| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-07,Lula,40.5,42.1,-1.6 | |
| 2026-06-07,Flávio Bolsonaro,27.25,33.6,-6.35 | |
| 2026-06-07,Renan Santos,17.35,6,11.35 | |
| 2026-06-07,Ronaldo Caiado,1.75,6.9,-5.15 | |
| 2026-06-07,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-07,Romeu Zema,2.05,4,-1.95 | |
| 2026-06-07,Fernando Haddad,3.1,0,3.1 | |