40100856036271, + -0.6661177618202119, + 34.44597747799966, + -0.6211516815242752 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.1846, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2374 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 10.1959, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.7171 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.41, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.52, urban signal 0.47, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0259_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0259_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2b31d963ef3db4465744ba4fdd6c12463c5b4171 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0259_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0259_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.1689414964988, + -0.4349016687837869, + 34.21390874171365, + -0.38993558848785037 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.19142511910623, + "lat": -0.41241862863581863 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0259_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.1689414964988, + -0.4349016687837869, + 34.21390874171365, + -0.38993558848785037 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 28.0937, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7554 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.9804, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.921 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.16, and OSM water-context signal 0.13.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..bcd5e64bf698ff3cb3f7e1f138110eec3c2ffcfd --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.173889760472505, + -0.433868056764855, + 34.21885699985546, + -0.3889019764689185 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.19637338016398, + "lat": -0.41138501661688676 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.173889760472505, + -0.433868056764855, + 34.21885699985546, + -0.3889019764689185 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 27.2273, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7037 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.0331, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.8771 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.16, and OSM water-context signal 0.13.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0261_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0261_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..497ab96db7c30e09d3cae503479eb44fa996ae32 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0261_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0261_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.14565869279807, + -0.4361483930648204, + 34.19062594506672, + -0.3911823127688839 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.1681423189324, + "lat": -0.41366535291685214 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.51, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0261_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.14565869279807, + -0.4361483930648204, + 34.19062594506672, + -0.3911823127688839 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.51 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 14.076, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5208 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.7601, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9926 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.15, and OSM water-context signal 0.09.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0262_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0262_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..6cbdd9552ddc831e693d352f0c90b660ecb17b4f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0262_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0262_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.17242463385491, + -0.4372266441469486, + 34.21739189224133, + -0.3922605638510121 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.19490826304812, + "lat": -0.41474360399898036 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0262_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.17242463385491, + -0.4372266441469486, + 34.21739189224133, + -0.3922605638510121 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 32.9489, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7461 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.1578, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9326 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.17, and OSM water-context signal 0.13.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0265_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0265_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c79e1b52b5921df2724f6d8fd3bb96ba3de2b1c3 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0265_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0265_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.19170060636294, + -0.459618927423231, + 34.236667995398435, + -0.4146528471272945 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.21418430088069, + "lat": -0.43713588727526276 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 20, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 2, + 38 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0265_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.19170060636294, + -0.459618927423231, + 34.236667995398435, + -0.4146528471272945 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 39.8025, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6988 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.7781, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.0329 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 32 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 32.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.28 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.19, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 32, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8071cd567129dd8c7721dec84bf83c0c236973a3 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.194839527846106, + -0.42117073298452895, + 34.239806696781805, + -0.37620465268859243 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.217323112313956, + "lat": -0.3986876928365607 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 13, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.52, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 31 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.194839527846106, + -0.42117073298452895, + 34.239806696781805, + -0.37620465268859243 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.52 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 31.7196, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 4, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3704 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.212, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.6795 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 14 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 14.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.12 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.17, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.74, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 14, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0267_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0267_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e081b0814a2b6c1079a6056b0aa406202950eb85 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0267_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0267_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.17892573123719, + -0.4471946823715717, + 34.223893046934414, + -0.40222860207563516 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.2014093890858, + "lat": -0.4247116422236034 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0267_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.17892573123719, + -0.4471946823715717, + 34.223893046934414, + -0.40222860207563516 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 40.7839, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 9, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 8018 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.5923, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9916 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.18, and OSM water-context signal 0.12.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..caf3040592edb02516dc29563799d4e32e098b37 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.34296973535901, + -0.5921360720762718, + 34.38793803818931, + -0.5471699917803352 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.36545388677416, + "lat": -0.5696530319283035 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.34296973535901, + -0.5921360720762718, + 34.38793803818931, + -0.5471699917803352 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.2874, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 4, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3805 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 7.0603, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 9.412 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.28, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.53, urban signal 0.76, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0269_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0269_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ed2a09ded748f116f83d82da797a87c2149f151a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0269_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0269_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.40049348131118, + -0.6716015759420771, + 34.4454624475054, + -0.6266354956461405 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.42297796440829, + "lat": -0.6491185357941088 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0269_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.40049348131118, + -0.6716015759420771, + 34.4454624475054, + -0.6266354956461405 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.0764, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2015 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 10.3426, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.8613 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.41, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.51, urban signal 0.4, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0270_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0270_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2f3b8de0b12a518a3dd5bb7ce9a2778d1637015c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0270_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0270_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.16046630962591, + -0.4345554323421173, + 34.20543355288557, + -0.3895893520461808 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.18294993125574, + "lat": -0.41207239219414904 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.52, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0270_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.16046630962591, + -0.4345554323421173, + 34.20543355288557, + -0.3895893520461808 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.52 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 23.1808, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 4, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6331 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.8145, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9583 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 3 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 3.