| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-21,Lula,51.5,41,10.5 | |
| 2026-06-21,Flávio Bolsonaro,24.9,31,-6.1 | |
| 2026-06-21,Renan Santos,14.3,3,11.3 | |
| 2026-06-21,Ronaldo Caiado,2,3,-1 | |
| 2026-06-21,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-21,Romeu Zema,1.4,2,-0.6 | |
| 2026-06-21,Fernando Haddad,2.1,0,2.1 | |