date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-23,Lula,53.5,42,11.5
2026-06-23,Flávio Bolsonaro,25.55,31,-5.45
2026-06-23,Renan Santos,13.35,3,10.35
2026-06-23,Ronaldo Caiado,1.65,3,-1.35
2026-06-23,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-23,Romeu Zema,1.15,2,-0.85
2026-06-23,Fernando Haddad,1.55,0,1.55