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.03 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.15, and OSM water-context signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 3, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0272_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0272_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..215e1278b4af32b884c895bdb613881eeb78a4bc --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0272_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0272_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.00643698041913, + -0.4582786375733071, + 34.05140436144135, + -0.4133125572773706 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.02892067093024, + "lat": -0.43579559742533885 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.4, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0272_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.00643698041913, + -0.4582786375733071, + 34.05140436144135, + -0.4133125572773706 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.4 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.7534, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2145 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.6215, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.0457 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.06, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.28, urban signal 0.43, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0273_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0273_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..87b53a73eac88efa17ed33bf6dd96db04f3f6dc3 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0273_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0273_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.15725390631171, + -0.43088736844894204, + 34.20222112895884, + -0.3859212881530055 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.179737517635274, + "lat": -0.4084043283009738 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.52, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0273_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.15725390631171, + -0.43088736844894204, + 34.20222112895884, + -0.3859212881530055 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.52 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 19.5525, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 4, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6147 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.512, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.8997 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 3 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 3.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.03 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.14, and OSM water-context signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 3, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..99cb9edd05476c899b41ea60bdc9f5142b6e6617 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.16792526706787, + -0.43005575364751686, + 34.2128924850674, + -0.38508967335158034 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.190408876067636, + "lat": -0.4075727134995486 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.16792526706787, + -0.43005575364751686, + 34.2128924850674, + -0.38508967335158034 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 24.9633, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 2, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7685 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.6842, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.8231 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.15, and OSM water-context signal 0.13.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.02, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0275_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0275_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..246a0d53ecc6382a9edc2c18fc37fbecfb71247e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0275_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0275_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.405889847170016, + -0.6546629247630449, + 34.45085866470765, + -0.6096968444671083 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.428374255938834, + "lat": -0.6321798846150766 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0275_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.405889847170016, + -0.6546629247630449, + 34.45085866470765, + -0.6096968444671083 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.4115, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2987 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.9556, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.4383 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.4, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.54, urban signal 0.6, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0276_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0276_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5038ae90df8cde88f59c88acccec9cb5ba38c730 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0276_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0276_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.174906554340865, + -0.44076734124219275, + 34.219873832928485, + -0.39580126094625623 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.197390193634675, + "lat": -0.4182843010942245 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0276_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.174906554340865, + -0.44076734124219275, + 34.219873832928485, + -0.39580126094625623 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 38.414, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 9, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7617 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.3435, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9553 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.17, and OSM water-context signal 0.12.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9b6aafae1297f101160d057b23186ac125179dfa --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.409251387580106, + -0.6676991590098268, + 34.4542203191775, + -0.6227330787138902 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.431735853378804, + "lat": -0.6452161188618585 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.409251387580106, + -0.6676991590098268, + 34.4542203191775, + -0.6227330787138902 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.1878, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1822 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 10.3081, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.8079 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.41, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.52, urban signal 0.36, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0278_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0278_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..74c6d2744cd7532ba03b36312ed2f856f2e9d865 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0278_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0278_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.12022431191445, + -0.4358507155681948, + 34.165191562496936, + -0.3908846352722583 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.14270793720569, + "lat": -0.41336767542022657 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.51, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0278_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.12022431191445, + -0.4358507155681948, + 34.165191562496936, + -0.3908846352722583 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.51 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 10.207, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5030 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.6783, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9772 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.01 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.15, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 1, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0280_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0280_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1ff5470e9518b16f3a76e75efb72033c17363967 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0280_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0280_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.40201447230521, + -0.6664821738290079, + 34.44698339315613, + -0.6215160935330712 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.42449893273067, + "lat": -0.6439991336810396 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0280_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.40201447230521, + -0.6664821738290079, + 34.44698339315613, + -0.6215160935330712 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.1663, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2290 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 10.216, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.7332 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.41, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.52, urban signal 0.46, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5a3d9677a24422d86bcfbc6865c6af9152217319 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.1854623090749, + -0.4195472606524408, + 34.23042946916251, + -0.3745811803565043 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.207945889118704, + "lat": -0.39706422050447254 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.51, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.1854623090749, + -0.4195472606524408, + 34.23042946916251, + -0.3745811803565043 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.51 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 24.9113, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5311 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.8416, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.679 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 2 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 2.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.02 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.15, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 2, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0283_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0283_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..825163b4737f37b34337c8af9041faf5178681d5 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0283_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0283_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.341900261251936, + -0.5844463584936709, + 34.386868504481114, + -0.5394802781977343 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.364384382866525, + "lat": -0.5619633183457026 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0283_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.341900261251936, + -0.5844463584936709, + 34.386868504481114, + -0.5394802781977343 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.738, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 3, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3638 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 6.0917, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 9.1574 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.24, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.47, urban signal 0.73, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b7c4f73822e7882deb440ec92bfc049b5f08c5e9 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.206986331742215, + -0.39187888562984513, + 34.251953346585495, + -0.3469128053339086 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.229469839163855, + "lat": -0.36939584548187687 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.41, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.206986331742215, + -0.39187888562984513, + 34.251953346585495, + -0.3469128053339086 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.41 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.0542, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1491 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.5858, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.6322 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.14, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.61, urban signal 0.3, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0285_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0285_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0bb602cc876a079b494df8d03b077b20ec5d4dab --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0285_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0285_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.405591781253946, + -0.654403053398337, + 34.45056059654152, + -0.6094369731024004 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.428076188897734, + "lat": -0.6319200132503687 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0285_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.405591781253946, + -0.654403053398337, + 34.45056059654152, + -0.6094369731024004 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.4088, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3024 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.9473, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.4298 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.4, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.54, urban signal 0.6, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0286_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0286_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d4290b5b0974c7c7d7d06009e6980759cd6417e7 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0286_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0286_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.28757692477455, + -0.5146541385960216, + 34.33254466410468, + -0.4696880583000851 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.310060794439615, + "lat": -0.49217109844805335 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 15, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.54, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 33 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0286_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.28757692477455, + -0.5146541385960216, + 34.33254466410468, + -0.4696880583000851 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.54 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 10.7478, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 8, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3906 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 2.0273, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.6993 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 18 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 18.