| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-23,Lula,53.5,42,11.5 | |
| 2026-06-23,Flávio Bolsonaro,25.55,31,-5.45 | |
| 2026-06-23,Renan Santos,13.35,3,10.35 | |
| 2026-06-23,Ronaldo Caiado,1.65,3,-1.35 | |
| 2026-06-23,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-23,Romeu Zema,1.15,2,-0.85 | |
| 2026-06-23,Fernando Haddad,1.55,0,1.55 | |