| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-12,Lula,47.5,39,8.5 | |
| 2026-06-12,Flávio Bolsonaro,26.5,29,-2.5 | |
| 2026-06-12,Renan Santos,13.7,3,10.7 | |
| 2026-06-12,Ronaldo Caiado,1.6,3,-1.4 | |
| 2026-06-12,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-12,Romeu Zema,1.2,2,-0.8 | |
| 2026-06-12,Fernando Haddad,1.9,0,1.9 | |