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.16 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.08, and OSM water-context signal 0.09.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.78, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 18, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0288_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0288_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7ad7f826a97f888297ebdc4fdaede73211d59fbd --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0288_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0288_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.23238272281351, + -0.5129697385304876, + 34.27735045080702, + -0.46800365823455103 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.254866586810266, + "lat": -0.4904866983825193 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.4, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0288_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.23238272281351, + -0.5129697385304876, + 34.27735045080702, + -0.46800365823455103 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.4 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.3244, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1758 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.4347, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.0655 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.06, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.33, urban signal 0.35, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0289_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0289_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f82ead387dfb5e09ebce559d04fc763f1674c748 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0289_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0289_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.00066424324892, + -0.46151176825737833, + 34.04563164364316, + -0.4165456879614418 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.02314794344604, + "lat": -0.43902872810941007 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.4, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0289_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.00066424324892, + -0.46151176825737833, + 34.04563164364316, + -0.4165456879614418 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.4 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.5423, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2125 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.5882, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 2.9615 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.06, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.25, urban signal 0.42, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0291_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0291_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..feae590fbb230e7a13877e7b31959747bb96fda1 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0291_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0291_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.296160225116765, + -0.5374681350755679, + 34.34112812182197, + -0.4925020547796313 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.318644173469366, + "lat": -0.5149850949275996 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.5, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0291_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.296160225116765, + -0.5374681350755679, + 34.34112812182197, + -0.4925020547796313 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.5 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 10.1857, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4810 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.039, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 2.1657 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.04, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.96, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0292_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0292_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..a73055d1bc059d38d4c7a1e3f1d7d47e640e4a7a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0292_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0292_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.18165212913957, + -0.42557932047508534, + 34.226619322284684, + -0.3806132401791488 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.20413572571213, + "lat": -0.4030962803271171 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0292_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.18165212913957, + -0.42557932047508534, + 34.226619322284684, + -0.3806132401791488 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 25.3984, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 2, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 7, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6180 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.9093, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.6867 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.16, and OSM water-context signal 0.12.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.02, and school/waterpoint signal 0.09.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0293_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0293_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..21e9d4dcc1e65cc961b5a80ff10d5a518967742f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0293_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0293_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.19121891836282, + -0.4478341447234058, + 34.23618623778306, + -0.4028680644274693 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.21370257807294, + "lat": -0.42535110457543757 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 20, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.6, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 2, + 38 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0293_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.19121891836282, + -0.4478341447234058, + 34.23618623778306, + -0.4028680644274693 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.6 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 41.9093, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7509 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.6332, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9274 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 32 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 32.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.28 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.19, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 32, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0294_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0294_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8a6a7fee07056e412aea732aa65acfc03ab71b44 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0294_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0294_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.184207165072095, + -0.41800090875061263, + 34.229174316765494, + -0.3730348284546761 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.206690740918795, + "lat": -0.3955178686026444 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.51, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0294_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.184207165072095, + -0.41800090875061263, + 34.229174316765494, + -0.3730348284546761 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.51 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 24.1562, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5482 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 3.7308, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.6716 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.15, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0296_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0296_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0a2e19f75ab4d08f36f32f0ec774ee32bd6a0a8a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0296_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0296_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.195559369891754, + -0.45401847645771604, + 34.24052672560693, + -0.4090523961617795 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.21804304774934, + "lat": -0.4315354363097478 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0296_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.195559369891754, + -0.45401847645771604, + 34.24052672560693, + -0.4090523961617795 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 40.8374, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 5, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7515 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.6784, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9595 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 30 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 30.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.26 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.19, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.06.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 30, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0297_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0297_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..237079f83886c9c1002ac0859ec33f441e84f13d --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0297_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0297_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.11799232274858, + -0.4528542078742268, + 34.1629596715908, + -0.4078881275782903 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.14047599716969, + "lat": -0.43037116772625855 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 5, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.47, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 23 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0297_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.11799232274858, + -0.4528542078742268, + 34.1629596715908, + -0.4078881275782903 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.47 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 7.922, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4057 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.6654, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.0543 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.19, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.79, urban signal 0.81, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0299_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0299_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5f8adbd6d7faeb4f2ce495abfb80fe283ece00dd --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0299_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0299_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.15184201971098, + -0.5464388567518057, + 34.19680998025103, + -0.5014727764558691 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.17432599998101, + "lat": -0.5239558166038374 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.5, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0299_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.15184201971098, + -0.5464388567518057, + 34.19680998025103, + -0.5014727764558691 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.5 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 17.8202, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5689 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 5.3746, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.9102 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.21, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..bb984e248c51530cad45a4688df7410cc0026d7a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.1470573192118, + -0.5600363536439017, + 34.19202537861251, + -0.5150702733479651 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.169541348912155, + "lat": -0.5375533134959334 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.5, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.1470573192118, + -0.5600363536439017, + 34.19202537861251, + -0.5150702733479651 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.5 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 19.5801, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 5951 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 5.5562, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.9101 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.22, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f0e23f6ec599e563ad4fe6874dc69072a890656a --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.177152509850345, + -0.4429184572502011, + 34.22211980079487, + -0.3979523769542646 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.19963615532261, + "lat": -0.42043541710223287 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.177152509850345, + -0.4429184572502011, + 34.22211980079487, + -0.3979523769542646 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 40.0748, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 9, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7746 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.4475, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9624 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.18, and OSM water-context signal 0.12.