| cff-version: 1.2.0 |
| message: "If you use this dataset, please cite it as below." |
| title: "AFOS — Brazil 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset" |
| abstract: >- |
| Open, auditable dataset cross-referencing prediction markets (Polymarket), |
| TSE-registered electoral polls, and press coverage for Brazil's 2026 |
| presidential cycle, with explicit market-versus-poll divergence rather than |
| smoothed averages. Includes the official TSE poll registry, published national |
| poll results, a daily Polymarket odds time-series, and a reconstructed |
| divergence time-series. |
| type: dataset |
| authors: |
| - name: "AFOS Analytics" |
| website: "https://afos-analytics.com" |
| identifiers: |
| - type: doi |
| value: 10.7910/DVN/2D0UK7 |
| description: "Harvard Dataverse permanent deposit" |
| keywords: |
| - elections |
| - Brazil |
| - prediction markets |
| - electoral polls |
| - TSE |
| - political risk |
| - divergence |
| - open data |
| license: |
| - CC-BY-4.0 |
| - Apache-2.0 |
| repository: "https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/brazil-2026-electoral-divergence" |
| url: "https://afos-analytics.com" |
| version: "2026.06" |
| date-released: "2026-06-10" |
| preferred-citation: |
| type: dataset |
| title: "AFOS — Brazil 2026 Electoral Divergence Dataset" |
| authors: |
| - name: "AFOS Analytics" |
| year: 2026 |
| publisher: |
| name: "Hugging Face" |
| license: CC-BY-4.0 |
|
|
