| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-25,Lula,56.5,40,16.5 | |
| 2026-06-25,Flávio Bolsonaro,23.45,36,-12.55 | |
| 2026-06-25,Renan Santos,11.45,4,7.45 | |
| 2026-06-25,Ronaldo Caiado,1.65,4,-2.35 | |
| 2026-06-25,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-25,Romeu Zema,1.15,2,-0.85 | |
| 2026-06-25,Fernando Haddad,1.25,0,1.25 | |