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0303_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0303_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..bec040435d8076c0ba834217d646462dbcfe1bab --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0303_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0303_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.293241858781776, + -0.5373825805914577, + 34.338209754883486, + -0.49241650029552114 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.31572580683263, + "lat": -0.5148995404434894 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.5, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0303_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.293241858781776, + -0.5373825805914577, + 34.338209754883486, + -0.49241650029552114 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.5 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 9.8455, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4742 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.995, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 2.09 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.04, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.98, urban signal 0.95, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0305_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0305_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2b03a3357d22d048e2cf9a40e2e393f63e349ce7 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0305_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0305_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.38895946884317, + -0.6262187692752772, + 34.433928045593404, + -0.5812526889793406 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.41144375721829, + "lat": -0.6037357291273089 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0305_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.38895946884317, + -0.6262187692752772, + 34.433928045593404, + -0.5812526889793406 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 6.4237, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 4, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4014 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.3424, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 9.6344 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.37, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.64, urban signal 0.8, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0306_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0306_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4305e2e3a867b55899a33708e2ad203e1fe2c37f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0306_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0306_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.18214593246022, + -0.44479875944811686, + 34.22711323425792, + -0.39983267915218035 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.20462958335907, + "lat": -0.4223157193001486 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0306_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.18214593246022, + -0.44479875944811686, + 34.22711323425792, + -0.39983267915218035 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 41.0662, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 9, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7657 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.5498, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9512 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.18, and OSM water-context signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..01d835b9002bf402ab14f6a86723529bc7602bb4 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.41943443357085, + -0.6686056962437609, + 34.464403373186535, + -0.6236396159478242 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.44191890337869, + "lat": -0.6461226560957926 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.41, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.41943443357085, + -0.6686056962437609, + 34.464403373186535, + -0.6236396159478242 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.41 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.0612, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1169 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 10.3747, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.8841 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.41, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.51, urban signal 0.23, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0308_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0308_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..efe8fba785de3b26b26fb352c47bfcf1fc9b2f03 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0308_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0308_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.29817385452682, + -0.5402938098515221, + 34.34314177122033, + -0.4953277295555855 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.32065781287358, + "lat": -0.5178107697035538 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.5, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0308_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.29817385452682, + -0.5402938098515221, + 34.34314177122033, + -0.4953277295555855 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.5 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 10.4141, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4870 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.0079, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 1.9759 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.04, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.97, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..455a34667cbb8f1bdf61d9ec09744c80052b7e6f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.15882090928905, + -0.5625833952562951, + 34.203788987489716, + -0.5176173149603585 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.18130494838938, + "lat": -0.5401003551083268 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.5, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.15882090928905, + -0.5625833952562951, + 34.203788987489716, + -0.5176173149603585 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.5 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 17.3414, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 6313 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 5.144, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.9066 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.21, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0310_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0310_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d2aa9bc9dd22aa1d0aedbd488e9c9246f844899c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0310_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0310_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.29598063093787, + -0.5403567053940862, + 34.34094854807753, + -0.49539062509814963 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.3184645895077, + "lat": -0.5178736652461179 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.5, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0310_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.29598063093787, + -0.5403567053940862, + 34.34094854807753, + -0.49539062509814963 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.5 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 9.9881, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4801 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.978, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 1.9175 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.04, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.96, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0311_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0311_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..27830e17cfcb684485137e91805675404ba3f092 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0311_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0311_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.18185243876581, + -0.44684515762163646, + 34.22681975243042, + -0.40187907732569994 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.204336095598116, + "lat": -0.4243621174736682 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 19, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.59, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 1, + 37 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0311_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.18185243876581, + -0.44684515762163646, + 34.22681975243042, + -0.40187907732569994 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.59 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 41.08, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 9, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7859 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.6, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9717 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 27 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 27.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.23 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.18, and OSM water-context signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 1.0, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; intermediate-host label count 27, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..895ab22d23a0939ec3a35adc539556a5efeec9f5 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.312734390243584, + -0.3661717924014799, + 34.357701279536535, + -0.3212057121055434 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.33521783489006, + "lat": -0.34368875225351164 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 5, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 23 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.312734390243584, + -0.3661717924014799, + 34.357701279536535, + -0.3212057121055434 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 7.2076, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1338 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.6897, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.2829 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.07, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.72, urban signal 0.27, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0314_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0314_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ac1d6dc870582a971c932c8e58e98c6bf8fec1b2 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0314_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0314_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 33.94592498395803, + -0.5964594622089024, + 33.99089332065369, + -0.5514933819129658 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.96840915230586, + "lat": -0.5739764220609341 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0314_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 33.94592498395803, + -0.5964594622089024, + 33.99089332065369, + -0.5514933819129658 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.0, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.3859, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.67 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.18, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0317_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0317_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..fbbe917ff07b0ce4fd600a1977655de56a86a260 