date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp
2026-06-16,Lula,51.5,41.8,9.7
2026-06-16,Flávio Bolsonaro,25.35,28.2,-2.85
2026-06-16,Renan Santos,14.05,2,12.05
2026-06-16,Ronaldo Caiado,1.95,4,-2.05
2026-06-16,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15
2026-06-16,Romeu Zema,1.35,2.8,-1.45
2026-06-16,Fernando Haddad,1.95,0,1.95