date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-20,Lula,51.5,41,10.5
2026-06-20,Flávio Bolsonaro,25.05,31,-5.95
2026-06-20,Renan Santos,14.35,3,11.35
2026-06-20,Ronaldo Caiado,2.25,3,-0.75
2026-06-20,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-20,Romeu Zema,1.45,2,-0.55
2026-06-20,Fernando Haddad,2.15,0,2.15