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0317_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0317_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.41366749915946, + -0.5024154138263923, + 34.458635157003314, + -0.45744933353045575 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.43615132808139, + "lat": -0.479932373678424 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0317_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.41366749915946, + -0.5024154138263923, + 34.458635157003314, + -0.45744933353045575 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.7798, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 386 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.3161, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.8687 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.01, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.28, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0319_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0319_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9dc59583fc7a99c0ae0ba0fb918b6061086c8405 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0319_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0319_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.3678672913618, + -0.6581798940288303, + 34.41283613944159, + -0.6132138137328936 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.39035171540169, + "lat": -0.635696853880862 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0319_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.3678672913618, + -0.6581798940288303, + 34.41283613944159, + -0.6132138137328936 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.5461, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2728 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.3688, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.0643 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.37, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.45, urban signal 0.55, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0322_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0322_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5c032658aadff7975ca579d8d39dd7f86dbd7d1b --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0322_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0322_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.13438261242291, + -0.4705372513918966, + 34.1793500676532, + -0.4255711710959601 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.15686634003806, + "lat": -0.44805421124392836 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0322_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.13438261242291, + -0.4705372513918966, + 34.1793500676532, + -0.4255711710959601 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 7.0587, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1220 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 5.0982, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.2424 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.2, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.71, urban signal 0.24, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0324_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0324_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3481645b27042d6023b2eac70aeca4cfd01dc3e2 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0324_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0324_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.34370048285333, + -0.6081009097354748, + 34.38866891201027, + -0.5631348294395382 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.3661846974318, + "lat": -0.5856178695875065 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0324_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.34370048285333, + -0.6081009097354748, + 34.38866891201027, + -0.5631348294395382 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.5068, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 4, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4045 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 8.2595, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 9.4207 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.33, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.55, urban signal 0.81, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0327_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0327_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..43e0557a846d23269442c1af56987f4e579322ec --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0327_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0327_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.06851457727076, + -0.3877082197232537, + 34.113481571129796, + -0.3427421394273172 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.09099807420028, + "lat": -0.36522517957528544 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0327_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.06851457727076, + -0.3877082197232537, + 34.113481571129796, + -0.3427421394273172 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.0, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.1736, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.7936 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.01, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0329_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0329_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ee666e38d3efa5c6794de1d2412e6ded9ee1a99c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0329_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0329_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.405124954639014, + -0.4195806479810037, + 34.45009211490822, + -0.3746145676850672 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.42760853477362, + "lat": -0.39709760783303544 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0329_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.405124954639014, + -0.4195806479810037, + 34.45009211490822, + -0.3746145676850672 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.0, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.4305, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 1.5061 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.02, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0331_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0331_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..501354c25ddc1d93b119ce3fd688140c3127b8ec --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0331_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0331_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 33.9424586188859, + -0.3949887888018343, + 33.987425649531396, + -0.3500227085058978 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.96494213420865, + "lat": -0.37250574865386604 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0331_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 33.9424586188859, + -0.3949887888018343, + 33.987425649531396, + -0.3500227085058978 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.0, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0334_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0334_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3a0c652d88a12a3fa370d6bbe712c144c3a6b4d1 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0334_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0334_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.13256879475516, + -0.3906046281328982, + 34.177535803161874, + -0.3456385478369617 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.155052298958516, + "lat": -0.36812158798492994 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0334_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.13256879475516, + -0.3906046281328982, + 34.177535803161874, + -0.3456385478369617 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 10.5603, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1136 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.2735, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 1.107 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.01, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.23, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0336_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0336_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..185297848f41e6a86a06e439a22fedc3e16801ed --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0336_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0336_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.09038759318612, + -0.3822973774359159, + 34.1353545601762, + -0.3373312971399794 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.11287107668116, + "lat": -0.35981433728794765 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0336_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.09038759318612, + -0.3822973774359159, + 34.1353545601762, + -0.3373312971399794 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.0, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0583, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.275 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0338_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0338_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2576b00cf6df9a262970bed7475153c6696e2de0 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0338_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0338_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 33.9692145234604, + -0.4284898849732847, + 34.01418173273456, + -0.3835238046773482 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.99169812809748, + "lat": -0.40600684482531646 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0338_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 33.9692145234604, + -0.4284898849732847, + 34.01418173273456, + -0.3835238046773482 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.0, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0113, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0340_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0340_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9e5601f889a6c55b6550384856774cb1c95b5646 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0340_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0340_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.397505334899, + -0.5463633964048644, + 34.442473294897475, + -0.5013973161089278 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.41998931489824, + "lat": -0.5238803562568961 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.41, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0340_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.397505334899, + -0.5463633964048644, + 34.442473294897475, + -0.5013973161089278 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.41 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.0134, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2539 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.2732, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.2971 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.05, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.4, urban signal 0.51, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0342_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0342_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e9a1ec54fb4bdbfffee91f0b2e2523374f5ea6d7 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0342_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0342_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 33.95761733231652, + -0.4039336597884805, + 34.00258440915178, + -0.358967579492544 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 33.98010087073415, + "lat": -0.38145061964051225 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0342_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 33.95761733231652, + -0.4039336597884805, + 34.00258440915178, + -0.358967579492544 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.0, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0345_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0345_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..da5253173ba244574af0e78e656d7ef5d8be00e8 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0345_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0345_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.299726652356476, + -0.45846610756293255, + 34.344694034498055, + -0.41350002726699603 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.322210343427265, + "lat": -0.4359830674149643 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.38, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0345_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.299726652356476, + -0.45846610756293255, + 34.344694034498055, + -0.41350002726699603 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.38 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.5619, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 147 