date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-24,Lula,57.5,37,20.5
2026-06-24,Flávio Bolsonaro,22.9,34,-11.1
2026-06-24,Renan Santos,12.35,3,9.35
2026-06-24,Ronaldo Caiado,1.45,3,-1.55
2026-06-24,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-24,Romeu Zema,0.95,2,-1.05
2026-06-24,Fernando Haddad,1.45,0,1.45