date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-18,Lula,50.5,41.8,8.7
2026-06-18,Flávio Bolsonaro,25.95,28.2,-2.25
2026-06-18,Renan Santos,14.55,2,12.55
2026-06-18,Ronaldo Caiado,2.2,4,-1.8
2026-06-18,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-18,Romeu Zema,1.45,2.8,-1.35
2026-06-18,Fernando Haddad,1.85,0,1.85