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.5938, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.9253 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.18, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.46, urban signal 0.03, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0347_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0347_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d56e1d5ec096c6027af2abe67857f519c0f3e554 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0347_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0347_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.10796106286183, + -0.4627046791362798, + 34.15292847043983, + -0.41773859884034326 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.13044476665083, + "lat": -0.4402216389883115 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 5, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 23 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0347_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.10796106286183, + -0.4627046791362798, + 34.15292847043983, + -0.41773859884034326 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 7.835, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2217 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 4.9443, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.0729 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.2, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.78, urban signal 0.44, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0349_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0349_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..16831aa3afdce54d3ea22280eb02f479ca5bb109 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0349_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0349_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.1010078261896, + -0.4691640554015223, + 34.14597527300481, + -0.42419797510558577 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.123491549597205, + "lat": -0.446681015253554 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 5, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 23 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0349_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.1010078261896, + -0.4691640554015223, + 34.14597527300481, + -0.42419797510558577 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 8.3563, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 974 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 5.0195, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.1011 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.2, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.84, urban signal 0.19, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0355_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0355_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..68103c7fff11b65631e6de3766decd62e9be1659 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0355_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0355_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.07622843689713, + -0.4699026768302285, + 34.12119588823547, + -0.424936596534292 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.0987121625663, + "lat": -0.44741963668226026 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0355_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.07622843689713, + -0.4699026768302285, + 34.12119588823547, + -0.424936596534292 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.2581, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 14 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 5.0806, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 5.2673 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.2, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.13, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0357_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0357_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..adb2d2646bb07d36f049b54fb4438e2ee7927319 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0357_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0357_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.39949218090956, + -0.6418355323792173, + 34.44446088848753, + -0.5968694520832807 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.421976534698544, + "lat": -0.619352492231249 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 4, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 22 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0357_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.39949218090956, + -0.6418355323792173, + 34.44446088848753, + -0.5968694520832807 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 5.5717, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 3, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3849 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 9.6338, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 10.0642 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.39, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.56, urban signal 0.77, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0359_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0359_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8714cc6b8e66b7c95866dc2e9d595b18f54cf6dc --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0359_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0359_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.000388851281365, + -0.36709375168178393, + 34.04535574492055, + -0.3221276713858474 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.02287229810096, + "lat": -0.3446107115338157 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 0, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.34, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 18 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0359_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.000388851281365, + -0.36709375168178393, + 34.04535574492055, + -0.3221276713858474 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.34 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 0.0, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 0 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0361_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0361_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1371560d26faf79b269de11bc026c2c00415e55c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0361_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0361_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.34519093793535, + -0.3648740088936914, + 34.39015782113014, + -0.3199079285977549 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.367674379532744, + "lat": -0.34239096874572317 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 1, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.35, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 19 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0361_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.34519093793535, + -0.3648740088936914, + 34.39015782113014, + -0.3199079285977549 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.35 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.7064, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 21 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.795, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.3473 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.07, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.17, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0364_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0364_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..65dbbb64d53f81924a2700527db8fbf0a82e7c55 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0364_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0364_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.28340206166088, + -0.5632277457007162, + 34.32837014463165, + -0.5182616654047796 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.305886103146264, + "lat": -0.5407447055527479 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0364_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.28340206166088, + -0.5632277457007162, + 34.32837014463165, + -0.5182616654047796 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.4801, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 3, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3689 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 1.5997, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 3.2574 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.06, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.45, urban signal 0.74, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0366_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0366_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e8a5d82060f3f5ef7870b49df2dadeb3f7d90492 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0366_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0366_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.3704881168336, + -0.5017059177886304, + 34.41545577001651, + -0.4567398374926938 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.39297194342505, + "lat": -0.47922287764066207 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0366_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.3704881168336, + -0.5017059177886304, + 34.41545577001651, + -0.4567398374926938 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 4.4217, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 3398 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 2.6466, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.4663 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.11, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.44, urban signal 0.68, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0369_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0369_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..85ce832d237e471e62c870e782ab6b317bf39849 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mbita_schistosomiasis/mbita_schistosomiasis_s0369_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0369_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mbita/Homa Bay lakeshore, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 34.003739532635535, + -0.4763280441084115, + 34.048707023636595, + -0.431361963812475 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 34.026223278136065, + "lat": -0.45384500396044325 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 2, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.4, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 20 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mbita_schistosomiasis_s0369_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 34.003739532635535, + -0.4763280441084115, + 34.048707023636595, + -0.431361963812475 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.4 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 2.3212, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 2354 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 2.7568, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 4.1425 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.11, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.23, urban signal 0.47, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0249_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0249_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..85ef08bf98bf0312c6fd37ecba47898ef572ba8f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0249_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0249_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.34128639975913, + -0.6431555890094502, + 37.38625511854889, + -0.5981895087135136 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.36377075915401, + "lat": -0.6206725488614819 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0249_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.34128639975913, + -0.6431555890094502, + 37.38625511854889, + -0.5981895087135136 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 16.0709, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 3, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 7 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d337d3e60a96bb85a76b5a871f02cd103605ac5f --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.45400182392443, + -0.6061426380666549, + 37.49897023739804, + -0.5611765577707183 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.476486030661235, + "lat": -0.5836595979186866 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0251_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.45400182392443, + -0.6061426380666549, + 37.49897023739804, + -0.5611765577707183 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 11.8045, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 9, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 163 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.03, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..fda450c81019d803938d7556f68a638ca891d17e --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.4525387392833, + -0.4974777613086318, + 37.49750636483287, + -0.4525116810126953 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.475022552058086, + "lat": -0.47499472116066355 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0254_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.4525387392833, + -0.4974777613086318, + 37.49750636483287, + -0.4525116810126953 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 20.9994, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 746 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.15, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d3a4fd8868d155e262f5697cb34c0d76185d1d6c --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.510683784627915, + -0.8054677332634516, + 37.555654063964795, + -0.7605016529675149 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.533168924296355, + "lat": -0.7829846931154832 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 3, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.37, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 21 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0256_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.510683784627915, + -0.8054677332634516, + 37.555654063964795, + -0.7605016529675149 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.37 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.4224, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 5, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 14, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 227 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.15.