| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-19,Lula,51.5,41.8,9.7 | |
| 2026-06-19,Flávio Bolsonaro,25.75,28.2,-2.45 | |
| 2026-06-19,Renan Santos,14.15,2,12.15 | |
| 2026-06-19,Ronaldo Caiado,2.35,4,-1.65 | |
| 2026-06-19,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-19,Romeu Zema,1.45,2.8,-1.35 | |
| 2026-06-19,Fernando Haddad,1.95,0,1.95 | |