date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-25,Lula,56.5,40,16.5
2026-06-25,Flávio Bolsonaro,23.45,36,-12.55
2026-06-25,Renan Santos,11.45,4,7.45
2026-06-25,Ronaldo Caiado,1.65,4,-2.35
2026-06-25,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-25,Romeu Zema,1.15,2,-0.85
2026-06-25,Fernando Haddad,1.25,0,1.25