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.14, urban signal 0.05, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.06.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ab861fdc2f5f41837e40bd39dcc67408a800bc98 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.43902598657572, + -0.5281759098917476, + 37.48399381832079, + -0.483209829595811 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.461509902448256, + "lat": -0.5056928697437792 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0260_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.43902598657572, + -0.5281759098917476, + 37.48399381832079, + -0.483209829595811 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 31.655, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 6, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 175 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.04, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.07.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0263_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0263_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..59a35efe2693c56bb3cba0c4eea92f5e22c98f87 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0263_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0263_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.19660716377509, + -0.6872482617945763, + 37.241576270780335, + -0.6422821814986397 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.21909171727771, + "lat": -0.664765221646608 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0263_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.19660716377509, + -0.6872482617945763, + 37.241576270780335, + -0.6422821814986397 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 20.1341, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 3, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 493 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.1, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c9a98787f2271c8c38e0459c19acc059968e11a5 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.431251069895254, + -0.5358520204240284, + 37.47621895521753, + -0.4908859401280918 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.45373501255639, + "lat": -0.51336898027606 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0266_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.431251069895254, + -0.5358520204240284, + 37.47621895521753, + -0.4908859401280918 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 40.8089, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 2, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 9, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 298 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.06, health-facility signal 0.02, and school/waterpoint signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..fe60f9934f88daf96f2b702929e4b95f7125e783 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.447495978596315, + -0.5640963762378131, + 37.492464068006534, + -0.5191302959418764 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.469980023301424, + "lat": -0.5416133360898447 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0268_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.447495978596315, + -0.5640963762378131, + 37.492464068006534, + -0.5191302959418764 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 48.0493, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 5, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 15, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 850 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.09.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.17, health-facility signal 0.05, and school/waterpoint signal 0.19.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0271_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0271_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d876ffc91a1ba7fb67e9704cc3db9887ecece8b6 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0271_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0271_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.442716371771255, + -0.5410759743278231, + 37.48768429401697, + -0.4961098940318865 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.46520033289411, + "lat": -0.5185929341798547 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.45, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0271_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.442716371771255, + -0.5410759743278231, + 37.48768429401697, + -0.4961098940318865 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.45 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 44.9047, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 14, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 457 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.09, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.17.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..229d9b59e26b654bd87356d4b248387bb48a49f0 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.24796285748766, + -0.7660449219976982, + 37.292932724602046, + -0.7210788417017616 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.27044779104485, + "lat": -0.7435618818497299 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0274_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.24796285748766, + -0.7660449219976982, + 37.292932724602046, + -0.7210788417017616 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 11.0601, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 2, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 630 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.13, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..abffe588af114c537d807bd2106b1b5704faca6d --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.44609257729142, + -0.8225750147958767, + 37.49106304213594, + -0.7776089344999401 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.46857780971368, + "lat": -0.8000919746479084 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.39, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0277_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.44609257729142, + -0.8225750147958767, + 37.49106304213594, + -0.7776089344999401 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.39 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 1.4622, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 47, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 172 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.48.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.15, urban signal 0.03, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7547243f14a92a21f0bb868b0dc97442d2a773de --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.460363987498916, + -0.5753057457987467, + 37.50533216093526, + -0.5303396655028101 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.48284807421709, + "lat": -0.5528227056507784 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0281_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.460363987498916, + -0.5753057457987467, + 37.50533216093526, + -0.5303396655028101 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 33.3517, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 3, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 10, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 420 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.04.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.08, health-facility signal 0.03, and school/waterpoint signal 0.12.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..503db03067002a8982ccc22425f1e62f11295d88 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.437010996561305, + -0.5345900503745384, + 37.48197887301992, + -0.48962397007860187 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.45949493479061, + "lat": -0.5121070102265701 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0284_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.437010996561305, + -0.5345900503745384, + 37.48197887301992, + -0.48962397007860187 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 38.6715, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 2, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 9, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 233 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.05, health-facility signal 0.02, and school/waterpoint signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0287_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0287_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..20653cc7853e2dcb45791e74c186d94256ff37fc --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0287_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0287_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.43934483848649, + -0.5632572847463883, + 37.48431292167608, + -0.5182912044504516 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.461828880081285, + "lat": -0.5407742445984199 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.47, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0287_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.43934483848649, + -0.5632572847463883, + 37.48431292167608, + -0.5182912044504516 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.47 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 48.1167, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 5, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 17, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1072 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.21, health-facility signal 0.05, and school/waterpoint signal 0.21.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0290_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0290_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..32377c04f8886a41232551cdf82352a8f9819879 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0290_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0290_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.44767720231128, + -0.5331879266925507, + 37.49264506894744, + -0.4882218463966141 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.47016113562936, + "lat": -0.5107048865445823 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.44, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0290_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.44767720231128, + -0.5331879266925507, + 37.49264506894744, + -0.4882218463966141 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.44 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 36.5312, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 2, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 226 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.05.