date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-22,Lula,55.5,41,14.5
2026-06-22,Flávio Bolsonaro,23.75,31,-7.25
2026-06-22,Renan Santos,13.7,3,10.7
2026-06-22,Ronaldo Caiado,1.55,3,-1.45
2026-06-22,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-22,Romeu Zema,1.15,2,-0.85
2026-06-22,Fernando Haddad,1.75,0,1.75