date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-12,Lula,47.5,39,8.5
2026-06-12,Flávio Bolsonaro,26.5,29,-2.5
2026-06-12,Renan Santos,13.7,3,10.7
2026-06-12,Ronaldo Caiado,1.6,3,-1.4
2026-06-12,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-12,Romeu Zema,1.2,2,-0.8
2026-06-12,Fernando Haddad,1.9,0,1.9