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.05, health-facility signal 0.02, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0295_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0295_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..6c50e6f9a95bc5e9c79273213df28aae14d47923 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0295_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0295_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.20597475712975, + -0.578728219846098, + 37.25094295656422, + -0.5337621395501614 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.228458856846984, + "lat": -0.5562451796981297 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0295_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.20597475712975, + -0.578728219846098, + 37.25094295656422, + -0.5337621395501614 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 12.7732, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 1, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 1, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 427 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.09, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0298_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0298_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3ca2f955ae8a7f884b6f35605e84aa91621ff112 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0298_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0298_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.44372157868723, + -0.5682118964258567, + 37.48868969874765, + -0.52324581612992 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.46620563871744, + "lat": -0.5457288562778884 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 9, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 27 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0298_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.44372157868723, + -0.5682118964258567, + 37.48868969874765, + -0.52324581612992 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 47.8507, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 5, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 16, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 967 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.19, health-facility signal 0.05, and school/waterpoint signal 0.2.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4e592525c26aff3e17afa06588296a97256aeb18 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.46769810099796, + -0.5782466920048644, + 37.5126662967649, + -0.5332806117089278 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.49018219888143, + "lat": -0.5557636518568961 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0300_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.46769810099796, + -0.5782466920048644, + 37.5126662967649, + -0.5332806117089278 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 25.5534, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 9, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 210 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.04, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..29a634e359fb8fa23d65bc35975e0d473d92a693 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.41575614393295, + -0.7788383823121063, + 37.460726142487204, + -0.7338723020161697 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.43824114321008, + "lat": -0.756355342164138 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0302_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.41575614393295, + -0.7788383823121063, + 37.460726142487204, + -0.7338723020161697 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 3.4338, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 2, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 53, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 430 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.53.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 0.34, urban signal 0.09, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.03.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5614f0eebff1e846854634a10478539a844465bc --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.47887255000016, + -0.6094580907945454, + 37.52384099005725, + -0.5644920104986088 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.50135677002871, + "lat": -0.5869750506465771 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 7, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.43, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 25 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0307_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.47887255000016, + -0.6094580907945454, + 37.52384099005725, + -0.5644920104986088 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.43 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 11.7821, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 8, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 246 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.02.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.05, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.1.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..540715c809b94b05a5257ae195bb98e4e3ae6419 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.428265419176626, + -0.5599132566008272, + 37.473233477671, + -0.5149471763048906 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.450749448423814, + "lat": -0.5374302164528589 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0309_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.428265419176626, + -0.5599132566008272, + 37.473233477671, + -0.5149471763048906 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 48.4138, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 14, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1099 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.09.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.22, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.17.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3e79dec252ba966f17738785f236c83c75dd5cbc --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.43182939898747, + -0.5602112508533661, + 37.47679745967627, + -0.5152451705574295 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.45431342933187, + "lat": -0.5377282107053978 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 8, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.46, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 26 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0312_exposure_context_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.43182939898747, + -0.5602112508533661, + 37.47679745967627, + -0.5152451705574295 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.46 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 48.3772, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 4, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 14, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 1084 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.11.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.22, health-facility signal 0.04, and school/waterpoint signal 0.17.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 3, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0332_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0332_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c3a94d88354405ff70e2145d70adb099d7dada50 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0332_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0332_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.40732691914374, + -0.5323058449016871, + 37.452294779614334, + -0.4873397646057505 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.42981084937904, + "lat": -0.5098228047537188 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0332_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.40732691914374, + -0.5323058449016871, + 37.452294779614334, + -0.4873397646057505 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 17.0177, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 0, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 206 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": false, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 0 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 0.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.0 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.01.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.04, health-facility signal 0.0, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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intermediate-host label count 0, weak risk class low.", + "priority": "low", + "requires_human_approval": true + } + ], + "limitations": [ + "This is a weak-supervision training target, not a calibrated disease forecast.", + "GBIF and MAP labels are presence/survey-biased and do not prove absence where no records are present.", + "This scalable packet includes SimSat Sentinel-2 imagery, Mapbox satellite imagery, and open environmental/exposure layers for visual grounding." + ], + "audit": { + "model_versions": { + "target_generator": "scripts/build_vector_100k_dataset.py" + }, + "data_versions": { + "source": "SimSat Sentinel-2, Mapbox satellite imagery, data/raw AOI crops, and normalized feature extracts" + }, + "prompt_version": "vectoros-100k-simsat-sft-v0.1", + "human_review_status": "unreviewed" + } +} diff --git a/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0353_random_ecological_risk_tile.json b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0353_random_ecological_risk_tile.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0cc2ed579e6521ea5fbb168a003918dc3b739436 --- /dev/null +++ b/targets/mwea_schistosomiasis/mwea_schistosomiasis_s0353_random_ecological_risk_tile.json @@ -0,0 +1,146 @@ +{ + "schema_version": "vectoros-risk-tile-v0.2", + "risk_tile_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0353_random_ecological", + "run_id": "vectoros_vector_100k_simsat_20260506", + "generated_at": "2026-05-06T00:00:00Z", + "disease_module": "schistosomiasis", + "disease_targets": [ + "schistosomiasis", + "freshwater snail and water-contact habitat" + ], + "aoi": { + "aoi_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis", + "admin0": "Kenya", + "name": "Mwea irrigation area, Kenya", + "bbox": [ + 37.24611634763294, + -0.6558621917214321, + 37.291085175566245, + -0.6108961114254955 + ], + "centroid": { + "lon": 37.26860076159959, + "lat": -0.6333791515734638 + } + }, + "time_window": { + "start_date": "2025-12-31", + "end_date": "2025-12-31", + "lag_days_used": [ + 7, + 14, + 21 + ] + }, + "risk": { + "score": 6, + "class": "low", + "confidence": 0.42, + "trend_vs_previous_period": "unknown", + "uncertainty_interval": [ + 0, + 24 + ], + "calibration_model_version": "weak_rule_seed_v0.2" + }, + "hazards": [ + { + "hazard_id": "mwea_schistosomiasis_s0353_random_ecological_hazard_001", + "type": "snail_water_contact_habitat_proxy", + "geometry_ref": "chip_bbox", + "bbox": [ + 37.24611634763294, + -0.6558621917214321, + 37.291085175566245, + -0.6108961114254955 + ], + "evidence_layers": [ + "freshwater snail labels", + "surface-water persistence", + "water-contact exposure", + "schools/waterpoints where available" + ], + "confidence": 0.42 + } + ], + "exposure": { + "population_signal_p90": 15.7723, + "health_facilities_in_chip": 1, + "schools_or_waterpoints_in_chip": 0, + "waterway_features_in_chip": 0, + "urban_or_building_features_in_chip": 4 + }, + "signals": { + "visual_packet": { + "source": "VectorOS SimSat Sentinel-2 + Mapbox + open-layer evidence packet", + "panel_order": [ + "top_left: SimSat Sentinel-2 true-color RGB", + "top_right: SimSat Sentinel-2 false color NIR-red-green", + "bottom_left: Mapbox satellite context", + "bottom_right: aligned evidence overlay from ESA WorldCover, JRC water, CHIRPS rainfall, WorldPop, OSM, and weak labels" + ], + "quality": "real_imagery_plus_derived_environmental_context" + }, + "climate": { + "rainfall_chirps_mean_mm": 0.0, + "rainfall_chirps_p90_mm": 0.0 + }, + "hydrology": { + "jrc_occurrence_mean_percent": 0.0, + "jrc_seasonality_mean_months": 0.0 + }, + "health_surveillance": { + "case_signal_available": false, + "source": "GBIF intermediate-host occurrence", + "spatial_precision": "tile_or_aoi_weak" + }, + "entomology_or_host": { + "observation_available": true, + "source": "GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence", + "count_in_chip": 1 + } + }, + "rationale": [ + { + "claim": "Weak label signal: GBIF freshwater snail intermediate-host occurrence count is 1.", + "evidence_layer": "label_count_features", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.label_counts", + "confidence": 0.01 + }, + { + "claim": "Environmental context includes JRC occurrence mean 0.0 percent, rainfall signal 0.0, and OSM water-context signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "JRC_GSW_CHIRPS_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.raster_stats_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.58 + }, + { + "claim": "Exposure context includes population signal 1.0, urban signal 0.0, health-facility signal 0.01, and school/waterpoint signal 0.0.", + "evidence_layer": "WorldPop_OSM", + "evidence_ref": "numeric_features.population_and_osm_counts", + "confidence": 0.55 + } + ], + "recommended_actions": [ + { + "action_type": "water_contact_site_review", + "description": "Review water-contact/snail survey priority near exposed sites; 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