date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-26,Lula,56.5,40,16.5
2026-06-26,Flávio Bolsonaro,22.95,36,-13.05
2026-06-26,Renan Santos,11.45,4,7.45
2026-06-26,Ronaldo Caiado,1.45,4,-2.55
2026-06-26,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-26,Romeu Zema,1.25,2,-0.75
2026-06-26,Fernando Haddad,1.25,0,1.25